[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"item-144":3,"related-144":90},{"id":4,"title":5,"url":6,"summary":7,"summary_zh":8,"content":9,"source_name":10,"source_url":8,"published_at":11,"category":12,"cover_url":8,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":15,"score_detail":16,"sources":23,"tags":25,"primary_topic":30,"secondary_topics":36,"classification":43,"search_phrases":83,"slug":86,"view_count":87,"doi":88,"paper":8,"created_at":89},144,"基于因果推断和机器学习的农田玉米产量预测模型","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027","王毅、崔茜彤、王晨、熊宝伟、邵国敏、王琬莹、曹培、韩文霆(西安财经大学\u002F西北农林科技大学\u002F西安理工大学)针对传统玉米产量预测方法难以揭示变量间因果关系的问题,提出融合因果推断与机器学习的预测方法:基于遥感指数、气象数据、土壤剖面湿度和阶段性作物观测数据等多源异构信息,采用偏相关与瞬时条件独立算法系统分析玉米产量与各影响因子之间的因果关系,构建可解释的玉米产量预测模型。",null,"欢迎您访问《智慧农业（中英文）》官方网站！[English](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FEN\u002F2096-8094\u002Fhome.shtml)\n\n[![Image 1](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Fimages\u002F2096-8094\u002Fimages\u002Fbanner.png)](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F2096-8094\u002Fhome.shtml)\n\n[![Image 2](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Fimages\u002F2096-8094\u002Fimages\u002Fbanner_mobile.png)](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F2096-8094\u002Fhome.shtml)\n\n[![Image 3](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Fimages\u002F2096-8094\u002Fimages\u002Fyyzkj.png)](https:\u002F\u002Fpano.bookan.com.cn\u002F?id=60704&cid=352)\n\nToggle navigation[智慧农业](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027)\n\n*   [网站首页](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F2096-8094\u002Fhome.shtml)\n*   [期刊介绍](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002Fcolumn\u002Fcolumn133.shtml)\n*   [编委会](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002Fcolumn\u002Fcolumn153.shtml)\n*   [投稿指南](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002Fcolumn\u002Fcolumn135.shtml)\n*   [期刊服务](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002Fcolumn\u002Fcolumn124.shtml)\n*   [下载中心](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002Fcolumn\u002Fcolumn126.shtml)\n*   [联系我们](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002Fcolumn\u002Fcolumn127.shtml)\n\n[Smart Agriculture](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002F) ›› [2026](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002Farticle\u002FshowTenYearVolumnDetail.do?nian=2026), [Vol. 8](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002Farticle\u002FshowTenYearVolumnDetail.do?nian=2026) ›› [Issue (2)](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002Fvolumn\u002Fvolumn_838.shtml): 175-187.doi: [10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027](https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027)\n\n• 信息处理与决策 •[上一篇](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002Fabstract\u002Fabstract22679.shtml)\n\n### 基于因果推断和机器学习的农田玉米产量预测模型\n\n王毅 1,6, 崔茜彤 1, 王晨 1, 熊宝伟 1, 邵国敏 2, 王琬莹 1, 曹培 3([![Image 4](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Fimages\u002Femail.png)](mailto:caopei2020@nwafu.edu.cn)), 韩文霆 4,5([![Image 5](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Fimages\u002Femail.png)](mailto:hanwt2000@126.com))\n\n1.   1. 西安财经大学信息学院，陕西 西安 710100，中国\n\n2. 西安理工大学西北旱区生态水利国家重点实验室，陕西 西安 710048，中国\n\n3. 西北农林科技大学机械与电子工程学院，陕西杨凌 712100，中国\n\n4. 西北农林科技大学旱区农业节水研究院，陕西杨凌 712100，中国\n\n5. 国家作物高效用水工程实验室，陕西杨凌 712100，中国\n\n6. 智财协同可信计算陕西省高等学校重点实验室，陕西 西安 710100，中国\n\n*   `收稿日期:`2025-06-17 `出版日期:`2026-03-30 \n*   `基金项目:`国家社会科学基金(23BGL252); 陕西省自然科学基础研究计划项目(2022JQ-363); 陕西省重点产业创新链项目(2024NC-ZDCYL-05-01); 陕西省重点产业创新链项目(2023-ZDLNY-58); 西安市科技计划项目(25NJSYB00014) \n*   `作者简介:`王 毅，博士，讲师，研究方向为农情信息空天地一体化智能感知与精准作业技术。E-mail：[wang_yi@xaufe.edu.cn](mailto:wang_yi@xaufe.edu.cn) \n*   `通信作者:`曹 培，博士，副教授，研究方向为农业水信息天空地一体化智能感知与精准灌溉技术及装备。E-mail：[caopei2020@nwafu.edu.cn](mailto:caopei2020@nwafu.edu.cn) 韩文霆，博士，研究员，研究方向为农业水信息天空地一体化智能感知与精准灌溉技术及装备。E-mail：[hanwt2000@126.com](mailto:hanwt2000@126.com) \n\n### Field Maize Yield Prediction Model Based on Causal Inference and Machine Learningin Agricultural Fields\n\nWANG Yi 1,6, CUI Xitong 1, WANG Chen 1, XIONG Baowei 1, SHAO Guomin 2, WANG Wanying 1, CAO Pei 3([![Image 6](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Fimages\u002Femail.png)](mailto:caopei2020@nwafu.edu.cn)), HAN Wenting 4,5([![Image 7](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Fimages\u002Femail.png)](mailto:hanwt2000@126.com))\n\n1.   1. School of Information Science and Engineering, Xi'an University of Finance and Economics, Xi'an 710100, China\n\n2. State Key Laboratory of Eco-hydraulics in Northwest Arid Region, Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an 710048, China\n\n3. College of Mechanical and Electronic Engineering, Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, China\n\n4. Institute of Water-saving Agriculture in Arid Areas (IWSA), Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, China\n\n5. National Engineering Laboratory for Crop High-efficiency Water Use, Yangling 712100, China\n\n6. Intelligent Financial Collaborative Trusted Computing Key Laboratory of Shaanxi Province for Higher Education Institutions, Xi'an 710100, China\n\n*   `Received:`2025-06-17 `Online:`2026-03-30 \n*   `Foundation items:`National Social Science Fund Project(23BGL252); Basic Research Plan Project for Natural Sciences of Shaanxi Province(2022JQ-363); Key Innovation Chain Projects of Shaanxi Province(2024NC-ZDCYL-05-01); Key Innovation Chain Projects of Shaanxi Province(2023-ZDLNY-58); Xi'an Municipal Science and Technology Plan Project(25NJSYB00014) \n*   `About author:`WANG Yi, E-mail: [wang_yi@xaufe.edu.cn](mailto:wang_yi@xaufe.edu.cn) \n*   `Corresponding author:`CAO Pei, E-mail: [caopei2020@nwafu.edu.cn](mailto:caopei2020@nwafu.edu.cn) HAN Wenting, E-mail: [hanwt2000@126.com](mailto:hanwt2000@126.com) \n\n## [在线阅读 28](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)\n\n## [知网下载](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027)\n\n## [本地下载 47](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#1)\n\n[_![Image 8](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Fimages\u002Fknowledge\\_map1.png)_ ## 可视化 0](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002Flexeme\u002FshowArticleByLexeme.do?articleID=22685)\n\n#### [摘要\u002FAbstract](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027)\n\n**摘要：**\n\n**【目的\u002F意义】** 玉米作为中国主要粮食作物，其产量的精准预测在维护国家粮食供给体系稳定方面具有重要意义。针对传统预测方法难以揭示变量间因果关系的问题，提出了一种融合因果推断与机器学习的预测方法。 **【方法】** 首先，基于遥感指数、气象数据、土壤剖面湿度和阶段性作物观测数据等多源异构信息，采用偏相关与瞬时条件独立算法系统分析玉米产量与各影响因子之间的因果关系。其次，构建了移动平均-卷积神经网络-长短期记忆网络混合模型，先通过移动平均模块平滑数据噪声，进而利用卷积神经网络提取变量间的空间关联特征。最后，通过长短期记忆网络捕捉产量随时间变化的动态特征。 **【结果和讨论】** 10 cm和50 cm深度的土壤湿度对产量具有显著的正向影响（_P_\u003C0.01），其中深层湿度具有更强的时滞效应；反射率中的改进叶绿素吸收指数与归一化植被指数等植被指数则在玉米生长中期呈现出短期因果关系。与其他模型的对比实验结果表明，所提出的模型在多个指标上表现突出，其中决定系数（_R_ ²）达到0.955，平均绝对误差和均方根误差分别为1.201 kg\u002F亩和1.474 kg\u002F亩（1 hm 2=15亩）。 **【结论】** 因果分析可为模型提供关键变量筛选依据，显著提升产量预测性能。\n\n**关键词:**[偏相关与瞬时条件独立算法,](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)[移动平均,](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)[卷积神经网络,](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)[长短期记忆网络,](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)[产量预测,](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)[机器学习,](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)[因果推断](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)\n\n**Abstract:**\n\n**[Objective]** Maize is one of the most important staple crops in the world and serves as a cornerstone of food security and agricultural sustainability. Accurate and timely prediction of maize yield is essential for optimizing agricultural management practices, supporting market regulation, and guiding policy decisions related to food supply and climate adaptation. In recent years, data-driven yield prediction methods based on machine learning and deep learning have achieved notable improvements in predictive accuracy. However, most existing approaches primarily rely on statistical correlations among variables and often treat influencing factors as independent predictors, without explicitly addressing the complex causal mechanisms and time-lagged interactions that govern crop growth processes. This limitation may lead to reduced model interpretability and compromised robustness under changing environmental conditions. To address these challenges, a novel maize yield prediction framework that integrates causal inference with a hybrid deep learning model was proposed, aiming to improve both predictive performance and mechanistic understanding. **[Methods]** Multi-source heterogeneous datasets collected across the maize growing season were utilized, including remote sensing-derived vegetation indices, meteorological variables (such as temperature and precipitation), soil profile moisture measurements at multiple depths, and crop observation data corresponding to key phenological stages. First, the Peter-Clark and momentary conditional independence (PCMCI) causal discovery algorithm was applied to systematically identify causal relationships between maize yield and its potential driving factors. The PCMCI method enables the detection of both contemporaneous and time-lagged causal links while effectively controlling for confounding effects in high-dimensional time series data. Through this process, the causal structure of yield formation was explicitly characterized, and key variables with statistically significant causal impacts were selected as inputs for the prediction model. Subsequently, a hybrid moving average, convolutional neural network-long short-term memory (MA-CNN-LSTM) model was constructed to capture the complex spatiotemporal patterns in the causally screened input variables. Specifically, a moving average module was employed as a preprocessing step to suppress high-frequency noise and enhance signal stability. A CNN was then used to extract latent correlation features among multiple variables, reflecting their joint influence on yield formation. Finally, an LSTM network was adopted to model temporal dependencies and cumulative effects across the growing season, enabling effective representation of dynamic yield responses. **[Results and Discussions]** The causal analysis revealed that soil moisture at depths of 10 cm and 50 cm exerted a significant positive influence on maize yield (_P_\u003C 0.01), with deeper soil moisture showing a stronger and more persistent time-lagged effect. This finding highlighted the critical role of subsurface water availability in sustaining crop growth during later developmental stages. In addition, vegetation indiced such as the modified chlorophyll absorption ratio index and the normalized difference vegetation index exhibited significant short-term causal relationships with yield during the mid-growth stage of maize, indicating their sensitivity to canopy structure and photosynthetic activity during this period. Comparative experiments conducted against traditional statistical models and conventional machine learning approaches demonstrated that the proposed PCMCI-MA-CNN-LSTM framework consistently achieved superior predictive performance. On the test dataset, the coefficient of determination (_R_ 2) reached 0.955, while the mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) were reduced to 1.201 kg\u002Fmu and 1.474 kg\u002Fmu (1 hm 2=15 mu). These results indicated that incorporating causal variable selection effectively enhances model accuracy and stability by reducing redundant and spurious correlations. **[Conclusions]** The results confirm that incorporating causal analysis into yield modeling provides a robust basis for identifying key driving variables and effectively enhances the accuracy and interpretability of maize yield prediction. The proposed framework offers a promising approach for precision agriculture and decision support in crop yield forecasting, particularly under complex and dynamic agro-environmental conditions.\n\n**Key words:**[peter-clark and momentary conditional independence (PCMCI),](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)[moving average,](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)[convolutional neural network,](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)[long short-term memory,](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)[yield prediction,](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)[machine learning,](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)[causal inference](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)\n\n**中图分类号:**\n\n*   [S513.01](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)\n\n*   [TP181](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)\n\n*   [O212.1](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#)\n\n#### 引用本文\n\n王毅, 崔茜彤, 王晨, 熊宝伟, 邵国敏, 王琬莹, 曹培, 韩文霆. 基于因果推断和机器学习的农田玉米产量预测模型[J]. 智慧农业(中英文), 2026, 8(2): 175-187.\n\nWANG Yi, CUI Xitong, WANG Chen, XIONG Baowei, SHAO Guomin, WANG Wanying, CAO Pei, HAN Wenting. Field Maize Yield Prediction Model Based on Causal Inference and Machine Learningin Agricultural Fields[J]. Smart Agriculture, 2026, 8(2): 175-187.