[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"item-3661":3,"related-3661":106},{"id":4,"title":5,"url":6,"summary":7,"summary_zh":8,"content":9,"source_name":10,"source_url":6,"published_at":11,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":15,"score_detail":16,"sources":24,"tags":26,"primary_topic":32,"secondary_topics":38,"classification":39,"search_phrases":79,"slug":82,"view_count":83,"doi":84,"paper":85,"created_at":105},3661,"Association between climate variability adaptation practices and household food security in three agro-ecological zones of northwestern Ethiopia","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1007\u002Fs43621-026-04827-w","Climate variability increasingly threatens smallholder agriculture and food security in sub-Saharan Africa, yet evidence on the comparative effectiveness of adaptation strategies, particularly integrated portfolios, remains limited. This study examines the association between climate variability adaptation practices on household multidimensional food security across three agro-ecological zones in northwestern Ethiopia, using data from 383 randomly selected households. The multinomial endogenous switching regression (MESR) model is applied to control for selection bias arising from both observed and unobserved heterogeneity. Results show that adaptation decisions are significantly associated with by education, farming experience, landholding size, household size, market distance, agro-ecological location, and access to climate information. Estimated effects indicate that most adaptation strategies are associated with statistically significant improvements in multidimensional food security, although the magnitude varies across adaptation portfolios. Crop diversification is associated with higher estimated food-security scores by 25.4 percentage points ( p \u003C 0.01), while the integrated adoption of crop diversification, drought-resistant crops, and short-maturing varieties was associated with the largest estimated gain (31.4 percentage points; p \u003C 0.01). Because relatively few households adopted this full adaptation package, the estimate should be interpreted cautiously. However, effects are not strictly monotonic across all strategy combinations, and some dual-adoption portfolios show weaker or statistically insignificant associations. Heterogeneity analysis suggests that non-adopters could potentially realize larger gains from adaptation than current adopters, indicating substantial unmet adaptive capacity. Overall, integrated adaptation portfolios are associated with stronger food security outcomes than individual strategies, although no formal test of complementarities is conducted. These findings highlight the importance of promoting context-specific, integrated climate-smart agriculture supported by improved climate information systems, extension services, and targeted investments in infrastructure and productive assets to strengthen resilience in climate-vulnerable agrarian systems.","气候变率日益威胁撒哈拉以南非洲的小农农业与粮食安全，然而关于适应策略尤其是综合适应组合比较有效性的证据仍然有限。本研究利用383户随机抽样农户的数据，考察了埃塞俄比亚西北部三个农业生态区中气候变率适应措施与家庭多维粮食安全之间的关联。研究采用多项内生转换回归（MESR）模型，以控制由可观测和不可观测异质性所导致的选择偏误。结果表明，适应决策与教育程度、务农经验、土地持有规模、家庭规模、市场距离、农业生态区位以及气候信息获取显著相关。估计效应表明，大多数适应策略与多维粮食安全的统计显著改善相关，但效应大小因适应组合而异。作物多样化与粮食安全得分提高25.4个百分点相关（p \u003C 0.01），而作物多样化、抗旱作物和短生育期品种的综合采用与最大估计增益相关（31.4个百分点；p \u003C 0.01）。由于采用这一完整适应组合的家庭相对较少，该估计值应谨慎解读。然而，效应并非在所有策略组合中严格单调，一些双重采用组合显示出较弱或统计不显著的关联。异质性分析表明，非采用者可能从适应中获得比当前采用者更大的潜在收益，表明存在大量尚未实现的适应能力。总体而言，综合适应组合与比单项策略更强的粮食安全结果相关，尽管未进行互补性的正式检验。这些发现凸显了推广因地制宜的综合气候智慧型农业的重要性，并需辅以改进的气候信息系统、推广服务以及对基础设施和生产性资产的有针对性投资，以增强气候脆弱型农业系统的韧性。",null,"Discover Sustainability","2026-09-27T00:00:00Z","论文",10,false,68,{"impact":17,"substance":18,"depth":19,"authority":20,"freshness":21,"relevant":22,"comment":23},8,21,17,13,9,1,"基于383户农户的实证研究，量化了气候适应组合对粮食安全的增益，方法规范、结论有参考价值，但属区域案例，公共影响有限。",[25],{"name":10,"url":6},[27,28,29,30,31],"粮食安全","小农户","气候适应","气候智慧农业","埃塞俄比亚",{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},"A8","yield-food-security","单产提升与粮食安全","\u002Ftopic\u002Ffield-crops\u002Fyield-food-security","A",[],{"status":40,"locked":14,"version":41,"method":42,"evidence":43},"classified","2026-10-22.2","rules",{"candidates":44,"agricultural_evidence":47},[45,52,59,66,73],{"code":33,"score":46,"supported":47,"title":48,"abstract":50,"tags":51},15,true,[49],"food security",[27,49],[27],{"code":53,"score":54,"supported":47,"title":55,"abstract":56,"tags":58},"H7",5,[],[57],"drought",[30,29],{"code":60,"score":61,"supported":47,"title":62,"abstract":63,"tags":65},"G2",4,[],[64],"smallholder",[28],{"code":67,"score":68,"supported":47,"title":69,"abstract":70,"tags":72},"H6",3,[],[71],"农业生态",[],{"code":74,"score":68,"supported":47,"title":75,"abstract":76,"tags":78},"I1",[],[77],"smart agriculture",[],[80,81],"埃塞俄比亚 小农户 粮食安全","气候适应 作物多样化 粮食安全","埃塞俄比亚小农户粮食安全-3661",2,"10.1007\u002Fs43621-026-04827-w",{"doi":84,"openalex_id":86,"authors":87,"venue":10,"cited_by_count":96,"oa_url":6,"card":97,"direction":103,"ingested_from":104},"W7214458952",[88,91,94],{"name":89,"orcid":90},"Tewodros Adane Nega","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0009-5991-5356",{"name":92,"orcid":93},"Getachew Eshetu Gidelew","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0001-7672-5559",{"name":95,"orcid":9},"Zebenay