[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"item-1544":3,"related-1544":51},{"id":4,"title":5,"url":6,"summary":7,"summary_zh":8,"content":8,"source_name":9,"source_url":8,"published_at":10,"category":11,"cover_url":8,"hotness":12,"is_selected":13,"score":14,"score_detail":15,"sources":23,"tags":25,"primary_topic":8,"secondary_topics":31,"classification":32,"search_phrases":45,"slug":48,"view_count":49,"doi":8,"paper":8,"created_at":50},1544,"农民日报 9 月 4 日头版：山东安丘让农产品\"放心出海\"——13 万经营主体有了\"数字身份证\"","https:\u002F\u002Fszb.farmer.com.cn\u002Fnmrb\u002Fhtml\u002F2026\u002F20260904\u002F20260904_1\u002Fnmrb_20260904_13396_1_2095622475098460175.html","山东安丘为全市 13 万个生产经营主体赋予专属\"数字身份证\"质量安全码，与生态原产地码组成\"双码\"体系，消费者扫码即可追溯种植到检测全过程。面对全球各国频繁调整的农残标准，安丘建立全国首个农产品国际标准数据库，动态跟踪 67 个国家和地区法规变化，提前半年向出口企业精准预警。如今安丘农产品以日均 180 个标准柜规模发往全球，擦亮\"中国农产品出口第一县\"金字招牌。",null,"农民日报头版","2026-09-03T22:00:00Z","报道",10,false,87,{"impact":16,"substance":17,"depth":18,"authority":19,"freshness":20,"relevant":21,"comment":22},25,22,17,14,9,1,"安丘创新双码追溯与国际标准预警，为农产品出口提供数字化样板，具有全国示范意义。",[24],{"name":9,"url":6},[26,27,28,29,30],"农产品出口","质量追溯","数字身份证","山东安丘","国际标准",[],{"status":33,"locked":13,"version":34,"method":35,"evidence":36},"unclassified","2026-10-22.2","rules",{"candidates":37,"agricultural_evidence":43,"reason":44},[38],{"code":39,"score":21,"supported":13,"title":40,"abstract":41,"tags":42},"E5",[],[],[26],true,"缺少足够的主题证据",[46,47],"农产品出口 数字身份证 国际标准 山东安丘","农产品出口 数字身份证","农产品出口数字身份证国际标准山东安丘-1544",2,"2026-09-04T00:05:29.819796Z",{"total":52,"page":21,"page_size":52,"items":53},6,[54,122,194,262,336,414],{"id":55,"title":56,"url":57,"summary":58,"summary_zh":59,"content":8,"source_name":60,"source_url":57,"published_at":61,"category":62,"cover_url":8,"hotness":12,"is_selected":13,"score":63,"score_detail":64,"sources":70,"tags":72,"primary_topic":77,"secondary_topics":83,"classification":84,"search_phrases":97,"slug":100,"view_count":101,"doi":102,"paper":103,"created_at":121},4979,"Export competitiveness and indicative financial performance of quinoa in Ecuador and Bolivia: a comparative analysis","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1927925","Introduction This study compares the export performance and indicative financial performance of quinoa in Ecuador and Bolivia from 2016 to 2024. Methods A country-year dataset comprising 18 observations was compiled from official statistical and trade sources. Export performance was assessed descriptively using export volume, FOB value, export unit value, growth, and continuity. Financial performance was evaluated separately through an indicative 2026 benefit -cost (B\u002FC) scenario based on the implicit export unit value and reference production costs. Results Bolivia maintained considerably higher and more continuous export volumes, while Ecuador showed lower export volumes but periods of higher unit export values. The indicative financial scenario produced a B\u002FC ratio of 2.33 for Bolivia and 1.22 for Ecuador. Discussion These estimates are indicative because comparable annual observed production costs were not available. Certifications are discussed as institutional mechanisms that may facilitate market access and product differentiation, but their economic effect is not quantified. Overall, the evidence indicates substantial differences in export scale and continuity, while the indicative 2026 scenario highlights differences in reference cost conditions.","引言 本研究比较了2016年至2024年厄瓜多尔和玻利维亚藜麦的出口表现和指示性财务表现。方法 从官方统计和贸易来源编制了一个包含18个观测值的国家-年度数据集。出口表现通过出口量、离岸价（FOB）价值、出口单位价值、增长和连续性进行描述性评估。财务表现则通过基于隐含出口单位价值和参考生产成本的指示性2026年效益-成本（B\u002FC）情景单独评估。