\n\n#### 使用本文\n\n**[](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#) \u002F[推荐](javascript:void(null))**\n**导出引用管理器**[EndNote](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002Farticle\u002FgetTxtFile.do?fileType=EndNote&id=22685)|[Ris](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002Farticle\u002FgetTxtFile.do?fileType=Ris&id=22685)|[BibTeX](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002Farticle\u002FgetTxtFile.do?fileType=BibTeX&id=22685)\n\n**链接本文:**[https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027)\n\n[https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002FY2026\u002FV8\u002FI2\u002F175](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002FY2026\u002FV8\u002FI2\u002F175)\n\n#### [图\u002F表 14](javascript:;)\n\n[![Image 9](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Ffileup\u002F2096-8094\u002FFIGURE\u002F2026-8-2\u002FImages\u002F2096-8094-2026-8-2-175\u002Fthumbnail\u002F58730818-D102-41e5-A208-B2A22B2A852A-F001.jpg)](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#figureClass13770)\n\n**图1**\n\n分期播种试验场不同播期样地分布图\n\n![Image 10](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Ffileup\u002F2096-8094\u002FFIGURE\u002F2026-8-2\u002FImages\u002F2096-8094-2026-8-2-175\u002F58730818-D102-41e5-A208-B2A22B2A852A-F001.jpg)\n\n 图1 \n\n[![Image 11](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Fimages\u002Ftable-icon.gif)](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#inline_content13771)\n\n**表1**\n\n玉米产量影响因子\n\n| 数据类型 | 观测指标 |\n| :---: | :---: |\n| 作物数据 | 株高\u002Fcm、叶面积指数 |\n| 气象数据 | 地面气压\u002FhPa、平均气温\u002F（℃）、降水量\u002Fmm、露点温度\u002F（℃）、相对湿度\u002F%、经向风速（_U_， m\u002Fs）、纬向风速（_V_， m\u002Fs）、太阳辐射净强度（net， J\u002F（m 2\u002Fd））、太阳辐射总强度（down， J\u002F（m 2\u002Fd）） |\n| 土壤数据 | 土壤湿度（深度：10、20、30、40、50 cm） |\n| 遥感数据 | 增强植被指数（Enhanced Vegetation Index, EVI）、绿光归一化植被指数（Green Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, GNDVI）、归一化植被指数（Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, NDVI）、土壤调整植被指数（Soil-Adjusted Vegetation Index, SAVI）、转换叶绿素吸收比率指数（Transformed Chlorophyll Absorption in Reflectance Index, TCARI）、视觉大气阻力指数（Visible Atmospherically Resistant Index, VARI）、土壤饱和度（Simple Ratio, SR）、归一化差值红边（Normalized Difference Red Edge Index, NDRE）、归一化差分红边指数（Normalized Difference Red Edge Index, NDREI）、反射率中的改进叶绿素吸收指数（Modified Chlorophyll Absorption in Reflectance Index, MCARI） |\n\n 表1 \n\n[![Image 12](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Fimages\u002Ftable-icon.gif)](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#inline_content13772)\n\n**表2**\n\n植被指数及其计算公式\n\n| 植被指数 | 公式 | 引用文献 |\n| :---: | :---: | :---: |\n| EVI | E V I=2.5×(R N I R−R R)\u002F(R N I R+6×R R−7.5×R B+1)$E V I = 2.5 \\times \\left(\\right. R_{N I R} - R_{R} \\left.\\right) \u002F \\left(\\right. R_{N I R} + 6 \\times R_{R} - 7.5 \\times R_{B} + 1 \\left.\\right)$ （1） | ［14］ |\n| GNDVI | G N D V I=(R G−R R)\u002F(R G+R R)$G N D V I = \\left(\\right. R_{G} - R_{R} \\left.\\right) \u002F \\left(\\right. R_{G} + R_{R} \\left.\\right)$ （2） | ［15］ |\n| NDVI | N D V I=(R N I R−R R)\u002F(R N I R+R R)$N D V I = \\left(\\right. R_{N I R} - R_{R} \\left.\\right) \u002F \\left(\\right. R_{N I R} + R_{R} \\left.\\right)$ （3） | ［16］ |\n| SAVI | S A V I=(1+L)×(R N I R−R R)\u002F(R N I R+R R+L)$S A V I = \\left(\\right. 1 + L \\left.\\right) \\times \\left(\\right. R_{N I R} - R_{R} \\left.\\right) \u002F \\left(\\right. R_{N I R} + R_{R} + L \\left.\\right)$ （4） | ［17］ |\n| TCARI | T C A R I=3×[(R R E−R R)−0.2×(R R E−R G)×(R R E\u002FR R)]$T C A R I = 3 \\times \\left[\\left(\\right. R_{R E} - R_{R} \\left.\\right) - 0.2 \\times \\left(\\right. R_{R E} - R_{G} \\left.\\right) \\times \\left(\\right. R_{R E} \u002F R_{R} \\left.\\right)\\right]$ （5） | ［18］ |\n| VARI | V A R I=(R G−R R)\u002F(R G+R R−R B)$V A R I = \\left(\\right. R_{G} - R_{R} \\left.\\right) \u002F \\left(\\right. R_{G} + R_{R} - R_{B} \\left.\\right)$ （6） | ［19］ |\n| SR | S R=R N I R\u002FR R$S R = R_{N I R} \u002F R_{R}$ （7） | ［20］ |\n| NDRE | N D R E=(R N I R−R R E)\u002F(R N I R+R R E)$N D R E = \\left(\\right. R_{N I R} - R_{R E} \\left.\\right) \u002F \\left(\\right. R_{N I R} + R_{R E} \\left.\\right)$ （8） | ［21］ |\n| MCARI | M C A R I=[(R R E−R R)−0.2×(R R E−R G)]×(R R E\u002FR R)$M C A R I = \\left[\\left(\\right. R_{R E} - R_{R} \\left.\\right) - 0.2 \\times \\left(\\right. R_{R E} - R_{G} \\left.\\right)\\right] \\times \\left(\\right. R_{R E} \u002F R_{R} \\left.\\right)$ （9） | ［22］ |\n\n 表2 \n\n[![Image 13](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Fimages\u002Ftable-icon.gif)](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#inline_content13773)\n\n**表3**\n\n不同研究区域玉米的关键生育期\n\n| 名称 | 七叶期 | 拔节期 | 抽雄期 | 乳熟期 |\n| :---: | :---: | :---: | :---: | :---: |\n| A区 | 6月25日 | 7月3日 | 7月28日 | 8月22日 |\n| B区 | 7月4日 | 7月10日 | 8月4日 | 8月27日 |\n| C区 | 7月13日 | 7月21日 | 8月13日 | 9月5日 |\n| D区 | 7月23日 | 7月30日 | 8月22日 | 9月18日 |\n\n 表3 \n\n[![Image 14](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Ffileup\u002F2096-8094\u002FFIGURE\u002F2026-8-2\u002FImages\u002F2096-8094-2026-8-2-175\u002Fthumbnail\u002F58730818-D102-41e5-A208-B2A22B2A852A-F002.jpg)](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#figureClass13774)\n\n**图2**\n\nCNN-LSTM模型结构图\n\n![Image 15](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Ffileup\u002F2096-8094\u002FFIGURE\u002F2026-8-2\u002FImages\u002F2096-8094-2026-8-2-175\u002F58730818-D102-41e5-A208-B2A22B2A852A-F002.jpg)\n\n 图2 \n\n[![Image 16](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Ffileup\u002F2096-8094\u002FFIGURE\u002F2026-8-2\u002FImages\u002F2096-8094-2026-8-2-175\u002Fthumbnail\u002F58730818-D102-41e5-A208-B2A22B2A852A-F003.jpg)](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#figureClass13775)\n\n**图3**\n\nMA-CNN-LSTM模型预测流程图\n\n![Image 17](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Ffileup\u002F2096-8094\u002FFIGURE\u002F2026-8-2\u002FImages\u002F2096-8094-2026-8-2-175\u002F58730818-D102-41e5-A208-B2A22B2A852A-F003.jpg)\n\n 图3 \n\n[![Image 18](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Ffileup\u002F2096-8094\u002FFIGURE\u002F2026-8-2\u002FImages\u002F2096-8094-2026-8-2-175\u002Fthumbnail\u002F58730818-D102-41e5-A208-B2A22B2A852A-F004.jpg)](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#figureClass13776)\n\n**图4**\n\n基于因果推断和机器学习的农田玉米产量预测模型研究技术路线图\n\n![Image 19](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Ffileup\u002F2096-8094\u002FFIGURE\u002F2026-8-2\u002FImages\u002F2096-8094-2026-8-2-175\u002F58730818-D102-41e5-A208-B2A22B2A852A-F004.jpg)\n\n 图4 \n\n[![Image 20](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Ffileup\u002F2096-8094\u002FFIGURE\u002F2026-8-2\u002FImages\u002F2096-8094-2026-8-2-175\u002Fthumbnail\u002F58730818-D102-41e5-A208-B2A22B2A852A-F005.jpg)](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#figureClass13777)\n\n**图5**\n\n不同气象、作物、土壤、遥感因子与产量之间的P值 注： P\u003C0.05表示关系显著，P\u003C0.01表示高度显著，Lag表示变量在不同时间滞后下的因果关系显著性差异。