Shitaye Alemayhu",0,{"tldr":98,"method":99,"finding":100,"direction":101,"opportunity":102},"研究埃塞俄比亚西北部农户气候适应措施与粮食安全的关系，发现综合适应组合效果最好。","对383户调查数据用多项内生转换回归模型控制选择偏差。","作物多样化使粮食安全得分提高25.4个百分点，综合采用三种适应措施提高31.4个百分点。","农业绿色发展与碳","可探究适应措施组合的互补性机制及非采纳者潜力，并验证气候信息服务对适应决策的因果影响。","智慧农业 \u002F 农业物联网","openalex","2026-09-28T23:30:08.179951Z",{"total":107,"page":22,"page_size":107,"items":108},6,[109,204,274,382,444,512],{"id":110,"title":111,"url":112,"summary":113,"summary_zh":114,"content":9,"source_name":115,"source_url":112,"published_at":116,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":117,"score_detail":118,"sources":121,"tags":123,"primary_topic":126,"secondary_topics":127,"classification":138,"search_phrases":181,"slug":184,"view_count":96,"doi":185,"paper":186,"created_at":203},5478,"Characterisation of Food Security Situation for Smallholder Farmers in Zvimba","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.71458\u002Frx0qpm30","This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the food security situation among smallholder farmers (SHFs) in Zvimba District, Zimbabwe. Smallholder agriculture is the bedrock of Zimbabwe's food system, yet it remains highly vulnerable to a complex array of shocks and stressors. Using a mixed-methods approach, this research investigates the prevalence, drivers and lived experiences of food insecurity within this community. A structured survey was administered to 412 randomly selected smallholder households across the district's wards. The quantitative data were supplemented by 12 Focus Group Discussions (FGDs) and 24 Key Informant Interviews (KIIs) with farmers, community leaders and agricultural extension officers to capture qualitative nuances. The study is grounded in the Food Security Theory (FST), which conceptualises food security through its four pillars: food availability, food access, food utilisation and food stability. Findings reveal a precarious food security situation. Quantitatively, 78.4% of households were found to be food insecure, with an average Hunger Months Index of 4.7 months per year. The study identifies a significant disconnect between maize production, the national staple and household consumption, with over 65% of households failing to produce enough maize to meet their annual requirements. Qualitative data illuminated the multi-faceted drivers of this insecurity. Key points to note include climate change whereby erratic rainfall and prolonged mid-season dry spells were consistently reported as the primary production challenges, limited access to farming inputs whereby high costs and unreliable supplies of certified seeds, fertilizers and agro[1]chemicals constrain productivity. Morelso, socio-economic factors such as poverty, lack of viable alternative livelihoods and limited access to formal credit perpetuate a cycle of vulnerability. In addition, institutional weaknesses, for example, challenges with agricultural extension services and market inefficiencies, exacerbate the situation. The study concludes that food insecurity in Zvimba is not merely a problem of food production, but is deeply rooted in structural issues affecting food access, food utilisation, as well as food stability. Recommendations are proposed for a multi-sectoral approach, including promoting Climate-Smart Agriculture (CSA) and drought-resistant crops, strengthening input support systems and rural finance, diversifying livelihood strategies and enhancing the capacity of extension services. This research contributes to a deeper understanding of the localised dynamics of food security and provides evidence-based guidance for policymakers, development practitioners and the farmers of Zvimba themselves.","本研究对津巴布韦兹维姆巴区小农户（smallholder farmers, SHFs）的粮食安全状况进行了全面分析。小农农业是津巴布韦粮食体系的基石，但仍极易受到一系列复杂冲击和压力的影响。本研究采用混合方法，考察了该社区粮食不安全的普遍程度、驱动因素及生活体验。研究对该区各选区随机抽取的412户小农户进行了结构化问卷调查。定量数据辅以12次焦点小组讨论（FGDs）和24次关键知情人访谈（KIIs），访谈对象包括农民、社区领袖和农业推广人员，以捕捉定性层面的细微差异。本研究以粮食安全理论（Food Security Theory, FST）为基础，该理论通过四大支柱界定粮食安全：粮食可供性、粮食获取、粮食利用和粮食稳定性。研究结果揭示了严峻的粮食安全形势。定量数据显示，78.4%的家庭存在粮食不安全，年均饥饿月份指数为4.7个月。研究发现，玉米产量——该国主粮——与家庭消费之间存在显著脱节，超过65%的家庭生产的玉米不足以满足其年度需求。定性数据揭示了这一不安全状况的多重驱动因素。值得注意的要点包括：气候变化，即降雨不稳定和持续的中期干旱被一致报告为主要生产挑战；农业投入品获取受限，即认证种子、化肥和农用化学品成本高昂且供应不可靠，制约了生产力。此外，贫困、缺乏可行的替代生计以及正规信贷获取受限等社会经济因素使脆弱性循环持续存在。此外，制度薄弱环节，例如农业推广服务面临的挑战和市场效率低下，加剧了这一状况。研究得出结论，兹维姆巴的粮食不安全不仅仅是粮食生产问题，而是深深植根于影响粮食获取、粮食利用以及粮食稳定性的结构性问题。研究提出了采取多部门方法的建议，包括推广气候智能型农业（Climate-Smart Agriculture, CSA）和抗旱作物、加强投入品支持体系和农村金融、多样化生计策略以及增强","Ngenani The Zimbabwe Ezekiel Guti Journal of Community Engagement and Societal Transformations","2026-10-20T00:00:00Z",55,{"impact":17,"substance":119,"depth":46,"authority":107,"freshness":17,"relevant":22,"comment":120},18,"基于412户调查与混合方法的扎实实证研究，但属津巴布韦地方性案例，公共影响与信源权威度有限，可作参考而非每日精选。",[122],{"name":115,"url":112},[27,28,30,124,125],"农业推广","津巴布韦",{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},[128,133],{"code":60,"slug":129,"name":130,"path":131,"parent_code":132},"farm-services","社会化服务与规模经营","\u002Ftopic\u002Frural-services\u002Ffarm-services","G",{"code":53,"slug":134,"name":135,"path":136,"parent_code":137},"climate","气候适应与防灾减灾","\u002Ftopic\u002Fenvironment\u002Fclimate","H",{"status":40,"locked":14,"version":41,"method":42,"evidence":139},{"candidates":140,"agricultural_evidence":47},[141,145,149,156,163,170,177],{"code":33,"score":46,"supported":47,"title":142,"abstract":143,"tags":144},[49],[27,49],[27],{"code":60,"score":46,"supported":47,"title":146,"abstract":147,"tags":148},[64],[28,64],[28],{"code":53,"score":13,"supported":47,"title":150,"abstract":151,"tags":155},[],[152,153,154,57],"气候变化","干旱","climate