结果 玻利维亚保持了显著更高且更连续的出口量，而厄瓜多尔出口量较低，但存在出口单位价值较高的时期。指示性财务情景得出的B\u002FC比率，玻利维亚为2.33，厄瓜多尔为1.22。讨论 这些估计具有指示性，因为无法获得可比的年度观测生产成本。认证作为可能促进市场准入和产品差异化的制度机制进行了讨论，但其经济效应未予量化。总体而言，证据表明出口规模和连续性存在显著差异，而指示性2026年情景则凸显了参考成本条件的差异。","Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems","2026-10-14T00:00:00Z","论文",63,{"impact":65,"substance":66,"depth":67,"authority":68,"freshness":20,"relevant":21,"comment":69},8,18,15,13,"基于18国别年观测数据的藜麦出口竞争力与指示性财务比较研究，结论有参考价值但成本数据缺失、经济效应未量化，属细分领域学术进展。",[71],{"name":60,"url":57},[26,73,74,75,76],"藜麦","成本收益","有机认证","安第斯农业",{"code":78,"slug":79,"name":80,"path":81,"parent_code":82},"A5","tubers-grains","薯类与杂粮","\u002Ftopic\u002Ffield-crops\u002Ftubers-grains","A",[],{"status":85,"locked":13,"version":34,"method":35,"evidence":86},"classified",{"candidates":87,"agricultural_evidence":43},[88,93],{"code":78,"score":89,"supported":43,"title":90,"abstract":91,"tags":92},4,[],[73],[73],{"code":39,"score":21,"supported":13,"title":94,"abstract":95,"tags":96},[],[],[26],[98,99],"厄瓜多尔 玻利维亚 藜麦 出口","藜麦 出口竞争力 成本收益","厄瓜多尔玻利维亚藜麦出口-4979",0,"10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1927925",{"doi":102,"openalex_id":104,"authors":105,"venue":60,"cited_by_count":101,"oa_url":113,"card":114,"direction":118,"ingested_from":120},"W7221789412",[106,109,111],{"name":107,"orcid":108},"Carolina Jaramillo","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-0566-9251",{"name":110,"orcid":8},"Ramiro Jaramillo",{"name":112,"orcid":8},"Lorena Muquis","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.frontiersin.org\u002Fjournals\u002Fsustainable-food-systems\u002Farticles\u002F10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1927925\u002Fpdf",{"tldr":115,"method":116,"finding":117,"direction":118,"opportunity":119},"比较厄瓜多尔与玻利维亚2016-2024年藜麦出口竞争力及指示性财务表现。","基于18个国家-年份官方贸易数据，描述性分析出口指标并构建2026年B\u002FC情景。","玻利维亚出口量更高更连续，指示性B\u002FC为2.33；厄瓜多尔为1.22。","其他","可引入实际生产成本与认证数据，量化认证对藜麦出口溢价和财务绩效的影响。","openalex","2026-10-15T23:30:06.584179Z",{"id":123,"title":124,"url":125,"summary":126,"summary_zh":127,"content":8,"source_name":60,"source_url":125,"published_at":128,"category":62,"cover_url":8,"hotness":12,"is_selected":13,"score":129,"score_detail":130,"sources":132,"tags":134,"primary_topic":139,"secondary_topics":145,"classification":146,"search_phrases":169,"slug":172,"view_count":150,"doi":173,"paper":174,"created_at":193},2763,"How do productive service inputs enhance a country’s position in the global agricultural value chain?","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1887232","Introduction The ongoing restructuring of global agricultural value chains has reshaped the pattern of international agricultural competition. Optimizing countries’ positional structure within production networks and improving domestic value added capture capacity have emerged as central issues for advancing highquality agricultural development across economies. As modern productive services gradually penetrate agricultural production systems, they have evolved into critical endogenous drivers for optimizing agricultural factor allocation and promoting value chain upgrading. Methods Based on panel data of 55 economies from 2001 to 2020, this study employs fixed-effects models, mediation models, and moderation models to systematically explore how productive service inputs affect a country’s positions in the global agricultural value chain and clarify the underlying influencing mechanisms. Results The empirical results show that productive service input significantly improves a country’s agricultural GVC status. Mechanism tests confirm that productive services empower GVC upgrading through two core pathways: improving agricultural labor productivity and facilitating technological innovation. Meanwhile, the promotional effect is positively strengthened by increasing technical complexity in agricultural exports and human capital accumulation. Further heterogeneity analysis verifies evident differences in the empowerment effect across economic development levels, time periods, and GVC participation patterns. Discussion This study concludes that accelerating high quality productive service inputs and matching them with advanced human capital and export technology endowments provides a vital feasible path for countries to enhance their competitive advantages and achieve highvalue upgrading in global agricultural value chains.","引言 全球农业价值链的持续重构重塑了国际农业竞争格局。优化各国在生产网络中的位置结构、提升国内附加值捕获能力，已成为推动各经济体农业高质量发展的核心议题。随着现代生产性服务逐步渗透农业生产体系，其已演变为优化农业要素配置、促进价值链升级的关键内生驱动力。方法 本研究基于2001年至2020年55个经济体的面板数据，采用固定效应模型、中介模型和调节模型，系统探讨生产性服务投入如何影响一国在全球农业价值链中的位置，并阐明其潜在影响机制。结果 实证结果表明，生产性服务投入显著提升了一国的农业全球价值链地位。机制检验证实，生产性服务通过两条核心路径赋能价值链升级：提升农业劳动生产率与促进技术创新。同时，农业出口技术复杂度和人力资本积累的提高正向强化了这一促进效应。进一步的异质性分析验证了赋能效应在经济发展水平、时间段和全球价值链参与模式上存在明显差异。讨论 本研究认为，加快高质量生产性服务投入，并使其与先进人力资本和出口技术禀赋相匹配，为各国增强竞争优势、实现全球农业价值链高价值升级提供了重要的可行路径。","2026-09-16T00:00:00Z",79,{"impact":66,"substance":17,"depth":66,"authority":68,"freshness":65,"relevant":21,"comment":131},"基于55个经济体20年面板数据的实证研究，揭示生产性服务投入通过提升劳动生产率与技术创新推动农业全球价值链升级，结论对农业高质量发展有参考价值。",[133],{"name":60,"url":125},[135,26,136,137,138],"农业科技创新","农业价值链","农业生产性服务","农业人力资本",{"code":140,"slug":141,"name":142,"path":143,"parent_code":144},"J3","global-agriculture","国际合作与全球农业","\u002Ftopic\u002Fpolicy\u002Fglobal-agriculture","J",[],{"status":85,"locked":13,"version":34,"method":35,"evidence":147},{"candidates":148,"agricultural_evidence":43},[149,155,159,164],{"code":140,"score":150,"supported":43,"title":151,"abstract":152,"tags":154},3,[],[153],"全球农业",[],{"code":39,"score":21,"supported":13,"title":156,"abstract":157,"tags":158},[],[],[26],{"code":160,"score":21,"supported":13,"title":161,"abstract":162,"tags":163},"G3",[],[],[136],{"code":165,"score":21,"supported":13,"title":166,"abstract":167,"tags":168},"J2",[],[],[135],[170,171],"农业生产性服务 农业人力资本 农业科技创新 农业价值链","农业生产性服务 农业人力资本","农业生产性服务农业人力资本农业科技创新农业价值链-2763","10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1887232",{"doi":173,"openalex_id":175,"authors":176,"venue":60,"cited_by_count":101,"oa_url":186,"card":187,"direction":191,"ingested_from":120},"W7213434328",[177,179,181,183],{"name":178,"orcid":8},"Longling Li",{"name":180,"orcid":8},"Xin Bai",{"name":182,"orcid":8},"Yuhan Ren",{"name":184,"orcid":185},"Qiang Jin","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0005-1581-1759","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.frontiersin.org\u002Fjournals\u002Fsustainable-food-systems\u002Farticles\u002F10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1887232\u002Fpdf",{"tldr":188,"method":189,"finding":190,"direction":191,"opportunity":192},"基于55个经济体面板数据，检验生产性服务投入如何提升一国全球农业价值链地位。","2001-2020年55经济体面板数据，固定效应、中介与调节模型。","生产性服务投入通过提升农业劳动生产率和促进技术创新显著提升农业GVC地位。","数字乡村与农业信息化","可探究数字农业服务投入对GVC地位的异质性影响，及与发展中国家数字基础设施的匹配机制。","2026-09-17T23:30:08.429911Z",{"id":195,"title":196,"url":197,"summary":198,"summary_zh":199,"content":8,"source_name":60,"source_url":197,"published_at":200,"category":62,"cover_url":8,"hotness":12,"is_selected":13,"score":201,"score_detail":202,"sources":204,"tags":206,"primary_topic":211,"secondary_topics":217,"classification":218,"search_phrases":240,"slug":243,"view_count":89,"doi":244,"paper":245,"created_at":261},2754,"Food safety and quality standards as trade enablers or barriers: insights from Tanzania in