\n\n![Image 21](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Ffileup\u002F2096-8094\u002FFIGURE\u002F2026-8-2\u002FImages\u002F2096-8094-2026-8-2-175\u002F58730818-D102-41e5-A208-B2A22B2A852A-F005.jpg)\n\n 图5 \n\n[![Image 22](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Fimages\u002Ftable-icon.gif)](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#inline_content13778)\n\n**表4**\n\n玉米产量预测模型输入特征筛选\n\n| 数据类型 | 时间滞后 |\n| :---: | :---: |\n| Lag 0 | Lag 0—Lag 1 | Lag 0—Lag 2 | Lag 0—Lag 3 |\n| 地面气压\u002FhPa | ▲ |  |  |  |\n| 平均气温\u002F°C | ▲ |  | ▲ |  |\n| 降水量\u002Fmm |  |  |  |  |\n| 露点温度\u002F°C |  |  |  |  |\n| 相对湿度\u002F% |  | ● |  |  |\n| 经向风速\u002F（m\u002Fs） | ▲ |  | ▲ | ▲ |\n| 纬向风速\u002F（m\u002Fs） | ▲ |  |  | ● |\n| 太阳辐射净强度\u002F（W\u002Fm 2） |  | ▲ | ▲ |  |\n| 太阳辐射总强度\u002F（W\u002Fm 2） |  | ▲ |  |  |\n| 土壤湿度10 cm | ● | ● | ▲ | ● |\n| 土壤湿度20 cm |  | ▲ | ● | ▲ |\n| 土壤湿度30 cm |  |  |  | ▲ |\n| 土壤湿度40 cm | ● |  |  | ▲ |\n| 土壤湿度50 cm | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ |\n| 株高\u002Fcm |  | ▲ | ▲ |  |\n| 叶面积指数\u002Fcm 2 |  |  |  | ▲ |\n| EVI | ▲ |  |  |  |\n| GNDVI |  | ● | ● |  |\n| NDVI |  | ▲ |  |  |\n| SAVI | ● |  | ● |  |\n| TCARI |  |  | ● |  |\n| VARI |  |  | ▲ |  |\n| SR |  | ● |  |  |\n| NDRE |  | ● |  | ● |\n| MCARI | ▲ |  |  |  |\n\n 表4 \n\n[![Image 23](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Fimages\u002Ftable-icon.gif)](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#inline_content13779)\n\n**表5**\n\nMA窗口大小的梯度实验设计\n\n| 模型配置 | MAE\u002F（kg\u002F亩） | RMSE\u002F（kg\u002F亩） | _R_ 2 | 核心变化分析 |\n| :---: | :---: | :---: | :---: | :---: |\n| 无MA （窗口=1） | 1.798 | 2.105 | 0.908 | 原始数据含较多噪声，预测曲线波动明显 |\n| MA窗口=5 | 1.564 | 1.924 | 0.923 | 平衡噪声过滤与特征保留，性能最优 |\n| MA窗口=7 | 1.627 | 1.983 | 0.915 | 过度平滑导致关键时序特征（如抽雄期突增）被弱化 |\n\n 表5 \n\n[![Image 24](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Ffileup\u002F2096-8094\u002FFIGURE\u002F2026-8-2\u002FImages\u002F2096-8094-2026-8-2-175\u002Fthumbnail\u002F58730818-D102-41e5-A208-B2A22B2A852A-F006.jpg)](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#figureClass13780)\n\n**图6**\n\n不同模型预测玉米产量结果\n\n![Image 25](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Ffileup\u002F2096-8094\u002FFIGURE\u002F2026-8-2\u002FImages\u002F2096-8094-2026-8-2-175\u002F58730818-D102-41e5-A208-B2A22B2A852A-F006.jpg)\n\n 图6 \n\n[![Image 26](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Fimages\u002Ftable-icon.gif)](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002FCN\u002F10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.SA202506027#inline_content13781)\n\n**表6**\n\n不同玉米产量预测模型评估结果\n\n| Model | MAE\u002F（kg\u002F亩） | RMSE\u002F（kg\u002F亩） | _R_ 2 |\n| :---: | :---: | :---: | :---: |\n| SVR | 2.363 | 2.943 | 0.821 |\n| CNN | 2.007 | 2.564 | 0.864 |\n| LASSO | 3.473 | 3.947 | 0.679 |\n| LSTM | 1.833 | 2.217 | 0.898 |\n| MA-CNN-LSTM | 1.201 | 1.474 | 0.955 |\n\n 表6 \n\n[![Image 27](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.smartag.net.cn\u002Ffileup\u002F2096-8094\u002FFIGURE\u002F2026-8-2\u002FImages\u002F2096-8094-2026-8-2-175\u002Fthumbnail\u002F58730818-D102-41e5-A208-B2A22B2A852A-F0","智慧农业(中英文) 2026 8(2): 175-187","2026-07-28T00:00:00Z","论文",10,false,74,{"impact":17,"substance":18,"depth":17,"authority":19,"freshness":20,"relevant":21,"comment":22},18,22,14,2,1,"核心期刊论文，结合因果推断与机器学习提升玉米产量预测精度，方法新颖，数据详实，对智慧农业有实质贡献，但出版日期较早，时效性低。",[24],{"name":10,"url":6},[26,27,28,29],"智慧农业","机器学习","玉米产量预测","因果推断",{"code":31,"slug":32,"name":33,"path":34,"parent_code":35},"A3","maize","玉米","\u002Ftopic\u002Ffield-crops\u002Fmaize","A",[37],{"code":38,"slug":39,"name":40,"path":41,"parent_code":42},"I2","agricultural-ai","农业AI与大模型","\u002Ftopic\u002Fdigital-agriculture\u002Fagricultural-ai","I",{"status":44,"locked":14,"version":45,"method":46,"evidence":47},"classified","2026-10-22.2","rules",{"candidates":48,"agricultural_evidence":51},[49,55,60,65,72,78],{"code":38,"score":50,"supported":51,"title":52,"abstract":53,"tags":54},12,true,[27],[27],[27],{"code":56,"score":50,"supported":51,"title":57,"abstract":58,"tags":59},"I7",[29],[29],[29],{"code":31,"score":61,"supported":51,"title":62,"abstract":63,"tags":64},11,[33],[33],[],{"code":66,"score":67,"supported":51,"title":68,"abstract":69,"tags":71},"H2",3,[],[70],"土壤",[],{"code":73,"score":67,"supported":51,"title":74,"abstract":75,"tags":77},"I3",[],[76],"遥感",[],{"code":79,"score":21,"supported":14,"title":80,"abstract":81,"tags":82},"I1",[],[],[26],[84,85],"玉米产量预测 因果推断 智慧农业 机器学习","玉米产量预测 因果推断","玉米产量预测因果推断智慧农业机器学习-144",9,"10.12133\u002Fj.smartag.sa202506027","2026-08-01T06:01:55.382565Z",{"total":91,"page":21,"page_size":91,"items":92},6,[93,159,241,323,385,458],{"id":94,"title":95,"url":96,"summary":97,"summary_zh":98,"content":8,"source_name":99,"source_url":96,"published_at":100,"category":12,"cover_url":8,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":101,"score_detail":102,"sources":106,"tags":108,"primary_topic":111,"secondary_topics":112,"classification":114,"search_phrases":136,"slug":139,"view_count":140,"doi":141,"paper":142,"created_at":158},4759,"Machine Learning-based Prediction of SVI Parameter in Maize: A Comparative Study and Feature Importance Analysis","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.24925\u002Fturjaf.v14i10.2870-2879.9043","Background: Accurate estimation of seedling vigor indices (SVI) is critical for monitoring plant health and predicting yields in precision agriculture. This study comparatively evaluates the performance of different machine learning algorithms in estimating the SVI parameter. Methods: Germination data were collected from 39 maize genotypes under three different salinity conditions (0 mM, 100 mM, and 200 mM NaCl), including the parameters Gmax, MGT, GI, SL, RL, SdL, SMR, RMR, and SVI. The dataset was preprocessed through normalization to the [0–1] range. The SVI parameter was estimated using four different machine learning methods: Random Forest, CatBoost, LightGBM, and Support Vector Regression (SVR). To evaluate the performance of the models, both 10-fold cross-validation and 80%–20% hold-out validation techniques were employed. The model performance was examined using RMSE, MSE, MAE, and R² metrics. Results: The findings show that all models have a high explanatory power in the training dataset. Specifically, the CatBoost model showed the highest success in the training phase (R²=0.9962), whereas the SVR model achieved the highest generalization performance on the test dataset (R²=0.9712, RMSE=0.0582). Feature importance analysis results revealed that the 'App' parameter had the highest impact on the target variable in most models, but different structural interactions were prominent in the LightGBM model. The results demonstrate that machine learning techniques provide high accuracy in SVI estimation and that the tendency towards overfitting is limited. Conclusions: In conclusion, this study confirms that machine learning techniques are powerful and reliable tools for estimating spectral indices in precision agriculture applications. The integration of SVR and ensemble-based models into agricultural decision support systems is expected to significantly contribute to optimizing resource use and improving yield predictions.","背景：准确估计幼苗活力指数（SVI）对于精准农业中监测植物健康和预测产量至关重要。