[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"item-1834":3,"related-1834":93},{"id":4,"title":5,"url":6,"summary":7,"summary_zh":8,"content":9,"source_name":10,"source_url":6,"published_at":11,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":15,"score_detail":16,"sources":24,"tags":26,"primary_topic":32,"secondary_topics":38,"classification":39,"search_phrases":63,"slug":66,"view_count":22,"doi":67,"paper":68,"created_at":92},1834,"From pasture to platform integrating agrivoltaics and green hydrogen for the Penzance–London railway corridor","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1016\u002Fj.solener.2026.115064","Decarbonising heavy-duty transport, particularly rail, is critical to the UK’s 2050 net-zero target. This study assesses the feasibility of a green-hydrogen-powered rail system fuelled by agrivoltaics (APV), combining solar generation from APV, train-rooftop photovoltaics, and track-integrated photovoltaics (TIPV). QGIS determined optimal APV siting relative to rail infrastructure, with the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT), PVsyst and HOMER Pro coupled to evaluate agricultural, energy, and economic performance. The London Paddington to Penzance route was modelled using a 9-car Class-800 hydrogen train (8,080.9 kWh per leg, 440.8 kg of compressed hydrogen per journey, 7,053.1 kg daily fleet demand). Using existing overhead electrification between London and Newbury reduces annual electrical demand by 11% to 132.27 GWh, requiring 2,290 tonnes of green hydrogen annually. A 114.4 MWp APV array at Long Rock Depot, covering 198.3 ha, meets this demand, generating 151.00 GWh annually. DSSAT modelling showed faba bean yield rising by 66% at 30% ground coverage ratio (GCR), while sugar beet yield declined steadily with increasing GCR, indicating that agrivoltaic compatibility is crop-dependent rather than universal. HOMER Pro identified only a grid-supplemented architecture as commercially defensible: CAPEX £161.7 M, lifecycle net present cost (NPC) £263.1 M, IRR 18.39%, 5.41-year payback, and a levelised cost of hydrogen (LCOH) of £7.99\u002Fkg. Track- and vehicle-integrated photovoltaics both proved energetically marginal against real traction demand. Seasonal hydrogen storage, while technically feasible, was economically unviable, with LCOH rising to £28.11\u002Fkg. Seawater desalination was identified as the preferred water feedstock, avoiding conflict with domestic supply.","使重型运输脱碳，尤其是铁路运输，对于英国2050年净零排放目标至关重要。本研究评估了由农光互补（APV）供电的绿氢铁路系统的可行性，该系统结合了来自农光互补的太阳能发电、列车车顶光伏和轨道集成光伏（TIPV）。利用QGIS确定了相对于铁路基础设施的最优农光互补选址，并耦合农业技术转让决策支持系统（DSSAT）、PVsyst和HOMER Pro来评估农业、能源和经济性能。以伦敦帕丁顿至彭赞斯线路为模型，采用9节车厢的Class-800氢能列车（单程能耗8,080.9千瓦时，单次行程需压缩氢气440.8千克，车队日需求7,053.1千克）。利用伦敦至纽伯里之间现有的架空电气化设施，年电力需求降低11%至132.27吉瓦时，每年需2,290吨绿氢。位于长岩机务段的114.4兆瓦峰（MWp）农光互补阵列占地198.3公顷，可满足这一需求，年发电量达151.00吉瓦时。DSSAT模型显示，在30%地面覆盖率（GCR）下，蚕豆产量提高66%，而甜菜产量随地面覆盖率增加持续下降，表明农光互补的兼容性取决于作物种类而非普遍适用。HOMER Pro分析表明，仅电网补充架构在商业上可行：资本支出（CAPEX）为1.617亿英镑，生命周期净现值成本（NPC）为2.631亿英镑，内部收益率（IRR）为18.39%，回收期为5.41年，氢气平准化成本（LCOH）为7.99英镑\u002F千克。轨道集成光伏和车辆集成光伏在实际牵引需求面前均被证明能源贡献有限。季节性储氢虽然在技术上可行，但在经济上不可行，氢气平准化成本升至28.11英镑\u002F千克。海水淡化被确定为优选的水源，可避免与 domestic 供水产生冲突。",null,"Solar Energy","2026-09-06T00:00:00Z","论文",10,false,78,{"impact":17,"substance":18,"depth":19,"authority":20,"freshness":21,"relevant":22,"comment":23},18,22,20,15,3,1,"研究农光互补与绿氢铁路供能，方法新颖，数据详实，但时效性较低。",[25],{"name":10,"url":6},[27,28,29,30,31],"智慧农业","农光互补","作物模型","绿色氢能","铁路脱碳",{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},"I2","agricultural-ai","农业AI与大模型","\u002Ftopic\u002Fdigital-agriculture\u002Fagricultural-ai","I",[],{"status":40,"locked":14,"version":41,"method":42,"evidence":43},"classified","2026-10-22.2","rules",{"candidates":44,"agricultural_evidence":47},[45,52,58],{"code":33,"score":46,"supported":47,"title":48,"abstract":49,"tags":51},4,true,[],[50],"decision