intra-African and European markets","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1875371","Agricultural standards are increasingly vital for global trade, yet they present a complex paradox as both trade enablers and significant barriers for developing countries. This study examines the food safety and quality regulatory frameworks in Tanzania, focusing on the horticultural sector’s engagement with intra-African and European Union (EU) markets. Despite horticulture being Tanzania’s fastest-growing agricultural sub-sector, accessing export markets remains a challenge, with only 0.3% of the produce reaching international markets. Findings reveal critical gaps in national standards. For instance, while the Tanzania Bureau of Standards (TBS) has developed over 3,000 standards, those relating to fruits and vegetables often lack specific safety limits for different hazards. This regulatory void leaves domestic consumers vulnerable to food safety hazards while forcing exporters to adhere to costly private standards like GlobalGAP for EU market access. The results highlight a heavy reliance on traditional, reactive food inspections rather than more effective risk-based approaches, with inspection efforts disproportionately focused on export produce while neglecting local markets. Furthermore, regional harmonization of standards remains fragmented. While the East African Community and the African Continental Free Trade Area have made progress in aligning regional standards, Tanzania’s inconsistent implementation creates regional trade hurdles and increases compliance costs. To overcome these barriers and boost trade, Tanzania must establish robust, transparent, and harmonized food safety standards. Further improving quality infrastructure, domestic surveillance, and resource-sharing through bodies such as the African Organization for Standardization is essential to enhance Tanzania’s competitiveness in international export markets.","农业标准对全球贸易日益重要，但对发展中国家而言却呈现出一种复杂的悖论：既是贸易的推动者，也是显著的贸易壁垒。本研究考察了坦桑尼亚的食品安全与质量监管框架，重点关注园艺部门参与非洲内部市场和欧盟（EU）市场的情况。尽管园艺业是坦桑尼亚增长最快的农业子部门，但进入出口市场仍是一大挑战，仅有0.3%的农产品进入国际市场。研究发现，国家标准存在严重缺口。例如，坦桑尼亚标准局（TBS）虽已制定超过3000项标准，但涉及水果和蔬菜的标准往往缺乏针对不同危害的具体安全限量。这一监管空白使国内消费者面临食品安全风险，同时迫使出口商为进入欧盟市场而遵守GlobalGAP等成本高昂的私人标准。研究结果还表明，坦桑尼亚严重依赖传统的、被动反应式的食品检验方式，而非更有效的基于风险的方法，检验工作不成比例地集中于出口农产品，却忽视了本地市场。此外，区域标准协调仍然碎片化。尽管东非共同体和非洲大陆自由贸易区在统一区域标准方面取得了进展，但坦桑尼亚执行不一致，造成了区域贸易障碍并增加了合规成本。为克服这些壁垒并促进贸易，坦桑尼亚必须建立稳健、透明且协调一致的食品安全标准。进一步改善质量基础设施、国内监督，并通过非洲标准化组织等机构实现资源共享，对于提升坦桑尼亚在国际出口市场中的竞争力至关重要。","2026-09-17T00:00:00Z",81,{"impact":66,"substance":17,"depth":66,"authority":68,"freshness":12,"relevant":21,"comment":203},"以坦桑尼亚园艺出口为案例，揭示食品安全标准既是贸易门槛也是竞争力基础，数据与结论对发展中国家的农业标准化与质量基础设施建设有参考价值。",[205],{"name":60,"url":197},[207,208,26,209,210],"非洲农业","食品安全","农业标准","园艺产业",{"code":212,"slug":213,"name":214,"path":215,"parent_code":216},"E4","food-safety","质量安全与溯源","\u002Ftopic\u002Ffood-supply\u002Ffood-safety","E",[],{"status":85,"locked":13,"version":34,"method":35,"evidence":219},{"candidates":220,"agricultural_evidence":43},[221,226,232,236],{"code":212,"score":67,"supported":43,"title":222,"abstract":224,"tags":225},[223],"food safety",[208,223],[208],{"code":227,"score":150,"supported":43,"title":228,"abstract":229,"tags":231},"B1",[],[230],"蔬菜",[],{"code":39,"score":21,"supported":13,"title":233,"abstract":234,"tags":235},[],[],[26],{"code":140,"score":21,"supported":13,"title":237,"abstract":238,"tags":239},[],[],[207],[241,242],"农产品出口 农业标准 园艺产业 非洲农业","农产品出口 农业标准","农产品出口农业标准园艺产业非洲农业-2754","10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1875371",{"doi":244,"openalex_id":246,"authors":247,"venue":60,"cited_by_count":101,"oa_url":197,"card":256,"direction":191,"ingested_from":120},"W7213471644",[248,251,254],{"name":249,"orcid":250},"Nicanor