本研究比较评估了不同机器学习算法在估计SVI参数方面的性能。方法：从39个玉米基因型在三种不同盐度条件（0 mM、100 mM和200 mM NaCl）下收集发芽数据，包括Gmax、MGT、GI、SL、RL、SdL、SMR、RMR和SVI等参数。数据集通过归一化至[0–1]范围进行预处理。采用四种不同的机器学习方法估计SVI参数：随机森林、CatBoost、LightGBM和支持向量回归（SVR）。为评估模型性能，采用了10折交叉验证和80%–20%留出验证技术。使用RMSE、MSE、MAE和R²指标检验模型性能。结果：研究结果表明，所有模型在训练数据集中均具有较高的解释力。具体而言，CatBoost模型在训练阶段表现出最高的成功率（R²=0.9962），而SVR模型在测试数据集上取得了最高的泛化性能（R²=0.9712，RMSE=0.0582）。特征重要性分析结果显示，在大多数模型中，“App”参数对目标变量的影响最大，但在LightGBM模型中不同的结构交互作用更为突出。结果表明，机器学习技术在SVI估计中提供了高精度，且过拟合倾向有限。结论：总之，本研究证实机器学习技术是精准农业应用中估计光谱指数的强大而可靠的工具。将SVR和基于集成的模型整合到农业决策支持系统中，预计将显著有助于优化资源利用和改善产量预测。","Turkish Journal of Agriculture - Food Science and Technology","2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",63,{"impact":103,"substance":17,"depth":104,"authority":50,"freshness":87,"relevant":21,"comment":105},8,16,"方法对比扎实、结论可靠，但属细分领域论文，产业影响有限，适合主题聚合而非头条精选。",[107],{"name":99,"url":96},[26,109,27,33,110],"农业人工智能","耐盐育种",{"code":31,"slug":32,"name":33,"path":34,"parent_code":35},[113],{"code":38,"slug":39,"name":40,"path":41,"parent_code":42},{"status":44,"locked":14,"version":45,"method":46,"evidence":115},{"candidates":116,"agricultural_evidence":51},[117,124,129],{"code":38,"score":118,"supported":51,"title":119,"abstract":121,"tags":123},19,[120],"machine learning",[27,120,122],"decision support",[109,27],{"code":31,"score":125,"supported":51,"title":126,"abstract":127,"tags":128},15,[32],[33,32],[33],{"code":79,"score":130,"supported":51,"title":131,"abstract":132,"tags":135},7,[],[133,134],"精准农业","precision agriculture",[26],[137,138],"玉米 SVI 机器学习","玉米 耐盐 幼苗活力指数","玉米SVI机器学习-4759",0,"10.24925\u002Fturjaf.v14i10.2870-2879.9043",{"doi":141,"openalex_id":143,"authors":144,"venue":99,"cited_by_count":140,"oa_url":96,"card":151,"direction":155,"ingested_from":157},"W7221462188",[145,148],{"name":146,"orcid":147},"Mustafa Turan Arslan","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0001-5498-6571",{"name":149,"orcid":150},"Gülay Zülkadir","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-3488-4011",{"tldr":152,"method":153,"finding":154,"direction":155,"opportunity":156},"用四种机器学习模型基于39个玉米基因型盐胁迫发芽数据预测幼苗活力指数SVI。","39个玉米基因型在三种盐浓度下的发芽数据，归一化后用RF、CatBoost、Li","SVR泛化最优（R²=0.9712），CatBoost训练拟合最高；App参数对SVI影响最大。","农业人工智能与决策模型","可扩展到多作物多胁迫环境，结合光谱或图像表型数据提升SVI预测的田间适用性。","openalex","2026-10-12T23:30:44.762497Z",{"id":160,"title":161,"url":162,"summary":163,"summary_zh":164,"content":8,"source_name":165,"source_url":162,"published_at":166,"category":12,"cover_url":8,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":167,"score_detail":168,"sources":171,"tags":173,"primary_topic":177,"secondary_topics":178,"classification":180,"search_phrases":201,"slug":204,"view_count":21,"doi":205,"paper":206,"created_at":240},5164,"Lightweight Hybrid CNN-Transformer Network for Robust Maize Leaf Disease Detection and Edge Deployment","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.22266\u002Fijies2026.1130.50","Early and accurate detection of maize leaf diseases is essential for improving crop productivity and supporting precision agriculture.However, deep learning models trained on controlled leaf-image datasets often experience performance degradation under real-world agricultural conditions because of illumination variation, background clutter, occlusion, leaf orientation, and imaging noise.To address these challenges, this study develops a lightweight deep learning framework for robust maize leaf disease classification and edge-oriented deployment.The framework employs MobileNetV3-Small for efficient extraction of disease-discriminative visual features and investigates lightweight feature-learning strategies for improving classification under challenging field conditions.Experiments were conducted using PlantVillage-Maize and Field-Maize datasets comprising 6,188 images from four categories: Maize Leaf Blight (MLB), Common Rust, Healthy, and Leaf Spot.The image-only MobileNetV3-Small model achieved 97.8% accuracy and a 97.4% F1-score on the controlled PlantVillage-Maize dataset, while its performance decreased to 86.1% accuracy and an 83.9% F1-score on Field-Maize, highlighting the domain gap between controlled and real-field imagery.Robustness was further evaluated under Gaussian noise, illumination variation, and partial occlusion, together with computational-efficiency and edge-deployment analyses.The findings demonstrate the importance of lightweight and robust visual feature learning for practical maize disease diagnosis under real-world agricultural imaging conditions.","早期准确检测玉米叶片病害对于提高作物生产力和支持精准农业至关重要。然而，在受控叶片图像数据集上训练的深度学习模型，在真实农业条件下往往会出现性能下降，原因包括光照变化、背景杂乱、遮挡、叶片朝向以及成像噪声。为应对这些挑战，本研究开发了一个轻量级深度学习框架，用于稳健的玉米叶片病害分类和面向边缘的部署。该框架采用MobileNetV3-Small高效提取具有病害判别力的视觉特征，并研究轻量级特征学习策略，以提升在复杂田间条件下的分类性能。实验使用PlantVillage-Maize和Field-Maize数据集进行，共包含来自四个类别的6，188张图像：玉米大斑病（Maize Leaf Blight，MLB）、普通锈病（Common Rust）、健康（Healthy）和叶斑病（Leaf Spot）。仅使用图像的MobileNetV3-Small模型在受控的PlantVillage-Maize数据集上达到了97.8%的准确率和97.4%的F1分数，而在Field-Maize上的性能下降至86.1%的准确率和83.9%的F1分数，凸显了受控图像与真实田间图像之间的域差距。研究进一步在高斯噪声、光照变化和部分遮挡条件下评估了稳健性，并进行了计算效率和边缘部署分析。