change",[30],{"code":157,"score":158,"supported":47,"title":159,"abstract":160,"tags":162},"G1",7,[],[124,161],"agricultural extension",[124],{"code":164,"score":107,"supported":47,"title":165,"abstract":166,"tags":169},"A3",[],[167,168],"玉米","maize",[],{"code":171,"score":107,"supported":47,"title":172,"abstract":173,"tags":176},"G3",[],[174,175],"农村金融","rural finance",[],{"code":74,"score":68,"supported":47,"title":178,"abstract":179,"tags":180},[],[77],[],[182,183],"Zvimba 小农户 粮食安全","津巴布韦 小农 玉米","Zvimba小农户粮食安全-5478","10.71458\u002Frx0qpm30",{"doi":185,"openalex_id":187,"authors":188,"venue":115,"cited_by_count":96,"oa_url":9,"card":197,"direction":103,"ingested_from":104},"W7223029383",[189,192,195],{"name":190,"orcid":191},"Casper Myambo","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0007-8625-7526",{"name":193,"orcid":194},"Chipo Plaxedes Mubaya","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-4123-0238",{"name":196,"orcid":9},"Patience Mutopo",{"tldr":198,"method":199,"finding":200,"direction":201,"opportunity":202},"调查津巴布韦Zvimba小农户粮食安全状况，分析其普遍性、成因与实际体验。","混合方法：412户问卷、12场焦点小组、24个关键人物访谈，基于粮食安全四支柱理","78.4%家庭粮食不安全，年均饥饿月4.7个月，主因是气候、投入、社会经济与制度等结构性问题。","数字乡村与农业信息化","可探索用移动端问卷与遥感产量监测构建小农户粮食安全动态预警与精准干预系统。","2026-10-21T23:30:08.937079Z",{"id":205,"title":206,"url":207,"summary":208,"summary_zh":209,"content":9,"source_name":115,"source_url":207,"published_at":116,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":210,"score_detail":211,"sources":214,"tags":216,"primary_topic":217,"secondary_topics":218,"classification":224,"search_phrases":254,"slug":257,"view_count":96,"doi":258,"paper":259,"created_at":273},5475,"Adoption of Climate-Smart Conservation Agriculture in Improving Food Security in Zimbabwe: The Case of Marondera District, Zimbabwe","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.71458\u002Fwby9rf15","Climate change is negatively impacting the global community and local communities in the Southern African Development Community (SADC) region. Extreme weather events are occurring more frequently, posing a threat to human lives and well-being. Climate change-induced disasters have exacerbated the risks of hunger and under nutrition through reduced yields of agricultural crops. The detrimental effects of climate change are particularly seen in Zimbabwe. It is best to use climate-smart agriculture (CSA) in the smallholder agricultural sector, which produces the majority of the nation's food. Therefore, it is important to learn lessons from past events and manage risks effectively as part of an integrated set of interventions directed at mitigating the harmful impacts of disasters and risks. The research explores community adaptation and coping strategies in addressing the effects of climate change on food security using Marondera District as a case study. The research was conducted using the qualitative research methodology. Data were collected from a population of 50 people that included smallscale farmers, Agritex officers, extension officers, non-governmental organisation (NGO) representatives, village herdsman and the chief. Documentary research was analysed thematically. The research concludes that climate change has had a negative impact on food security. It affected all the four dimensions of food security, that is; food availability, food accessibility, food utilisation and food systems stability. In response, various projects aimed at ensuring community resilience to cope in the face of climatological hazards have been implemented by NGOs, government institutions and other actors, with community members being key stakeholder. The research recommends continued mobilisation of social protection interventions, building of resilient agricultural systems to make them more resilient to climate change and improving the management of the environment to ensure effectiveness in efforts to mitigate the impact of climate change on food security.","气候变化正在对全球社会以及南部非洲发展共同体（SADC）区域的当地社区产生负面影响。极端天气事件发生频率增加，对人类生命和福祉构成威胁。气候变化引发的灾害通过降低农作物产量，加剧了饥饿和营养不足的风险。气候变化的不利影响在津巴布韦尤为显著。在小农农业部门——该部门生产了全国大部分粮食——最好采用气候智能型农业（CSA）。因此，重要的是从过去的事件中吸取教训，并作为旨在减轻灾害和风险有害影响的一套综合干预措施的一部分，有效管理风险。本研究以马龙德拉区为案例，探讨社区在应对气候变化对粮食安全影响方面的适应和应对策略。研究采用定性研究方法开展。数据从50人的群体中收集，包括小规模农户、Agritex官员、推广官员、非政府组织（NGO）代表、村级牧民和酋长。文献研究进行了主题分析。研究得出结论，气候变化对粮食安全产生了负面影响。它影响了粮食安全的所有四个维度，即粮食可供性、粮食可及性、粮食利用和粮食系统稳定性。作为回应，非政府组织、政府机构和其他行为体实施了旨在确保社区抵御气候灾害能力的各类项目，社区成员是关键利益相关者。