Obiero Odongo","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0000-5484-7387",{"name":252,"orcid":253},"Cecilia Moraa Onyango","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-2009-668X",{"name":255,"orcid":8},"Fiona Smith",{"tldr":257,"method":258,"finding":259,"direction":191,"opportunity":260},"分析坦桑尼亚食品安全标准在非洲内部与欧盟贸易中既是促进也是壁垒的双重作用。","基于坦桑尼亚园艺部门标准框架与贸易数据的案例研究。","国家标准缺具体安全限值，依赖被动检查且偏重出口，区域标准协调碎片化。","可研究数字化标准追溯与风险分级监管如何降低小农户出口合规成本并兼顾内销安全。","2026-09-17T23:30:07.640258Z",{"id":263,"title":264,"url":265,"summary":266,"summary_zh":267,"content":8,"source_name":60,"source_url":265,"published_at":268,"category":62,"cover_url":8,"hotness":12,"is_selected":13,"score":269,"score_detail":270,"sources":274,"tags":276,"primary_topic":281,"secondary_topics":287,"classification":288,"search_phrases":311,"slug":314,"view_count":49,"doi":315,"paper":316,"created_at":335},2410,"Assessing output adjustment in South Africa's avocado industry","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1931791","Export-oriented perennial horticultural industries are increasingly exposed to macroeconomic shocks, yet there is limited empirical evidence on how exchange rates, financing conditions, production costs, and climatic variability jointly influence long-run production adjustment in emerging economies. This knowledge gap constrains evidence-based policies aimed at strengthening export competitiveness and investment in high-value horticulture. This study examines the macroeconomic determinants of avocado production in South Africa, a capital-intensive export industry closely integrated into global markets. Annual data for 1991–2024 are analyzed using an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) error-correction framework to estimate long-run relationships and short-run adjustment dynamics between avocado production and key macroeconomic variables. The results indicate a stable long-run equilibrium in which exchange-rate movements are the dominant driver of production, highlighting the importance of external competitiveness in export horticulture. In the short run, production adjusts primarily through changes in fertilizer price pressures and financing conditions, while rainfall variability and consumer inflation exert limited influence, reflecting widespread irrigation and weak dependence on domestic demand. The estimated error-correction mechanism indicates relatively rapid adjustment following macroeconomic shocks. These findings suggest that production in export-oriented perennial horticulture responds more strongly to trade competitiveness and production costs than to climatic variability or domestic price conditions. The findings underscore the importance of exchange-rate stability, efficient input markets, and access to specialized agricultural finance in sustaining the competitiveness of high-value horticultural exports in emerging economies. The results should be interpreted in light of the use of aggregate annual industry-level data, which do not capture regional or farm-level heterogeneity. Future research should employ farm-level or regional panel data to examine heterogeneous production responses and the role of technological and institutional factors in shaping long-run industry performance.","出口导向型多年生园艺产业日益暴露于宏观经济冲击之下，然而关于汇率、融资条件、生产成本和气候变异性如何共同影响新兴经济体长期生产调整的实证证据仍然有限。这一知识缺口制约了旨在增强出口竞争力和高价值园艺投资的政策制定。本研究考察南非牛油果生产的宏观经济决定因素，该产业属于资本密集型出口产业，与全球市场紧密融合。研究采用自回归分布滞后（ARDL）误差修正框架分析1991—2024年的年度数据，以估计牛油果生产与关键宏观经济变量之间的长期关系和短期调整动态。