研究结果表明，轻量级且稳健的视觉特征学习对于真实农业成像条件下的实际玉米病害诊断具有重要意义。","International journal of intelligent engineering and systems","2026-10-16T00:00:00Z",69,{"impact":50,"substance":169,"depth":104,"authority":50,"freshness":87,"relevant":21,"comment":170},20,"该研究提出轻量级玉米叶病检测框架，并揭示受控数据集与田间数据之间的性能差距，方法扎实、结论有参考价值，但属细分技术论文，公共影响有限。",[172],{"name":165,"url":162},[26,109,174,175,176],"边缘计算","深度学习","玉米病害",{"code":31,"slug":32,"name":33,"path":34,"parent_code":35},[179],{"code":38,"slug":39,"name":40,"path":41,"parent_code":42},{"status":44,"locked":14,"version":45,"method":46,"evidence":181},{"candidates":182,"agricultural_evidence":51},[183,187,192,196],{"code":31,"score":19,"supported":51,"title":184,"abstract":185,"tags":186},[32],[33,32],[],{"code":38,"score":103,"supported":51,"title":188,"abstract":189,"tags":191},[],[175,190],"deep learning",[109,175],{"code":79,"score":130,"supported":51,"title":193,"abstract":194,"tags":195},[],[133,134],[26],{"code":197,"score":21,"supported":14,"title":198,"abstract":199,"tags":200},"I5",[],[],[174],[202,203],"MobileNetV3 玉米叶部病害","玉米叶片病害 边缘部署","MobileNetV3玉米叶部病害-5164","10.22266\u002Fijies2026.1130.50",{"doi":205,"openalex_id":207,"authors":208,"venue":165,"cited_by_count":140,"oa_url":162,"card":234,"direction":239,"ingested_from":157},"W7222602850",[209,212,215,217,219,222,224,226,229,231],{"name":210,"orcid":211},"Awwab Mohammad","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-1148-5678",{"name":213,"orcid":214},"Punith kumar","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0005-5676-4194",{"name":216,"orcid":8},"Bhavani K",{"name":218,"orcid":8},"Sailee N. Panchbhai",{"name":220,"orcid":221},"Sagarkumar S. Badhiye","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-0710-3761",{"name":223,"orcid":8},"Manoj Kumar S B",{"name":225,"orcid":8},"Dharamvir",{"name":227,"orcid":228},"Sumit Kumar Sar","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-0384-9088",{"name":230,"orcid":8},"Rani Chhagan Dalvi",{"name":232,"orcid":233},"Yogesh Harishchandra Bhosale","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0001-6901-1419",{"tldr":235,"method":236,"finding":237,"direction":155,"opportunity":238},"构建轻量MobileNetV3-Small框架实现玉米叶片病害分类并评估边缘部署。","MobileNetV3-Small，PlantVillage-Maize与Fie","受控数据准确率97.8%，田间降至86.1%，揭示明显域差距。","可研究跨域自适应与田间鲁棒特征学习，缩小受控与真实场景性能差距。","农业遥感与作物表型","2026-10-17T23:30:28.248539Z",{"id":242,"title":243,"url":244,"summary":245,"summary_zh":246,"content":8,"source_name":247,"source_url":244,"published_at":248,"category":12,"cover_url":8,"hotness":13,"is_selected":51,"score":249,"score_detail":250,"sources":252,"tags":254,"primary_topic":255,"secondary_topics":256,"classification":258,"search_phrases":284,"slug":287,"view_count":288,"doi":289,"paper":290,"created_at":322},3842,"Raspberry Pi Lightweight Deep Learning Models Deployed for Corn Growth Stage Classification Using PhenoCam Images","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.3390\u002Frs18193337","Identifying crop growth stages is essential for comprehensive assessment that facilitates timely and precise agronomic management. However, conventional field-based manual scouting is labor-intensive, time-consuming, and lacks scalability. Digital field images with advanced models deployed on portable edge-computing devices offer an alternative solution for real-time crop monitoring and decision support. Therefore, in this study, the standard 8 corn growth stages were defined as 8 classes based on distinct visual canopy appearance patterns observed in PhenoCam (near-surface [proximal] remote sensing network camera) imagery collected from 10 PhenoCam sites. These classes do not correspond directly to standard agronomic vegetation and reproductive growth stages. For modeling, four lightweight deep learning (DL) models, ELiteCrop0, ELiteCrop1, ELiteCrop4, and MobNetCropV2, were developed and evaluated across five image vertical clipping levels (0–40%) using a supercomputer (NDSU CCAST). The optimized model was subsequently deployed on a single-board Raspberry Pi 5 computer for edge inference. Model training accounted for the majority of the total CPU time, exceeding 97%, while the testing times ranged from 0.01–0.12 min, enabling real-time applications. Among the models, ELiteCrop0 achieved the most balanced performance with a confusion-matrix diagonal ratio (CMDR) of 0.93, followed by ELiteCrop1 (CMDR = 0.92). Overall, model performance decreased with increasing vertical clipping; therefore, a moderate image clipping (0–10%) was recommended for improved computational efficiency. Analysis with a supercomputer produced an intrasite (same training sites) accuracy of 0.90–0.93 (Raspberry Pi: 0.78–0.81) and an intersite (unseen test sites) accuracy of 0.48–0.50 (Raspberry Pi: 0.41–0.43), indicating challenges with model generalization. Raspberry Pi processed ≈ 1000 images\u002Fmin at 68 °C, with a PhenoCam:Raspberry Pi processing ratio of 1:2500 at 50% capacity over an 8 h day. Overall, this study presents a scalable and cost-effective solution for real-time corn growth stage monitoring in precision agriculture, which could be extended to other crops.","识别作物生长阶段对于全面评估、促进及时精准的农艺管理至关重要。然而，传统的田间人工巡查劳动强度大、耗时且缺乏可扩展性。部署在便携式边缘计算设备上的数字田间图像与先进模型为实时作物监测和决策支持提供了替代方案。因此，本研究基于从10个PhenoCam（近地面[近端]遥感网络相机）站点采集的影像中观察到的不同冠层视觉外观模式，将标准的8个玉米生长阶段定义为8个类别。这些类别并不直接对应于标准的农艺营养生长和生殖生长阶段。在建模方面，开发了四种轻量级深度学习（DL）模型——ELiteCrop0、ELiteCrop1、ELiteCrop4和MobNetCropV2，并利用超级计算机（NDSU CCAST）在五种图像垂直裁剪水平（0–40%）下进行了评估。随后，优化后的模型被部署到单板Raspberry Pi 5计算机上进行边缘推理。模型训练占总CPU时间的大部分，超过97%，而测试时间为0.01–0.12分钟，支持实时应用。在各模型中，ELiteCrop0实现了最均衡的性能，混淆矩阵对角线比率（CMDR）为0.93，其次是ELiteCrop1（CMDR = 0.92）。总体而言，模型性能随垂直裁剪比例的增加而下降；因此，建议采用适度的图像裁剪（0–10%）以提高计算效率。使用超级计算机的分析得出站内（相同训练站点）准确率为0.90–0.93（Raspberry Pi：0.78–0.81），站间（未见测试站点）准确率为0.48–0.50（Raspberry Pi：0.41–0.43），表明模型泛化面临挑战。Raspberry Pi在68 °C下处理约1000张图像\u002F分钟，在8小时工作日50%容量下，PhenoCam与Raspberry Pi的处理比为1:2500。总体而言，本研究为精准农业中的实时玉米生长阶段监测提供了一种可扩展且经济高效的解决方案，并可扩展至其他作物。","Remote Sensing","2026-09-29T00:00:00Z",81,{"impact":17,"substance":18,"depth":17,"authority":19,"freshness":87,"relevant":21,"comment":251},"该研究将轻量深度学习模型部署于树莓派实现玉米生育期实时识别，方法新颖、数据扎实，对精准农业边缘监测有参考价值。",[253],{"name":247,"url":244},[26,109,174,33,76],{"code":31,"slug":32,"name":33,"path":34,"parent_code":35},[257],{"code":38,"slug":39,"name":40,"path":41,"parent_code":42},{"status":44,"locked":14,"version":45,"method":46,"evidence":259},{"candidates":260,"agricultural_evidence":51},[261,265,270,274,279],{"code":38,"score":17,"supported":51,"title":262,"abstract":263,"tags":264},[190],[175,190,122],[109],{"code":31,"score":125,"supported":51,"title":266,"abstract":268,"tags":269},[267],"corn",[33,267],[33],{"code":79,"score":130,"supported":51,"title":271,"abstract":272,"tags":273},[],[133,134],[26],{"code":73,"score":130,"supported":51,"title":275,"abstract":276,"tags":278},[],[76,277],"remote sensing",[76],{"code":197,"score":280,"supported":51,"title":281,"abstract":282,"tags":283},4,[],[174],[174],[285,286],"Raspberry Pi 玉米 生长阶段","PhenoCam 玉米 深度学习","RaspberryPi玉米生长阶段-3842",5,"10.3390\u002Frs18193337",{"doi":289,"openalex_id":291,"authors":292,"venue":247,"cited_by_count":140,"oa_url":244,"card":317,"direction":239,"ingested_from":157},"W7214787420",[293,296,299,302,305,308,311,314],{"name":294,"orcid":295},"Anne Joice","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0001-7499-9222",{"name":297,"orcid":298},"Humeera Tazeen","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-2411-0725",{"name":300,"orcid":301},"Talha Tufaique","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-4490-5341",{"name":303,"orcid":304},"Mathala Juliet Gupta","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-3886-2429",{"name":306,"orcid":307},"Cannayen