研究建议继续动员社会保护干预措施，建设有韧性的农业系统以使其更能抵御气候变化，并改善环境管理，以确保减轻气候变化对粮食安全影响的努力取得实效。",54,{"impact":17,"substance":119,"depth":212,"authority":107,"freshness":17,"relevant":22,"comment":213},14,"以津巴布韦Marondera区为案例的定性研究，探讨气候智慧型保护性农业对粮食安全四维度的影响，属区域案例研究，国际借鉴价值有限，不建议进入每日精选。",[215],{"name":115,"url":207},[27,28,30,125],{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},[219],{"code":220,"slug":221,"name":222,"path":223,"parent_code":137},"H8","sustainable-agriculture","可持续与保护性农业","\u002Ftopic\u002Fenvironment\u002Fsustainable-agriculture",{"status":40,"locked":14,"version":41,"method":42,"evidence":225},{"candidates":226,"agricultural_evidence":47},[227,231,236,240,244,248],{"code":33,"score":46,"supported":47,"title":228,"abstract":229,"tags":230},[49],[27,49],[27],{"code":220,"score":17,"supported":47,"title":232,"abstract":234,"tags":235},[233],"conservation agriculture",[],[],{"code":53,"score":158,"supported":47,"title":237,"abstract":238,"tags":239},[],[152,154],[30],{"code":60,"score":61,"supported":47,"title":241,"abstract":242,"tags":243},[],[64],[28],{"code":74,"score":68,"supported":47,"title":245,"abstract":246,"tags":247},[],[77],[],{"code":249,"score":68,"supported":47,"title":250,"abstract":251,"tags":253},"I7",[],[252],"研究方法",[],[255,256],"Marondera 气候智慧农业","津巴布韦 小农户 粮食安全","Marondera气候智慧农业-5475","10.71458\u002Fwby9rf15",{"doi":258,"openalex_id":260,"authors":261,"venue":115,"cited_by_count":96,"oa_url":9,"card":268,"direction":103,"ingested_from":104},"W7223010488",[262,265],{"name":263,"orcid":264},"Irony Mazuruse","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0007-5600-7825",{"name":266,"orcid":267},"Judith Chokumanyara","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0000-7386-9960",{"tldr":269,"method":270,"finding":271,"direction":101,"opportunity":272},"研究津巴布韦Marondera地区小农户采用气候智能型保护性农业对粮食安全的影响。","定性研究，访谈50名小农户、推广员、NGO代表等，并进行主题分析。","气候变化损害粮食安全四个维度，多方项目提升了社区抗灾韧性。","可量化气候智能型保护性农业对粮食安全四维度的贡献，并评估数字推广工具在其中的作用。","2026-10-21T23:30:08.757283Z",{"id":275,"title":276,"url":277,"summary":278,"summary_zh":279,"content":9,"source_name":280,"source_url":277,"published_at":281,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":282,"score_detail":283,"sources":287,"tags":289,"primary_topic":292,"secondary_topics":293,"classification":296,"search_phrases":364,"slug":367,"view_count":96,"doi":368,"paper":369,"created_at":381},5185,"When the rains are too much: El Niño, Smallholder Farmers and Food Security in Western Kenya","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.18697\u002Fajfand.155.ed182","When the rains are too much: El Niño, Smallholder Farmers and Food Security in Western Kenya For generations, farmers in Western Kenya have watched the skies carefully. The arrival, duration, and distribution of rainfall have traditionally provided important signals about when to prepare land, plant, weed, and harvest. But these signals are becoming increasingly difficult to read. Climate change is altering rainfall patterns, while increasingly frequent extreme weather events are making farming more uncertain. The current outlook for the October–December 2026 season brings this challenge sharply into focus. The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) forecasts a wetter-than-normal season across much of the Greater Horn of Africa. The Lake Victoria Basin, which includes large parts of Western Kenya, is among the areas with a high likelihood of receiving more than 400 mm of seasonal rainfall. ICPAC reports that El Niño has developed and is expected to strengthen, while a positive Indian Ocean Dipole is also expected—climate conditions that are commonly associated with enhanced rainfall in the region, and is likely to run into February of 2027. But what does this mean for the smallholder farmer? The first point is that more rainfall does not necessarily mean more food. For a farmer whose livelihood depends almost entirely on rain-fed agriculture, abundant rainfall can be a blessing. It can replenish streams and water sources, improve soil moisture, restore pasture and create favourable conditions for crop production. If well distributed, the rains could contribute to improved harvests and household food supplies. The problem arises when rainfall is too intense, too concentrated or poorly distributed. A farmer may receive a great deal of rain in a few days and then experience a dry spell. Another farmer a few kilometres away may receive considerably less. Heavy downpours can cause flooding, waterlogging and soil erosion. Seeds may be washed away soon after planting. Young crops can be submerged or damaged. Valuable topsoil and nutrients can be carried away, reducing the productivity of land in subsequent seasons. This is particularly important in Western Kenya, where many households depend on small parcels of land for both food and income. A failed or damaged crop is not simply an agricultural loss. It can mean less food in the household, less money for school fees and health care, and fewer resources to purchase nutritious foods. The food-security paradox We must, therefore, look beyond agricultural production to food and nutrition security. A household may produce enough maize yet still have a poor diet if vegetables, legumes, fruits, milk, eggs or other foods are unavailable or unaffordable. Climate shocks can reduce this diversity. When crops are damaged, families may depend more heavily on whatever staple food remains available. This is why climate resilience must also be nutrition-sensitive. Western Kenya has a rich agricultural tradition and considerable potential for diversified food production. Farmers grow cereals, legumes, vegetables and root crops and keep livestock and poultry. Such diversity is not merely an agricultural advantage; it is a nutritional resource. It can provide different foods, spread risk and generate income at different times of the