结果表明，存在稳定的长期均衡，其中汇率变动是生产的主导驱动因素，凸显了外部竞争力在出口园艺中的重要性。短期内，生产主要通过化肥价格压力和融资条件的变化进行调整，而降雨变异性和消费者通胀的影响有限，这反映了灌溉的广泛使用以及对国内需求的依赖较弱。估计的误差修正机制表明，宏观经济冲击后调整相对迅速。这些发现表明，出口导向型多年生园艺的生产对贸易竞争力和生产成本的响应强于对气候变异性或国内价格条件的响应。研究结果凸显了汇率稳定、高效投入品市场以及获得专业农业融资对于维持新兴经济体高价值园艺出口竞争力的重要性。由于使用的是行业层面的年度总量数据，无法捕捉区域或农场层面的异质性，因此结果应在此局限下加以解读。未来研究应采用农场层面或区域面板数据，以考察异质性生产响应以及技术和制度因素在塑造产业长期表现中的作用。","2026-09-13T00:00:00Z",75,{"impact":271,"substance":272,"depth":18,"authority":68,"freshness":65,"relevant":21,"comment":273},16,21,"以南非牛油果产业1991—2024年数据实证汇率、融资与投入成本对出口型园艺生产的长期调整机制，方法规范、结论对新兴经济体高值农产品出口竞争力政策有参考价值，但属境外细分行业研究，国内落地相关性有限。",[275],{"name":60,"url":265},[26,277,278,279,280],"农业金融","牛油果产业","气候风险","南非农业",{"code":282,"slug":283,"name":284,"path":285,"parent_code":286},"H3","irrigation","水资源与灌溉","\u002Ftopic\u002Fenvironment\u002Firrigation","H",[],{"status":85,"locked":13,"version":34,"method":35,"evidence":289},{"candidates":290,"agricultural_evidence":43},[291,296,302,306],{"code":282,"score":52,"supported":43,"title":292,"abstract":293,"tags":295},[],[294,283],"灌溉",[],{"code":297,"score":150,"supported":43,"title":298,"abstract":299,"tags":301},"F3",[],[300],"fertilizer",[],{"code":39,"score":21,"supported":13,"title":303,"abstract":304,"tags":305},[],[],[26],{"code":307,"score":21,"supported":13,"title":308,"abstract":309,"tags":310},"H7",[],[],[279],[312,313],"农产品出口 牛油果产业 农业金融 南非农业","农产品出口 牛油果产业","农产品出口牛油果产业农业金融南非农业-2410","10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1931791",{"doi":315,"openalex_id":317,"authors":318,"venue":60,"cited_by_count":101,"oa_url":265,"card":329,"direction":333,"ingested_from":120},"W7212447128",[319,322,325,327],{"name":320,"orcid":321},"Biru Gelgo Dube","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-2321-4517",{"name":323,"orcid":324},"Mamakie Lungwana","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-6239-2236",{"name":326,"orcid":8},"Solly Molepo",{"name":328,"orcid":8},"Joseph Kau",{"tldr":330,"method":331,"finding":332,"direction":333,"opportunity":334},"用ARDL模型分析1991–2024年南非牛油果产量与汇率、融资、成本、气候的长期与短期关系。","1991–2024年年度数据，ARDL误差修正模型估计长期均衡与短期调整。","汇率是产量长期主导驱动，短期靠化肥价格与融资条件调整，降雨和通胀影响有限。","农业绿色发展与碳","可延伸至农场或区域面板数据，考察技术与制度因素对出口型园艺产业长期绩效的异质性影响。","2026-09-14T23:30:06.646726Z",{"id":337,"title":338,"url":339,"summary":340,"summary_zh":341,"content":8,"source_name":60,"source_url":339,"published_at":342,"category":62,"cover_url":8,"hotness":12,"is_selected":13,"score":343,"score_detail":344,"sources":348,"tags":350,"primary_topic":354,"secondary_topics":359,"classification":360,"search_phrases":393,"slug":396,"view_count":150,"doi":397,"paper":398,"created_at":413},1978,"Agricultural green development policy and agricultural export upgrading: evidence from China’s agricultural product trade","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1914900","How production-side agricultural green development policy affects agricultural exports remains insufficiently understood, particularly across the three distinct trade margins of export value, export volume, and export quality. Using China’s 2017 agricultural green development policy as a policy shock, this study employs panel data for 31 provincial-level regions from 2013 to 2024, measures pre-policy conditions using agricultural sustainability over 2013–2016, and applies a continuous difference-in-differences design to identify heterogeneous provincial export responses to the common policy shock. The results show that, following policy implementation, regions with higher pre-policy agricultural sustainability experienced larger relative increases in export value, export volume, and export quality, indicating that the policy response was