Igathinathane","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0001-8884-7959",{"name":309,"orcid":310},"Nitin Rai","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-9350-9601",{"name":312,"orcid":313},"Craig W. Whippo","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-7626-6919",{"name":315,"orcid":316},"David Walter Archer","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-4816-7040",{"tldr":318,"method":319,"finding":320,"direction":239,"opportunity":321},"用PhenoCam图像训练轻量深度学习模型，在树莓派上实时分类玉米8个生长阶段。","基于10个PhenoCam站点图像，开发4种轻量DL模型，在树莓派5上边缘推理。","ELiteCrop0表现最佳（CMDR=0.93），站点内精度0.90-0.93，但站点间泛化差（0","站点间泛化差是主要瓶颈，可研究跨站点迁移学习或域适应以提升模型鲁棒性。","2026-09-30T23:30:29.168194Z",{"id":324,"title":325,"url":326,"summary":327,"summary_zh":8,"content":8,"source_name":328,"source_url":326,"published_at":329,"category":12,"cover_url":8,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":167,"score_detail":330,"sources":333,"tags":335,"primary_topic":338,"secondary_topics":339,"classification":345,"search_phrases":370,"slug":373,"view_count":280,"doi":374,"paper":375,"created_at":384},3152,"An integrated IoT and machine learning framework for maize yield prediction and smart agriculture in Tanzania","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1080\u002F23311932.2026.2725400","An integrated IoT and machine learning framework for maize yield prediction and smart agriculture in Tanzania。Cogent Food & Agriculture","Cogent Food & Agriculture","2026-09-22T00:00:00Z",{"impact":50,"substance":17,"depth":104,"authority":331,"freshness":13,"relevant":21,"comment":332},13,"论文提出物联网与机器学习融合的玉米产量预测框架，方法有新意但属区域性应用研究，影响力有限，时效性强。",[334],{"name":328,"url":326},[26,109,336,337,33],"产量预测","物联网",{"code":31,"slug":32,"name":33,"path":34,"parent_code":35},[340,341],{"code":38,"slug":39,"name":40,"path":41,"parent_code":42},{"code":197,"slug":342,"name":343,"path":344,"parent_code":42},"agricultural-iot","物联网传感与边缘计算","\u002Ftopic\u002Fdigital-agriculture\u002Fagricultural-iot",{"status":44,"locked":14,"version":45,"method":46,"evidence":346},{"candidates":347,"agricultural_evidence":51},[348,352,357,361,366],{"code":31,"score":50,"supported":51,"title":349,"abstract":350,"tags":351},[32],[32],[33],{"code":79,"score":50,"supported":51,"title":353,"abstract":355,"tags":356},[354],"smart agriculture",[354],[26],{"code":38,"score":50,"supported":51,"title":358,"abstract":359,"tags":360},[120],[120],[109],{"code":197,"score":50,"supported":51,"title":362,"abstract":364,"tags":365},[363],"IoT",[363],[337],{"code":73,"score":21,"supported":14,"title":367,"abstract":368,"tags":369},[],[],[336],[371,372],"坦桑尼亚 玉米 产量预测","物联网 机器学习 智慧农业","坦桑尼亚玉米产量预测-3152","10.1080\u002F23311932.2026.2725400",{"doi":374,"openalex_id":376,"authors":377,"venue":328,"cited_by_count":140,"oa_url":326,"card":8,"direction":383,"ingested_from":157},"W7213978365",[378,381],{"name":379,"orcid":380},"Alcardo Alex Barakabitze","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0001-8960-8415",{"name":382,"orcid":8},"Yasinta Nzogera","智慧农业 \u002F 农业物联网","2026-09-22T23:30:10.178097Z",{"id":386,"title":387,"url":388,"summary":389,"summary_zh":8,"content":390,"source_name":391,"source_url":8,"published_at":392,"category":393,"cover_url":8,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":394,"score_detail":395,"sources":398,"tags":400,"primary_topic":405,"secondary_topics":410,"classification":413,"search_phrases":453,"slug":456,"view_count":103,"doi":8,"paper":8,"created_at":457},3100,"秋实满田 智赋丰年——中国移动(成都)产业研究院\"谷丰登\"农业大模型赋能山西大同玉米单产提升试点亩产 2481 斤较非试点增产 15.5%","https:\u002F\u002Fiot.youth.cn\u002Fyw\u002F202609\u002Ft20260921_16881000.htm","9-21 中国青年网物联网频道报道中国移动(成都)产业研究院秋收赋能：以\"九天大模型\"为底座自主研发\"谷丰登\"农业大模型、构建覆盖土壤分析\u002F品种优选\u002F精准水肥药方案\u002F产量预估全生命周期服务体系；联合中储粮打造行业首个储粮场景大模型\"稷元\"已落地 3 个中央储备粮库，粮食储存损失降至 0.2% 以下、化学药剂年使用量减少 1-2 次；牵头制定《农业大模型高质量数据集》《农业种植大模型应用测评规范》两项团体标准。山西大同玉米单产提升标杆项目依托空天地一体化监测+北斗高精定位+农业大模型实现玉米耕种管收全流程无人化作业，试点田亩产 2481 斤较非试点增产 15.5%，被农业农村部评为\"全国智慧农业建设典型案例\"。","九月的田野，稻菽飘香，又是一年丰收时。\n\n随着“十五五”规划的全面实施，农业农村现代化建设蹄疾步稳。传统“看天吃饭”的农业生产模式正在被改写，数字技术驱动下，丰收迎来科技赋能、全链提质、数智增效的全新发展阶段。\n\n当前正值金秋丰收的关键时期，中国移动（成都）产业研究院（以下简称“成研院”）充分发挥科技引领作用，贯通智慧种养、智能储粮、数字治理、产销对接全业务链路，推动数字技术与农业生产融合走深走实，为国家粮食安全与乡村全面振兴注入强劲数字动能。\n\n**科技强农：打造从田间到粮仓的“智慧大脑”**\n\n成研院聚焦AI育种创新、种植生产管理与粮食仓储等关键环节，以中国移动“九天大模型”为底座，自主研发谷丰登农业大模型，构建起全周期、智能化的农业生产服务体系，打造扎根田野的“身边的农业知识专家”。\n\n“藏粮于技”的关键，在于让技术真正下沉到田间地头。成研院打造国内首个种植综合农业大模型，覆盖土壤分析、品种优选、精准水肥药方案、产量预估等全生命周期服务，实现“信息随手握、种养全程导、在线有人帮”。在山西大同玉米单产提升标杆项目中，成研院构建“良田、良种、良机、良法”融合体系，依托空天地一体化监测、北斗高精定位与农业大模型三大核心能力，实现玉米耕、种、管、收全流程无人化作业。当年秋收，试点田亩产达2481斤，较非试点区域增产15.5％，被农业农村部评为“全国智慧农业建设典型案例”。\n\n丰产更要保收，储粮减损是守住丰收成果、保障粮食安全的关键一环。成研院联合中储粮打造行业首个储粮场景大模型“稷元”，内置二十余万条储粮知识单元及千余本专业文献，结合智能语音助手“粮小助”，实时采集、动态监测各类粮情核心指标，智能预判粮情变化趋势，提前预警仓储虫害风险，自动生成仓储调控最优方案，同时采用一体化集成设计，适配粮库现有系统，实现核心业务在库内闭环处理，严守粮食仓储信息安全底线。目前，“稷元”大模型已在中储粮三个中央储备粮库落地，粮食储存损失降至0.2%以下，化学药剂年使用量减少1—2次，大幅提升粮食仓储安全水平，守住丰收成果、筑牢储粮安全防线。\n\n此外，成研院牵头制定《农业大模型高质量数据集》《农业种植大模型应用测评规范》两项团体标准，填补行业规范空白，为大模型规范化、规模化应用筑牢基础。\n\n![Image 1](https:\u002F\u002Fiot.youth.cn\u002Fyw\u002F202609\u002FW020260921554681104915.png)\n\n![Image 2](https:\u002F\u002Fiot.youth.cn\u002Fyw\u002F202609\u002FW020260921554681314335.png)\n\n**数字惠农：激活基层治理民生温度**\n\n成研院以数字技术创新破解基层治理痛点、赋能民生服务、激活乡村发展动能，推动数字技术真正扎根田野、服务农民。\n\n在传承着焦裕禄精神的河南兰考葡萄架乡，成研院打造的数字乡村平台全面落地应用。平台贯通乡、村两级业务全链条，整合民政、社保、农业等多部门数据资源，实现“一次采集、多方复用”。平台提供20余项高频服务“掌上办”，让“数据多跑路、群众少跑腿”，并依托AI智能预警，推动基层治理高效化、智能化。目前，平台已覆盖全乡20个行政村，累计收录人口数据超3万条，助力基层干部事务性工作量降低60%以上，实现网格管理一屏总览、AI智能安防实时监测、积分激励激活村民参与，打通基层治理“最后一公里”。\n\n在甘肃积石山县团结村，智慧乡村大脑聚焦民族地区灾后重建与乡村振兴，集成灾后重建、乡村振兴、民族团结、服务治理、综合监测五大模块，一屏统揽耕地分布、帮扶进展、集体经济、群众诉求等村庄“家底”，为村委科学决策提供精准支撑。同时，村里为50户重点关爱家庭免费安装一键呼叫终端，直连紧急救助与亲情通话，让乡村治理更有精度与温度。\n\n**产业富农：搭建产销双向联通桥梁**\n\n从培育乡村产业带头人到打通农产品出村进城通道，成研院以数字技术为纽带，一头连着田间地头的生产者，一头连着广阔市场的消费者，让好产品卖出好价钱，让乡村产业真正活起来、强起来。\n\n作为农业农村部“头雁”项目的技术支撑方，成研院为“头雁”人才培育系统提供的全方位信息化支撑。目前，“头雁”平台已覆盖全国31省份，累计服务7万余名乡村产业带头人，为乡村培育“造血种子”。\n\n如果说头雁工程是为乡村培育“造血种子”，那么“陆海优品公共服务平台”就是为乡村产业打通“出村进城、走向世界”的黄金通道。平台开设免费电商、直播、品控等培训，助力800多万农民转型“新农人”，推动中国移动对口帮扶的五省（区）八县、成渝地区双城经济圈特色农产品实现精准产销对接。目前，平台已带动超2000万元消费帮扶、实现3亿元农产品出口额，服务全国超600万用户，以数智力量畅通国内国际双循环。\n\n丰收，不再只是田野里的金黄稻浪，更是数据流中奔涌的智慧动能。当技术真正扎根泥土，当数字红利真正惠及农民，丰收便有了更坚实的支撑，乡村便有了更持久的活力。