year. Climate adaptation should, therefore, not encourage farmers simply to produce more of one crop. It should help them build diverse and resilient farming systems. Women carry a large part of the burden The impact of erratic and excessive rainfall also has a gender dimension. Women in smallholder households are often deeply involved in food production, processing, preparation and household nutrition. When harvests fail, or food prices rise, women frequently have to find ways of stretching limited household resources to feed the family. When roads become impassable or markets are disrupted, women may have greater difficulty accessing food and agricultural inputs. When water sources are contaminated or damaged, household responsibilities can become even more demanding. Climate adaptation must therefore deliberately include women—not simply as beneficiaries, but as decision-makers, innovators, farmers and leaders. Young people must also be part of the solution There is another group that deserves greater attention: young people. Western Kenya cannot build climate-resilient agriculture while treating agriculture as an occupation of the past. Young people need to see opportunities in modern farming, agro-processing, food safety, climate information services, irrigation, digital agriculture and agricultural entrepreneurship. The increasing unpredictability of climate may actually provide an opportunity to make agriculture more innovative. Young people can help introduce new technologies, improve access to climate information, develop value-added products and create businesses around food production and processing. From forecasting to action The availability of a climate forecast is useful only if it reaches the people who need it in time. Farmers need information that answers practical questions: When should I plant? Which crops or varieties are appropriate? How can I protect my soil? What should I do if rainfall becomes excessive? How can I protect harvested food? Where can I obtain reliable seed and other inputs? Seasonal forecasts should, therefore, be translated into local, practical agricultural advice. ICPAC itself emphasizes that seasonal forecasts should be used together with weekly and monthly forecasts and national meteorological information. This requires stronger links between meteorological services, agricultural extension officers, researchers, county governments, farmer organizations and communities. We should also strengthen simple but important measures: water harvesting, drainage, terracing and soil conservation; planting crops and varieties suited to local conditions; maintaining vegetation cover; diversifying crops and livestock; improving storage facilities; and protecting food from moisture and contamination. Prepare before the rain comes The greatest lesson from the current El Niño outlook is perhaps that preparedness must begin before the first heavy rains arrive. Governments and development partners should not wait for floods, damaged roads, destroyed crops or food shortages before responding. Early warning should lead to early action. Farmers should be supported to prepare their farms, protect livestock, secure seed and inputs, strengthen food storage and identify alternative routes to markets. This is particularly important because the same season can produce both opportunities and losses. ICPAC notes that enhanced rainfall can support agricultural production and replenish water resources, but can simultaneously increase the risk of flooding, flash floods and landslides in vulnerable areas. A changing climate requires a different agricultural mindset Perhaps the most important change we need is in the way we think about farming. For too long, agricultural planning has often assumed that rainfall will behave according to a familiar calendar. That assumption is becoming increasingly unsafe. Farmers now have to manage not only too little rain, but also too much rain, rain at the wrong time and rain in the wrong place. The challenge is, therefore, not simply to produce more food. It is to build food systems that can continue providing adequate, diverse, safe and nutritious food under increasingly uncertain climatic conditions. Western Kenya's smallholder farmers should not be left alone to carry this burden. They need science that responds to their realities, extension services that reach them, climate information they can understand and use, financial services that help them manage risk, markets that function during difficult seasons, and policies that recognize the central role of smallholder agriculture in national food and nutrition security, and partners who are willing to appreciate and make use of indigenous knowledge. El Niño should, therefore, be viewed neither simply as a disaster nor automatically as a blessing. It is a climate event whose consequences will depend greatly on our preparedness. The question before us is not merely, “Will the rains come?” They probably will. The more important question is: Will our farmers, food systems and institutions be ready when they do? That is where climate resilience—and ultimately food and nutrition security—will be tested. Prof. Ruth Khasaya Oniang'o Founder and Editor-in-Chief, AJFAND ORCiD: https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0005-8344-9093","当雨水过多时：厄尔尼诺现象、小农户与肯尼亚西部的粮食安全\n\n世代以来，肯尼亚西部的农民一直密切关注着天空。