not confined to either quality improvement or scale expansion alone. Dynamic estimates show that the positive differential in export quality emerged early in the implementation period, whereas export value and export volume adjusted more gradually. Robustness checks, counterfactual policy-timing tests, random permutation tests, and cluster-aware double machine learning estimates broadly corroborate the core findings. Among the three outcomes, the evidence is most stable for export quality, whereas export volume is estimated with relatively lower precision. Spatial analysis shows positive local direct effects across all three export dimensions. No stable significant cross-province indirect effects are found for export value or export volume, whereas export quality exhibits a statistically significant negative cross-province spatial association. Overall, the export adjustment associated with agricultural green development policy is characterized by multidimensional improvement, asynchronous adjustment, and limited spatial transmission, extending research on agricultural green development from domestic production and resource-environmental performance to international trade outcomes.","关于生产端农业绿色发展政策如何影响农产品出口，现有认知仍显不足，尤其是在出口价值、出口数量和出口质量这三个截然不同的贸易边际维度上。本研究以中国2017年农业绿色发展政策作为政策冲击，采用2013至2024年间31个省级行政区的面板数据，利用2013至2016年的农业可持续性水平度量政策前条件，并运用连续型双重差分设计，识别各省份对共同政策冲击的异质性出口反应。结果表明，政策实施后，政策前农业可持续性水平较高的地区，在出口价值、出口数量和出口质量上均经历了相对更大的增长，说明政策响应并非仅限于质量提升或规模扩张中的单一维度。动态估计显示，出口质量的积极差异在政策实施初期即已显现，而出口价值和出口数量的调整则相对渐进。稳健性检验、反事实政策时点测试、随机置换检验以及考虑聚类效应的双重机器学习估计，均大体印证了核心发现。在三个结果变量中，出口质量的证据最为稳定，而出口数量的估计精度相对较低。空间分析显示，三个出口维度均存在正向的本地直接效应。出口价值和出口数量未发现稳定显著的跨省间接效应，而出口质量则表现出统计上显著的负向跨省空间关联。总体而言，与农业绿色发展政策相关的出口调整呈现出多维改善、异步调整和有限空间传导的特征，将农业绿色发展研究从国内生产及资源环境绩效拓展至国际贸易结果领域。","2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",74,{"impact":345,"substance":17,"depth":66,"authority":346,"freshness":49,"relevant":21,"comment":347},20,12,"基于中国省级面板数据，实证分析农业绿色发展政策对出口的影响，方法严谨，结论具有政策参考价值。",[349],{"name":60,"url":339},[351,26,352,353],"农业绿色发展","政策评估","国际贸易",{"code":355,"slug":356,"name":357,"path":358,"parent_code":8},"I","digital-agriculture","数字农业与前沿技术","\u002Ftopic\u002Fdigital-agriculture",[],{"status":361,"locked":13,"version":34,"method":35,"evidence":362},"partial",{"candidates":363,"agricultural_evidence":43,"reason":392},[364,371,378,382,387],{"code":365,"score":52,"supported":43,"title":366,"abstract":367,"tags":370},"I2",[],[368,369],"机器学习","machine learning",[],{"code":372,"score":52,"supported":43,"title":373,"abstract":374,"tags":377},"I4",[],[375,376],"空间分析","spatial analysis",[],{"code":39,"score":21,"supported":13,"title":379,"abstract":380,"tags":381},[],[],[26],{"code":383,"score":21,"supported":13,"title":384,"abstract":385,"tags":386},"H4",[],[],[351],{"code":388,"score":21,"supported":13,"title":389,"abstract":390,"tags":391},"H8",[],[],[351],"一级领域明确，二级方向需要细分",[394,395],"农业绿色发展 农产品出口 国际贸易 政策评估","农业绿色发展 农产品出口","农业绿色发展农产品出口国际贸易政策评估-1978","10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1914900",{"doi":397,"openalex_id":399,"authors":400,"venue":60,"cited_by_count":101,"oa_url":339,"card":408,"direction":333,"ingested_from":120},"W7211958640",[401,403,406],{"name":402,"orcid":8},"Aijun Yi",{"name":404,"orcid":405},"Jianjie Zhang","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0005-2403-324X",{"name":407,"orcid":8},"Yingqian