面向未来，成研院将继续以数智之力深耕沃土，让“藏粮于技”落地生根，让“数字乡村”可感可及，在广袤田野上书写属于新时代的丰收故事。","中国青年网","2026-09-21T00:00:00Z","报道",84,{"impact":396,"substance":18,"depth":104,"authority":331,"freshness":87,"relevant":21,"comment":397},24,"央媒报道的农业大模型落地标杆案例，含亩产2481斤、增产15.5%、储粮损失降至0.2%等硬数据，产业示范价值突出，值得进入每日精选。",[399],{"name":391,"url":388},[401,26,109,402,403,404],"数字乡村","农业大模型","玉米单产提升","粮食仓储",{"code":406,"slug":407,"name":408,"path":409,"parent_code":35},"A8","yield-food-security","单产提升与粮食安全","\u002Ftopic\u002Ffield-crops\u002Fyield-food-security",[411,412],{"code":38,"slug":39,"name":40,"path":41,"parent_code":42},{"code":31,"slug":32,"name":33,"path":34,"parent_code":35},{"status":44,"locked":14,"version":45,"method":46,"evidence":414},{"candidates":415,"agricultural_evidence":51},[416,421,426,430,434,438,442,448],{"code":406,"score":331,"supported":51,"title":417,"abstract":419,"tags":420},[418],"单产提升",[418],[403,404],{"code":38,"score":331,"supported":51,"title":422,"abstract":424,"tags":425},[423],"大模型",[423],[109,402],{"code":31,"score":50,"supported":51,"title":427,"abstract":428,"tags":429},[33],[33],[403],{"code":79,"score":280,"supported":51,"title":431,"abstract":432,"tags":433},[],[26],[26],{"code":66,"score":67,"supported":51,"title":435,"abstract":436,"tags":437},[],[70],[],{"code":197,"score":67,"supported":51,"title":439,"abstract":440,"tags":441},[],[337],[],{"code":443,"score":67,"supported":51,"title":444,"abstract":445,"tags":447},"J4",[],[446],"秋收",[],{"code":449,"score":21,"supported":14,"title":450,"abstract":451,"tags":452},"I6",[],[],[401],[454,455],"中国移动 谷丰登 农业大模型","山西大同 玉米 亩产2481斤","中国移动谷丰登农业大模型-3100","2026-09-22T00:05:33.912382Z",{"id":459,"title":460,"url":461,"summary":462,"summary_zh":463,"content":8,"source_name":464,"source_url":461,"published_at":465,"category":12,"cover_url":8,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":466,"score_detail":467,"sources":470,"tags":472,"primary_topic":474,"secondary_topics":475,"classification":477,"search_phrases":503,"slug":506,"view_count":20,"doi":507,"paper":508,"created_at":542},2505,"A continually evolving knowledge-guided deep learning framework for daily maize yield formation","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1016\u002Fj.agsy.2026.104981","CONTEXT As multi-source agricultural datasets expand, accurate and interpretable simulation of crop yield formation is increasingly feasible and important for food security. Process-based models are widely used for yield forecasting but require laborious regional calibration. Artificial intelligence models learn physiological patterns from large datasets but lack physiological consistency and generalize poorly under data-scarce conditions. OBJECTIVE We developed AgroEvoDeep-Yield, a knowledge-guided model that encodes mechanistic understanding through its neural architecture, enabling explicit and interpretable simulation of daily maize yield formation from flowering to maturity. We further established a framework that supports continual model evolution as new data become available. METHODS The model was pretrained on APSIM-simulated grain number and daily grain biomass sequences to impose physiological consistency. Following pretraining, the model evolved through two continual learning stages. First, field-level continual learning using 796 field observations reduced biases inherited from APSIM. The model was then adapted to regional-scale multi-source inputs using long-term records from 945 meteorological stations and expert-constrained cultivar-parameter optimization. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS After field-level continual learning, AgroEvoDeep-Yield reduced grain number and yield simulation errors by 29% and 24%, respectively, relative to APSIM, and outperformed conventional machine learning models in out-of-region prediction. Region-level continual learning reduced yield RMSE to 1.09 t\u002Fha, and expert-constrained cultivar-parameter optimization further reduced it to 0.80 t\u002Fha. SIGNIFICANCE This study demonstrates how a knowledge-guided model can be repeatedly adapted as new data become available, providing a practical framework for continual model evolution and a basis for future agricultural decision support.","背景 随着多源农业数据集的不断扩展，准确且可解释地模拟作物产量形成过程日益可行，对粮食安全也愈发重要。基于过程的模型广泛用于产量预测，但需要耗费大量精力进行区域校准。人工智能模型能够从大规模数据集中学习生理模式，但缺乏生理一致性，在数据稀缺条件下泛化能力较差。目标 我们开发了AgroEvoDeep-Yield，这是一种知识引导模型，通过其神经网络架构编码机理认识，能够对玉米从开花到成熟的逐日产量形成过程进行显式且可解释的模拟。我们还建立了一个框架，以支持在新数据可用时模型的持续演化。方法 该模型在APSIM模拟的粒数和逐日籽粒生物量序列上进行预训练，以施加生理一致性约束。预训练后，模型通过两个持续学习阶段进行演化。首先，利用796个田间观测数据进行田块级持续学习，以减少继承自APSIM的偏差。随后，利用945个气象站的长期记录和专家约束的品种参数优化，将模型适配到区域尺度多源输入。结果与结论 经过田块级持续学习后，AgroEvoDeep-Yield相对于APSIM将粒数和产量模拟误差分别降低了29%和24%，并在区域外预测中优于传统机器学习模型。区域级持续学习将产量RMSE降至1.09 t\u002Fha，专家约束的品种参数优化进一步将其降至0.80 t\u002Fha。意义 本研究表明，知识引导模型可以在新数据可用时被反复适配，为模型持续演化提供了实用框架，并为未来农业决策支持奠定了基础。","Agricultural Systems","2026-09-14T00:00:00Z",85,{"impact":18,"substance":468,"depth":17,"authority":19,"freshness":103,"relevant":21,"comment":469},23,"知识引导的深度学习框架实现玉米逐日产量形成模拟，误差显著低于APSIM且支持持续学习，方法新颖、数据规模扎实，对智慧农业决策支持有参考价值。",[471],{"name":464,"url":461},[26,109,336,33,473],"作物模型",{"code":31,"slug":32,"name":33,"path":34,"parent_code":35},[476],{"code":38,"slug":39,"name":40,"path":41,"parent_code":42},{"status":44,"locked":14,"version":45,"method":46,"evidence":478},{"candidates":479,"agricultural_evidence":51},[480,485,489,495,499],{"code":38,"score":118,"supported":51,"title":481,"abstract":482,"tags":484},[190],[27,120,483,122],"artificial intelligence",[473,109],{"code":31,"score":125,"supported":51,"title":486,"abstract":487,"tags":488},[32],[33,32],[33],{"code":406,"score":91,"supported":51,"title":490,"abstract":491,"tags":494},[],[492,493],"粮食安全","food security",[],{"code":79,"score":21,"supported":14,"title":496,"abstract":497,"tags":498},[],[],[26],{"code":73,"score":21,"supported":14,"title":500,"abstract":501,"tags":502},[],[],[336],[504,505],"农业人工智能 产量预测 作物模型 智慧农业","农业人工智能 产量预测","农业人工智能产量预测作物模型智慧农业-2505","10.1016\u002Fj.agsy.2026.104981",{"doi":507,"openalex_id":509,"authors":510,"venue":464,"cited_by_count":140,"oa_url":461,"card":537,"direction":155,"ingested_from":157},"W7212532256",[511,513,515,518,521,524,526,529,531,534],{"name":512,"orcid":8},"Junji Ou",{"name":514,"orcid":8},"Wenyao Yan",{"name":516,"orcid":517},"Fangzheng Chen","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0006-5061-6227",{"name":519,"orcid":520},"Tao Ye","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-5037-8410",{"name":522,"orcid":523},"Ke Liu","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-8343-0449",{"name":525,"orcid":8},"Matthew Tom Harrison",{"name":527,"orcid":528},"William D. Batchelor","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-3881-6246",{"name":530,"orcid":8},"Yong Chen",{"name":532,"orcid":533},"Kelin Hu","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0001-9321-0821",{"name":535,"orcid":536},"Puyu Feng","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-4845-9876",{"tldr":538,"method":539,"finding":540,"direction":155,"opportunity":541},"提出知识引导的深度学习框架AgroEvoDeep-Yield，实现玉米逐日产量形成的可解释模拟与持续","基于APSIM模拟数据预训练，结合796个田间观测和945个气象站数据持续学习。","田间持续学习使粒数和产量误差比APSIM降低29%和24%，区域优化后RMSE降至0.80 t\u002Fha","可探索将知识引导与持续学习框架迁移至其他作物，并融合实时遥感与物联网数据实现动态产量预测。","2026-09-15T23:30:04.611750Z"]