降雨的到来、持续时间和分布，传统上为何时整地、播种、除草和收获提供了重要信号。但这些信号正变得越来越难以解读。气候变化正在改变降雨模式，而日益频繁的极端天气事件使农业变得更加不确定。当前对2026年10月至12月季节的展望使这一挑战凸显出来。政府间发展组织气候预测与应用中心（ICPAC）预测，大非洲之角大部分地区将迎来高于正常水平的湿润季节。维多利亚湖流域——包括肯尼亚西部的大部分地区——属于极有可能获得超过400毫米季节性降雨的区域之一。ICPAC报告称，厄尔尼诺现象已经形成并预计将增强，同时预计还将出现正印度洋偶极子——这些气候条件通常与该地区降雨增强相关，并可能持续到2027年2月。但这对小农户意味着什么？首先，更多降雨并不必然意味着更多粮食。对于生计几乎完全依赖雨养农业的农民来说，充沛的降雨可能是福。它可以补充溪流和水源、改善土壤湿度、恢复牧场，并为作物生产创造有利条件。如果分布良好，降雨可能有助于改善收成和家庭粮食供应。问题出现在降雨过于猛烈、过于集中或分布不均的时候。一个农民可能在几天内获得大量降雨，随后又经历一段干旱期。几公里外的另一个农民可能获得的降雨少得多。暴雨可能引发洪水、渍涝和土壤侵蚀。种子可能在播种后不久被冲走。幼苗可能被淹没或受损。宝贵的表土和养分可能被带走，降低土地在后续季节的生产力。这在肯尼亚西部尤为重要，因为许多家庭依赖小块土地获取食物和收入。作物歉收或受损不仅仅是农业损失。它可能意味着家庭食物减少、用于学费和医疗的钱减少，以及购买营养食品的资源减少。粮食安全……","African Journal of Food Agriculture Nutrition and Development","2026-10-16T00:00:00Z",75,{"impact":119,"substance":284,"depth":285,"authority":20,"freshness":17,"relevant":22,"comment":286},20,16,"核心期刊评论文章，结合El Niño预测讨论小农户气候适应与粮食营养安全，有实质分析与行动建议，但属区域案例、非信息化技术突破。",[288],{"name":280,"url":277},[290,27,28,30,291],"肯尼亚","气候预警",{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},[294,295],{"code":60,"slug":129,"name":130,"path":131,"parent_code":132},{"code":53,"slug":134,"name":135,"path":136,"parent_code":137},{"status":40,"locked":14,"version":41,"method":42,"evidence":297},{"candidates":298,"agricultural_evidence":47},[299,303,307,313,320,324,330,336,342,348,354,358],{"code":33,"score":46,"supported":47,"title":300,"abstract":301,"tags":302},[49],[27,49],[27],{"code":60,"score":46,"supported":47,"title":304,"abstract":305,"tags":306},[64],[28,64],[28],{"code":53,"score":13,"supported":47,"title":308,"abstract":309,"tags":312},[],[152,153,154,310,311],"climate resilience","waterlogging",[30],{"code":314,"score":107,"supported":47,"title":315,"abstract":316,"tags":319},"H2",[],[317,318],"土壤","soil",[],{"code":164,"score":68,"supported":47,"title":321,"abstract":322,"tags":323},[],[168],[],{"code":325,"score":68,"supported":47,"title":326,"abstract":327,"tags":329},"B4",[],[328],"月季",[],{"code":331,"score":68,"supported":47,"title":332,"abstract":333,"tags":335},"C",[],[334],"livestock",[],{"code":337,"score":68,"supported":47,"title":338,"abstract":339,"tags":341},"C3",[],[340],"poultry",[],{"code":343,"score":68,"supported":47,"title":344,"abstract":345,"tags":347},"E4",[],[346],"food safety",[],{"code":349,"score":68,"supported":47,"title":350,"abstract":351,"tags":353},"F4",[],[352],"除草",[],{"code":157,"score":68,"supported":47,"title":355,"abstract":356,"tags":357},[],[161],[],{"code":359,"score":68,"supported":47,"title":360,"abstract":361,"tags":363},"H3",[],[362],"irrigation",[],[365,366],"El Niño 小农户 粮食安全","ICPAC 季节预报 肯尼亚","ElNiño小农户粮食安全-5185","10.18697\u002Fajfand.155.ed182",{"doi":368,"openalex_id":370,"authors":371,"venue":280,"cited_by_count":96,"oa_url":375,"card":376,"direction":201,"ingested_from":104},"W7222630373",[372],{"name":373,"orcid":374},"Ruth Khasaya Oniang'o","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0005-8344-9093","https:\u002F\u002Fajfand.net\u002FVolume26\u002FNo8\u002FEditorialVol26No8.pdf",{"tldr":377,"method":378,"finding":379,"direction":101,"opportunity":380},"分析厄尔尼诺导致肯尼亚西部降雨过量对小农粮食安全的影响","基于ICPAC季节气候预测与厄尔尼诺、印度洋偶极子分析","降雨过多且分布不均会引发洪涝、土壤侵蚀，反而威胁小农粮食安全","可结合遥感与农户调查，量化极端降雨时空分布对小农产量与粮食安全的非线性影响","2026-10-17T23:30:36.130973Z",{"id":383,"title":384,"url":385,"summary":386,"summary_zh":387,"content":9,"source_name":388,"source_url":385,"published_at":389,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":390,"score_detail":391,"sources":393,"tags":395,"primary_topic":398,"secondary_topics":399,"classification":400,"search_phrases":419,"slug":422,"view_count":83,"doi":423,"paper":424,"created_at":443},4883,"Determinants of climate smart agricultural practices adoption and their implications for household food security in Musanze District, Rwanda","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1080\u002F19320248.2026.2739942","Climate change threatens smallholder agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa. In Musanze District, this study assessed Climate Smart Agriculture (CSA) adoption and its impact on household food security. A cross-sectional survey of 422 households used HFIAS and HDDS indicators. CSA adoption was high (91.7–100%), though constrained by land fragmentation. All households were food secure, with a mean HDDS of 10.78. Higher adoption intensity was associated with greater dietary diversity, measured using the Household Dietary Diversity Score (HDDS). Farmers perceived gains in income and diet, but not affordability. While CSA supports food security, addressing land fragmentation, input access and market challenges is essential for sustained impact.","气候变化威胁着撒哈拉以南非洲的小农农业。本研究在穆桑泽地区评估了气候智能型农业（CSA）的采用情况及其对家庭粮食安全的影响。一项涵盖422户家庭的横断面调查采用了HFIAS和HDDS指标。CSA采用率较高（91.7–100%），但受到土地细碎化的制约。所有家庭均实现了粮食安全，平均HDDS为10.78。较高的采用强度与更大的膳食多样性相关，后者通过家庭膳食多样性评分（HDDS）衡量。农民感知到收入和膳食方面的改善，但未感知到可负担性的提升。