Agricultural Systems·8月25日 · 周二论文农业人工智能与决策模型阅读 1

Nitrogenius 2: A web-based decision support system for nitrogen governance and learning

B.T. Barış · A. Hensen · G. Breeman 等 4 人

论文解读
76精选
速览

开发并评估了氮管理决策支持系统Nitrogenius 2,集成模拟与严肃游戏,提升利益相关者理解。

方法

活动排放核算、空间沉积建模、社会经济指标、回合制模拟及课堂评估。

发现

模型值误差小于3%,多数用户认为系统提升理解,有机奶转型最具成本效益。

机会点

可扩展至其他环境政策领域,改进界面透明度,并探索多主体协作决策支持。

影响力20
信息增量22
专业深度18
信源权威14
时效性2

论文提出氮管理决策支持系统,验证准确且具教育意义,对农业环境治理有参考价值。

原文摘要

CONTEXT The Netherlands faces an acute nitrogen governance challenge. Intensive agriculture and industry cause freshwater eutrophication, terrestrial acidification, and climate change, while most Natura 2000 areas exceed critical deposition thresholds. A key barrier is limited shared understanding of how nitrogen flows connect ecological, economic, and social processes. OBJECTIVE This paper presents the design and evaluation of Nitrogenius 2, a web-based decision support system and serious game that makes nitrogen system dynamics, trade-offs, and stakeholder interdependencies explicit and accessible. METHODS Nitrogenius 2 integrates activity-based emission accounting, spatially explicit deposition modelling across a 1520-cell grid of the Netherlands, and composite socio-economic indicators within a turn-based simulation covering 2025–2035, incorporating 137 policy measures across four stakeholder roles. Evaluations included a validation test against official Dutch reference data and a classroom deployment at two Dutch universities ( n = 52), complemented by a comparative analysis of environmental-economic trade-offs. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS All modelled values fell within 3% of official reference values. Over 80% of participants agreed the system improved their understanding of stakeholder roles and policy complexity, though lower scores on emission-deposition items indicate scope for improving interface transparency. Comparative analysis identified “Switch to Organic Dairy” as the most cost-effective agricultural measure, while targeted buyouts yielded the largest improvement in Natura 2000 protection. SIGNIFICANCE Nitrogenius 2 is an open-source platform bridging the analytical rigor of decision support systems with the participatory strengths of serious games. Its modular architecture supports adaptation to other geographic contexts and environmental policy domains.

信源(1 个)

决策支持系统 农业信息化 环境治理 氮管理相关资讯

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