support",[29],{"code":53,"score":21,"supported":47,"title":54,"abstract":55,"tags":57},"D",[],[56],"水产",[],{"code":59,"score":22,"supported":14,"title":60,"abstract":61,"tags":62},"I1",[],[],[27],[64,65],"作物模型 农光互补 智慧农业 绿色氢能","作物模型 农光互补","作物模型农光互补智慧农业绿色氢能-1834","10.1016\u002Fj.solener.2026.115064",{"doi":67,"openalex_id":69,"authors":70,"venue":10,"cited_by_count":83,"oa_url":6,"card":84,"direction":90,"ingested_from":91},"W7210274478",[71,73,75,78,80],{"name":72,"orcid":9},"Charlotte Sanders",{"name":74,"orcid":9},"Henry Betts",{"name":76,"orcid":77},"Shanza Neda Hussain","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0006-6784-6184",{"name":79,"orcid":9},"Mohamed Al Mandhari",{"name":81,"orcid":82},"Aritra Ghosh","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0001-9409-7592",0,{"tldr":85,"method":86,"finding":87,"direction":88,"opportunity":89},"评估英国铁路走廊采用农光互补与绿氢的可行性，集成多种光伏与农业模型。","QGIS选址，DSSAT、PVsyst、HOMER Pro耦合模拟农业、能源与经","农光互补作物响应不同，蚕豆增产66%，甜菜减产；仅并网架构经济可行。","农业绿色发展与碳","农光互补作物兼容性差异显著，可研究不同作物与遮阴比例的优化配置及经济性。","农业人工智能与决策模型","openalex","2026-09-07T23:30:45.950791Z",{"total":94,"page":22,"page_size":94,"items":95},6,[96,196,260,324,376,428],{"id":97,"title":98,"url":99,"summary":100,"summary_zh":101,"content":9,"source_name":102,"source_url":99,"published_at":103,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":104,"score_detail":105,"sources":110,"tags":112,"primary_topic":116,"secondary_topics":121,"classification":123,"search_phrases":155,"slug":158,"view_count":159,"doi":160,"paper":161,"created_at":195},2505,"A continually evolving knowledge-guided deep learning framework for daily maize yield formation","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1016\u002Fj.agsy.2026.104981","CONTEXT As multi-source agricultural datasets expand, accurate and interpretable simulation of crop yield formation is increasingly feasible and important for food security. Process-based models are widely used for yield forecasting but require laborious regional calibration. Artificial intelligence models learn physiological patterns from large datasets but lack physiological consistency and generalize poorly under data-scarce conditions. OBJECTIVE We developed AgroEvoDeep-Yield, a knowledge-guided model that encodes mechanistic understanding through its neural architecture, enabling explicit and interpretable simulation of daily maize yield formation from flowering to maturity. We further established a framework that supports continual model evolution as new data become available. METHODS The model was pretrained on APSIM-simulated grain number and daily grain biomass sequences to impose physiological consistency. Following pretraining, the model evolved through two continual learning stages. First, field-level continual learning using 796 field observations reduced biases inherited from APSIM. The model was then adapted to regional-scale multi-source inputs using long-term records from 945 meteorological stations and expert-constrained cultivar-parameter optimization. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS After field-level continual learning, AgroEvoDeep-Yield reduced grain number and yield simulation errors by 29% and 24%, respectively, relative to APSIM, and outperformed conventional machine learning models in out-of-region prediction. Region-level continual learning reduced yield RMSE to 1.09 t\u002Fha, and expert-constrained cultivar-parameter optimization further reduced it to 0.80 t\u002Fha. SIGNIFICANCE This study demonstrates how a knowledge-guided model can be repeatedly adapted as new data become available, providing a practical framework for continual model evolution and a basis for future agricultural decision support.","背景 随着多源农业数据集的不断扩展，准确且可解释地模拟作物产量形成过程日益可行，对粮食安全也愈发重要。