尽管CSA有助于粮食安全，但解决土地细碎化、投入获取和市场挑战对于持续产生影响至关重要。","Journal of Hunger & Environmental Nutrition","2026-10-12T00:00:00Z",63,{"impact":17,"substance":119,"depth":46,"authority":20,"freshness":21,"relevant":22,"comment":392},"基于422户调查的实证研究，数据扎实但属区域性案例，对国内三农信息化参考价值有限。",[394],{"name":388,"url":385},[27,28,30,396,397],"膳食多样性","卢旺达",{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},[],{"status":40,"locked":14,"version":41,"method":42,"evidence":401},{"candidates":402,"agricultural_evidence":47},[403,407,411,415],{"code":33,"score":46,"supported":47,"title":404,"abstract":405,"tags":406},[49],[27,49],[27],{"code":53,"score":158,"supported":47,"title":408,"abstract":409,"tags":410},[],[152,154],[30],{"code":60,"score":61,"supported":47,"title":412,"abstract":413,"tags":414},[],[64],[28],{"code":74,"score":68,"supported":47,"title":416,"abstract":417,"tags":418},[],[77],[],[420,421],"卢旺达 Musanze 气候智慧农业","HFIAS HDDS 粮食安全","卢旺达Musanze气候智慧农业-4883","10.1080\u002F19320248.2026.2739942",{"doi":423,"openalex_id":425,"authors":426,"venue":388,"cited_by_count":96,"oa_url":437,"card":438,"direction":103,"ingested_from":104},"W7221514696",[427,429,431,434],{"name":428,"orcid":9},"Chance Bertine Imboni",{"name":430,"orcid":9},"Jonas Nzabamwita",{"name":432,"orcid":433},"Christophe Mupenzi","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-1088-4527",{"name":435,"orcid":436},"Thompson Faraday Ediagbonya","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-0878-8851","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.6084\u002Fm9.figshare.34398567",{"tldr":439,"method":440,"finding":441,"direction":101,"opportunity":442},"研究卢旺达Musanze地区气候智慧型农业采用的决定因素及其对家庭粮食安全的影响。","对422户进行横截面调查，使用HFIAS和HDDS指标评估。","CSA采用率高但受土地细碎化制约，采用强度越高膳食多样性越好。","可探究土地细碎化下CSA采用强度与粮食安全的长期动态及市场接入的中介作用。","2026-10-14T23:30:10.365561Z",{"id":445,"title":446,"url":447,"summary":448,"summary_zh":449,"content":9,"source_name":450,"source_url":447,"published_at":451,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":452,"score_detail":453,"sources":455,"tags":457,"primary_topic":460,"secondary_topics":461,"classification":462,"search_phrases":495,"slug":498,"view_count":83,"doi":499,"paper":500,"created_at":511},3826,"From Dry Fields To Smart Resilience: Climate-Smart Agriculture, Digital Early-Warning Systems And Household Food Security In Chivi District, Zimbabwe","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.36923\u002Fsq.v3i1.435","This paper examines how climate-smart agriculture (CSA) and digital early-warning systems can jointly support household food-security resilience in Chivi District, a drought-prone area of south-eastern Zimbabwe dominated by rain-fed smallholder agriculture. Using a structured qualitative evidence synthesis with a district-centred case orientation, the study reviews 47 academic, policy and institutional sources published from 2021 to 14 September 2026. The study prioritises direct Chivi evidence, while using Zimbabwean, southern African, and wider African evidence comparatively where district-specific studies are limited. The synthesis identifies six interrelated themes concerning climate shocks, CSA adoption, small grains and water management, digital early warning, gender and institutional capacity, and integrated resilience. The findings indicate that CSA can strengthen food security when extension, inputs, finance, and markets support conservation agriculture, crop diversification, small grains, soil-fertility management, and water harvesting. However, digital early-warning information contributes to resilience only when it is timely, trusted, localised and translated into feasible action. Accordingly, the paper's principal contribution is an integrated smart-resilience framework centred on an information-to-action pathway: climate information can influence household food-security resilience only when farmers have viable adaptation options and the material, social and institutional capacity to act. The paper therefore treats digital information, agronomic adaptation, gender, household resources and local institutions as interdependent rather than separate interventions.","本文考察气候智慧型农业（climate-smart agriculture, CSA）与数字预警系统如何共同支撑津巴布韦东南部干旱易发区奇维（Chivi）地区以雨养小农农业为主的家庭粮食安全韧性。研究采用以地区为中心的案例导向结构化定性证据综合方法，梳理了2021年至2026年9月14日期间发表的47份学术、政策与机构文献。研究优先采用奇维地区的直接证据，在地区性专门研究有限时，则比较性地参考津巴布韦、南部非洲及更广泛非洲的证据。该综合识别出六个相互关联的主题，涉及气候冲击、气候智慧型农业采纳、小粒谷物与水资源管理、数字预警、性别与制度能力，以及综合韧性。研究结果表明，当推广服务、投入品、金融和市场支持保护性农业、作物多样化、小粒谷物、土壤肥力管理和集水时，气候智慧型农业能够增强粮食安全。然而，数字预警信息只有在及时、可信、本地化并转化为可行行动时，才能促进韧性。因此，本文的主要贡献在于提出了一个以信息到行动路径为核心的综合智慧韧性框架：气候信息只有在农民拥有可行的适应选项以及采取行动所需的物质、社会和制度能力时，才能影响家庭粮食安全韧性。据此，本文将数字信息、农艺适应、性别、家庭资源和地方制度视为相互依存的干预措施，而非彼此分离的干预措施。","Sustainability Quest","2026-09-29T00:00:00Z",56,{"impact":17,"substance":119,"depth":285,"authority":107,"freshness":17,"relevant":22,"comment":454},"以津巴布韦Chivi区为案例的定性证据综述，提出信息到行动的气候智慧农业韧性框架，对数字预警落地条件有参考价值，但属区域案例研究，公共影响有限。",[456],{"name":450,"url":447},[458,27,28,30,459],"智慧农业","数字预警",{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},[],{"status":40,"locked":14,"version":41,"method":42,"evidence":463},{"candidates":464,"agricultural_evidence":47},[465,469,474,478,482,486,491],{"code":33,"score":46,"supported":47,"title":466,"abstract":467,"tags":468},[49],[27,49],[27],{"code":74,"score":470,"supported":47,"title":471,"abstract":472,"tags":473},12,[77],[77],[458],{"code":53,"score":158,"supported":47,"title":475,"abstract":476,"tags":477},[],[153,57],[30],{"code":314,"score":107,"supported":47,"title":479,"abstract":480,"tags":481},[],[317,318],[],{"code":60,"score":61,"supported":47,"title":483,"abstract":484,"tags":485},[],[64],[28],{"code":359,"score":68,"supported":47,"title":487,"abstract":488,"tags":490},[],[489],"水资源",[],{"code":220,"score":68,"supported":47,"title":492,"abstract":493,"tags":494},[],[233],[],[496,497],"气候智慧农业 