Xu",{"tldr":409,"method":410,"finding":411,"direction":333,"opportunity":412},"研究农业绿色发展政策对中国农产品出口的影响，发现政策促进出口价值、数量和质量提升。","利用2017年政策冲击，采用连续双重差分和双机器学习等方法分析省级面板数据。","政策实施后，农业可持续性高的地区出口增长更显著，质量提升早于数量和价值。","可探索政策对出口影响的微观机制，或研究不同农产品类别及贸易伙伴的异质性效应。","2026-09-09T23:30:07.149388Z",{"id":415,"title":416,"url":417,"summary":418,"summary_zh":8,"content":419,"source_name":420,"source_url":8,"published_at":421,"category":11,"cover_url":8,"hotness":12,"is_selected":13,"score":422,"score_detail":423,"sources":425,"tags":427,"primary_topic":434,"secondary_topics":440,"classification":447,"search_phrases":486,"slug":489,"view_count":101,"doi":8,"paper":8,"created_at":490},951,"农药兽药整治在行动丨山东安丘：让农产品「放心出海」","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.farmer.com.cn\u002F2026\u002F08\u002F25\u002F991026773.html","作为「全国农产品出口第一县」，山东潍坊安丘蔬菜出口量连续17年领跑山东，大姜、大葱、洋葱三大品类出口量均占据全国八成以上。安丘早在2007年成立全国唯一的副县级农产品质量安全监管中心，下设14个镇级管理服务站；108人专职农安员队伍年抽样超过10万批次，国有检测实验室年定量检测能力达1.1万批次。当地供销社联合科研院所，在全国率先推广土壤熏蒸修复社会化服务技术规范，使生长期化学农药使用量减少30%至50%。覆盖全域的农产品质量安全综合管理服务平台为13万个生产经营主体赋予专属「数字身份证—质量安全码」，并与生态原产地码组成「双码」体系。安丘建起全国首个农产品国际标准数据库，动态跟踪67个国家和地区的法规变化，农产品正以日均180个标准柜的规模发往世界各地。","在山东潍坊安丘市长生源生态农场，负责人王宝杰的手机上装着一个特殊的APP，动动手指就能远程操控温室内的水肥一体化系统。“过去种姜全凭经验，化肥撒下去，土壤板结、姜瘟频发。现在用上了‘脱毒姜种+系统化植保’技术，化肥用量减少了一大半，土壤有机质上来了，亩产翻了一番，大姜成功打进了欧盟市场。”谈起种植之变，王宝杰满是感慨。\n\n作为“全国农产品出口第一县”，安丘蔬菜出口量连续17年领跑山东，大姜、大葱、洋葱三大品类出口量均占据全国八成以上。这份成绩的背后，是当地对农产品质量安全的极致追求和对农业投入品的铁腕整治。\n\n早在2007年，安丘就在全国率先成立了唯一的副县级农产品质量安全监管中心，下设14个镇级管理服务站，从顶层设计上把监管、检测、执法、追溯拧成一股绳。与此同时，一支108人的专职农安员队伍常年活跃在田间地头，他们负责全市农产品的普查、取样、检测，年抽样超过10万批次；国有检测实验室则具备CMA、CATL、CNAS等权威资质，年定量检测能力达1.1万批次。这支“专业力量+技术支撑”的队伍，让安丘实现了对每一块地的动态监控、对每一批农产品的精准把关。\n\n生姜，作为安丘农产品出口中的“当家花旦”，农药残留一直是影响出口的一项重要指标。针对生姜种植中“连作重茬”诱发的土传病害顽疾，安丘没有简单依赖化学农药，而是从土壤源头开启一场“革命”。\n\n一方面，当地供销社联合科研院所，在全国率先推广土壤熏蒸修复社会化服务技术规范，通过物理和生物手段杀灭病原菌，使生长期化学农药使用量减少30%至50%。另一方面，安丘多部门联动，对辖区农资门店开展拉网式排查，严厉打击违规销售使用溴甲烷等违禁土壤熏蒸剂行为，从源头斩断高毒农药流通链条。\n\n此外，生态种植理念也被贯彻到极致。合力生态农场采用沼液替代传统化肥，借助智能水肥一体化系统精准调控，构建起“以种防病、以肥养地”的良性循环。在安丘，像这样的家庭农场已超过1900家，全市40万亩生态基地告别了对化肥农药的过度依赖，土壤有机质含量显著提升，生产的农产品农残合格率常年稳定在99%以上。\n\n质量过硬，让安丘农产品的“国际通行证”更有成色。依托覆盖全域的农产品质量安全综合管理服务平台，安丘为全市13万个生产经营主体赋予专属的“数字身份证—质量安全码”，并与生态原产地码组成“双码”体系。消费者扫码即知产品从种植到检测的全过程，这种全透明追溯极大增强了国际市场信任。\n\n面对全球各国频繁调整的农残标准，安丘建起了全国首个农产品国际标准数据库，动态跟踪67个国家和地区的法规变化，提前半年向出口企业精准预警，帮助企业化壁垒为坦途。\n\n从源头“土壤革命”的深层治理，到出口端“数字制导”的精准护航，安丘用近乎苛刻的质量安全闭环，将“安丘标准”转化为了实实在在的全球竞争力。\n\n如今，安丘的农产品正以日均180个标准柜的规模发往世界各地，用最严苛的农药整治行动，守护住了“舌尖上的安全”，也擦亮了“中国农产品出口第一县”这块金字招牌。","中国农网 2026-08-25","2026-08-25T09:20:28Z",78,{"impact":17,"substance":345,"depth":18,"authority":12,"freshness":20,"relevant":21,"comment":424},"报道安丘农产品质量安全与农药整治成效，涉及智慧农业与出口，数据详实，具行业参考价值。",[426],{"name":420,"url":417},[428,26,429,430,431,432,433],"山东","安丘","质量安全码","农药整治","土壤熏蒸","国际标准数据库",{"code":435,"slug":436,"name":437,"path":438,"parent_code":439},"C5","animal-health","疫病防控与兽药","\u002Ftopic\u002Flivestock\u002Fanimal-health","C",[441],{"code":442,"slug":443,"name":444,"path":445,"parent_code":446},"F4","crop-protection","农药与绿色防控","\u002Ftopic\u002Finputs-equipment\u002Fcrop-protection","F",{"status":85,"locked":13,"version":34,"method":35,"evidence":448},{"candidates":449,"agricultural_evidence":43},[450,456,461,465,470,476,482],{"code":442,"score":451,"supported":43,"title":452,"abstract":454,"tags":455},11,[453],"农药",[453],[],{"code":435,"score":65,"supported":43,"title":457,"abstract":459,"tags":460},[458],"兽药",[],[],{"code":227,"score":150,"supported":43,"title":462,"abstract":463,"tags":464},[],[230],[],{"code":212,"score":150,"supported":43,"title":466,"abstract":467,"tags":469},[],[468],"农产品质量",[],{"code":471,"score":150,"supported":43,"title":472,"abstract":473,"tags":475},"G2",[],[474],"社会化服务",[],{"code":477,"score":150,"supported":43,"title":478,"abstract":479,"tags":481},"H2",[],[480],"土壤",[],{"code":39,"score":21,"supported":13,"title":483,"abstract":484,"tags":485},[],[],[26],[487,488],"国际标准数据库 农产品出口 质量安全码 农药整治","国际标准数据库 农产品出口","国际标准数据库农产品出口质量安全码农药整治-951","2026-08-26T00:09:29.654504Z"]