基于过程的模型广泛用于产量预测，但需要耗费大量精力进行区域校准。人工智能模型能够从大规模数据集中学习生理模式，但缺乏生理一致性，在数据稀缺条件下泛化能力较差。目标 我们开发了AgroEvoDeep-Yield，这是一种知识引导模型，通过其神经网络架构编码机理认识，能够对玉米从开花到成熟的逐日产量形成过程进行显式且可解释的模拟。我们还建立了一个框架，以支持在新数据可用时模型的持续演化。方法 该模型在APSIM模拟的粒数和逐日籽粒生物量序列上进行预训练，以施加生理一致性约束。预训练后，模型通过两个持续学习阶段进行演化。首先，利用796个田间观测数据进行田块级持续学习，以减少继承自APSIM的偏差。随后，利用945个气象站的长期记录和专家约束的品种参数优化，将模型适配到区域尺度多源输入。结果与结论 经过田块级持续学习后，AgroEvoDeep-Yield相对于APSIM将粒数和产量模拟误差分别降低了29%和24%，并在区域外预测中优于传统机器学习模型。区域级持续学习将产量RMSE降至1.09 t\u002Fha，专家约束的品种参数优化进一步将其降至0.80 t\u002Fha。意义 本研究表明，知识引导模型可以在新数据可用时被反复适配，为模型持续演化提供了实用框架，并为未来农业决策支持奠定了基础。","Agricultural Systems","2026-09-14T00:00:00Z",85,{"impact":18,"substance":106,"depth":17,"authority":107,"freshness":108,"relevant":22,"comment":109},23,14,8,"知识引导的深度学习框架实现玉米逐日产量形成模拟，误差显著低于APSIM且支持持续学习，方法新颖、数据规模扎实，对智慧农业决策支持有参考价值。",[111],{"name":102,"url":99},[27,113,114,115,29],"农业人工智能","产量预测","玉米",{"code":117,"slug":118,"name":115,"path":119,"parent_code":120},"A3","maize","\u002Ftopic\u002Ffield-crops\u002Fmaize","A",[122],{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},{"status":40,"locked":14,"version":41,"method":42,"evidence":124},{"candidates":125,"agricultural_evidence":47},[126,135,139,146,150],{"code":33,"score":127,"supported":47,"title":128,"abstract":130,"tags":134},19,[129],"deep learning",[131,132,133,50],"机器学习","machine learning","artificial intelligence",[29,113],{"code":117,"score":20,"supported":47,"title":136,"abstract":137,"tags":138},[118],[115,118],[115],{"code":140,"score":94,"supported":47,"title":141,"abstract":142,"tags":145},"A8",[],[143,144],"粮食安全","food security",[],{"code":59,"score":22,"supported":14,"title":147,"abstract":148,"tags":149},[],[],[27],{"code":151,"score":22,"supported":14,"title":152,"abstract":153,"tags":154},"I3",[],[],[114],[156,157],"农业人工智能 产量预测 作物模型 智慧农业","农业人工智能 产量预测","农业人工智能产量预测作物模型智慧农业-2505",2,"10.1016\u002Fj.agsy.2026.104981",{"doi":160,"openalex_id":162,"authors":163,"venue":102,"cited_by_count":83,"oa_url":99,"card":190,"direction":90,"ingested_from":91},"W7212532256",[164,166,168,171,174,177,179,182,184,187],{"name":165,"orcid":9},"Junji Ou",{"name":167,"orcid":9},"Wenyao Yan",{"name":169,"orcid":170},"Fangzheng Chen","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0006-5061-6227",{"name":172,"orcid":173},"Tao Ye","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-5037-8410",{"name":175,"orcid":176},"Ke Liu","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-8343-0449",{"name":178,"orcid":9},"Matthew Tom Harrison",{"name":180,"orcid":181},"William D. Batchelor","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-3881-6246",{"name":183,"orcid":9},"Yong Chen",{"name":185,"orcid":186},"Kelin Hu","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0001-9321-0821",{"name":188,"orcid":189},"Puyu Feng","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-4845-9876",{"tldr":191,"method":192,"finding":193,"direction":90,"opportunity":194},"提出知识引导的深度学习框架AgroEvoDeep-Yield，实现玉米逐日产量形成的可解释模拟与持续","基于APSIM模拟数据预训练，结合796个田间观测和945个气象站数据持续学习。","田间持续学习使粒数和产量误差比APSIM降低29%和24%，区域优化后RMSE降至0.80 t\u002Fha","可探索将知识引导与持续学习框架迁移至其他作物，并融合实时遥感与物联网数据实现动态产量预测。","2026-09-15T23:30:04.611750Z",{"id":197,"title":198,"url":199,"summary":200,"summary_zh":201,"content":9,"source_name":202,"source_url":199,"published_at":203,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":204,"score_detail":205,"sources":209,"tags":211,"primary_topic":215,"secondary_topics":221,"classification":223,"search_phrases":240,"slug":243,"view_count":83,"doi":244,"paper":245,"created_at":259},5592,"Evaluation of Concept-Rank Collapse Audits for Computer Vision Agriculture Disease