数字预警 智慧农业 粮食安全","气候智慧农业 数字预警","气候智慧农业数字预警智慧农业粮食安全-3826","10.36923\u002Fsq.v3i1.435",{"doi":499,"openalex_id":501,"authors":502,"venue":450,"cited_by_count":96,"oa_url":447,"card":506,"direction":103,"ingested_from":104},"W7214743351",[503],{"name":504,"orcid":505},"Victor Madziyauswa","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-6122-6666",{"tldr":507,"method":508,"finding":509,"direction":201,"opportunity":510},"综述津巴布韦Chivi地区气候智慧农业与数字预警系统如何共同提升家庭粮食安全韧性。","结构化定性证据综合，分析47份2021-2026年学术、政策与机构文献。","数字预警须及时、可信、本地化并转化为可行行动，且需配套适应选项与能力才能提升韧性。","可实证检验“信息—行动”路径，研究数字预警与农户适应能力、性别和制度条件的交互机制。","2026-09-30T23:30:09.849166Z",{"id":513,"title":514,"url":515,"summary":516,"summary_zh":517,"content":9,"source_name":518,"source_url":515,"published_at":519,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":452,"score_detail":520,"sources":522,"tags":524,"primary_topic":526,"secondary_topics":527,"classification":528,"search_phrases":552,"slug":555,"view_count":96,"doi":556,"paper":557,"created_at":572},3059,"Climate Smart Agriculture and Food Security among Rural Farmers in Nasarawa State, Nigeria","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.67317\u002Fijmsrt26sep046","Climate change continues to threaten agricultural productivity and household food security, particularly among rural farmers who depend on rain-fed agriculture. This study examined climate smart agriculture and food security among rural farmers in Nasarawa State, Nigeria. Specifically, it assessed the extent of adoption of climatesmart agricultural practices and examined their influence on household food security. A mixed-methods descriptive survey design was adopted. Data were collected from 372 rural farming households using structured questionnaires, while Key Informant Interviews were conducted with agricultural extension officers and community leaders. Secondary data were obtained from relevant journal articles, government publications, and reports. Quantitative data were analyzed using frequency tables and percentages and presented with bar charts, while qualitative data were transcribed, interpreted, and integrated with the quantitative findings. The study found that climate-smart agricultural practices significantly enhanced household food security, with 86% of the respondents indicating that the practices strengthened their resilience to climate change, while 85% reported improved household food availability. The study concludes that climate-smart agriculture is an effective approach for improving the livelihoods and food security of rural farming households in Nasarawa State. The study recommends that the Nasarawa State Agricultural Development Programme (NADP), in collaboration with the State Ministry of Agriculture and agricultural extension agencies, should strengthen extension services by providing regular farmer training, climate information, and access to climate-smart agricultural technologies to promote wider adoption and enhance household food security.","气候变化持续威胁农业生产力和家庭粮食安全，尤其是依赖雨养农业的农村农民。本研究考察了尼日利亚纳萨拉瓦州农村农民的气候智能型农业与粮食安全状况。具体而言，研究评估了气候智能型农业实践的采用程度，并考察了其对家庭粮食安全的影响。研究采用混合方法描述性调查设计。通过结构化问卷从372个农村农户收集数据，同时对农业推广官员和社区领袖进行了关键信息人访谈。二手数据来源于相关期刊文章、政府出版物和报告。定量数据采用频数表和百分比进行分析，并以柱状图呈现；定性数据经转录、解释后与定量研究结果进行整合。研究发现，气候智能型农业实践显著增强了家庭粮食安全，86%的受访者表示这些实践增强了其应对气候变化的能力，85%的受访者报告家庭粮食可获得性有所改善。研究结论认为，气候智能型农业是改善纳萨拉瓦州农村农户生计和粮食安全的有效途径。研究建议，纳萨拉瓦州农业发展计划（NADP）应与州农业部和农业推广机构合作，通过提供定期农民培训、气候信息和气候智能型农业技术获取渠道来加强推广服务，以促进更广泛的采用并增强家庭粮食安全。","International Journal of Modern Science and Research Technology","2026-09-20T00:00:00Z",{"impact":17,"substance":119,"depth":46,"authority":107,"freshness":21,"relevant":22,"comment":521},"尼日利亚地方性实证研究，样本372户、结论明确，但影响范围限于区域，对国内三农信息化参考价值有限，不宜进入每日精选。",[523],{"name":518,"url":515},[27,28,30,124,525],"尼日利亚",{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},[],{"status":40,"locked":14,"version":41,"method":42,"evidence":529},{"candidates":530,"agricultural_evidence":47},[531,535,540,544,548],{"code":33,"score":46,"supported":47,"title":532,"abstract":533,"tags":534},[49],[27,49],[27],{"code":74,"score":536,"supported":47,"title":537,"abstract":538,"tags":539},11,[77],[77],[],{"code":157,"score":158,"supported":47,"title":541,"abstract":542,"tags":543},[],[124,161],[124],{"code":53,"score":158,"supported":47,"title":545,"abstract":546,"tags":547},[],[152,154],[30],{"code":60,"score":22,"supported":14,"title":549,"abstract":550,"tags":551},[],[],[28],[553,554],"气候智慧农业 农业推广 尼日利亚 粮食安全","气候智慧农业 农业推广","气候智慧农业农业推广尼日利亚粮食安全-3059","10.67317\u002Fijmsrt26sep046",{"doi":556,"openalex_id":558,"authors":559,"venue":518,"cited_by_count":96,"oa_url":566,"card":567,"direction":103,"ingested_from":104},"W7213778728",[560,562,564],{"name":561,"orcid":9},"ABDULLAHI YUSUF AGWAI",{"name":563,"orcid":9},"Falalu Mohommed Mohammmed",{"name":565,"orcid":9},"A. S. Ogah","https:\u002F\u002Fijmsrt.com\u002Fstorages\u002Fdownload-paper\u002FIJMSRT26SEP046",{"tldr":568,"method":569,"finding":570,"direction":101,"opportunity":571},"研究尼日利亚纳萨拉瓦州农户采用气候智慧型农业对家庭粮食安全的影响。","混合方法调查，372户问卷加关键知情人访谈，频数百分比分析。","86%受访者认为气候智慧型农业增强了气候韧性，85%报告家庭粮食供应改善。","可探索气候智慧型农业技术采纳的驱动因素与推广机制，或结合数字工具提升气候信息可达性。","2026-09-21T23:30:09.323035Z"]