Classifiers Under Low-Label Regimes: An Interpretability Capacity Bound for Smallholder Fungicide Selectivity","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.5281\u002Fzenodo.23545193","Concept-based interpretability methods for plant-disease classifiers are typically evaluated by whether their concept activations correlate with human-annotated labels, but this criterion is silent on a prior question: whether the classifier's internal representation retains enough concept-rank structure for any audit to be informative. the present analysis formalises that prior question as an interpretability capacity bound. A classifier is modelled as a concept-rank operator whose singular values govern how much concept-level signal survives the projection from pixel space to class logits, and a collapse audit is defined as the ratio of retained concept-rank energy to total concept energy. Under a low-label regime, where concept annotations are scarce and the audit must be estimated from few labelled examples, the bound predicts that audit reliability degrades as a function of the concept-rank spectrum and the label budget. The analysis is a theoretical and methodological contribution: it derives the bound, states the conditions under which a collapse audit is identifiable, and characterises the operating characteristics of the audit as a decision procedure under a declared variance structure (between-cluster SD = 6.0, residual SD = 4.5, intraclass correlation = 0.64). Power was estimated across 2000 design cells for cluster counts of 8, 16, 24 and 32 and effect sizes of 3, 5 and 8 percentage points; 52 clusters were required for 5 percentage points at 80% power. The bound reframes concept audits as capacity tests rather than fidelity tests, with consequences for how smallholder fungicide-selectivity decisions should be supported by interpretable disease classifiers.","面向植物病害分类器的基于概念的可解释性方法，通常以其概念激活是否与人工标注标签相关作为评价标准，但该标准对一个更先前的问题保持沉默：分类器的内部表征是否保留了足够的概念秩结构，从而使任何审计具有信息量。本分析将该先前问题形式化为一个可解释性容量上界。分类器被建模为概念秩算子，其奇异值支配着从像素空间到类别logits的投影中概念级信号得以保留的程度，并将坍缩审计定义为保留的概念秩能量与总概念能量之比。在低标签情形下，概念标注稀缺且审计必须由少量标注样本估计，该上界预测审计可靠性会随概念秩谱和标签预算的函数而退化。本分析是一项理论和方法论贡献：推导出该上界，陈述坍缩审计可识别的条件，并在声明的方差结构（簇间SD = 6.0，残差SD = 4.5，组内相关系数 = 0.64）下刻画审计作为决策程序的操作特征。在2000个设计单元中，针对簇数为8、16、24和32以及效应量为3、5和8个百分点的情形估计了功效；在80%功效下达到5个百分点需要52个簇。该上界将概念审计重新框定为容量检验而非保真度检验，并对可解释病害分类器应如何支持小农杀菌剂选择性决策具有启示意义。","Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)","2026-10-21T00:00:00Z",69,{"impact":108,"substance":206,"depth":17,"authority":207,"freshness":13,"relevant":22,"comment":208},21,12,"理论方法论文，提出可解释性容量上界并给出审计功效分析，对智慧农业病害识别可信度有参考价值，但属小众方法学研究、缺乏田间实证，暂不宜进入每日精选。",[210],{"name":202,"url":199},[27,113,212,213,214],"小农户","植物病害识别","可解释性",{"code":216,"slug":217,"name":218,"path":219,"parent_code":220},"G2","farm-services","社会化服务与规模经营","\u002Ftopic\u002Frural-services\u002Ffarm-services","G",[222],{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},{"status":40,"locked":14,"version":41,"method":42,"evidence":224},{"candidates":225,"agricultural_evidence":47},[226,231,236],{"code":216,"score":207,"supported":47,"title":227,"abstract":229,"tags":230},[228],"smallholder",[228],[212],{"code":33,"score":13,"supported":47,"title":232,"abstract":234,"tags":235},[233],"computer vision",[],[113,213],{"code":59,"score":22,"supported":14,"title":237,"abstract":238,"tags":239},[],[],[27],[241,242],"农业人工智能 植物病害识别 可解释性 智慧农业","农业人工智能 植物病害识别","农业人工智能植物病害识别可解释性智慧农业-5592","10.5281\u002Fzenodo.23545193",{"doi":244,"openalex_id":246,"authors":247,"venue":202,"cited_by_count":83,"oa_url":199,"card":254,"direction":90,"ingested_from":91},"W7223137323",[248,250,252],{"name":249,"orcid":9},"Akshay Ramgoolam",{"name":251,"orcid":9},"Priya Bundhoo Appadoo",{"name":253,"orcid":9},"Jean-Noël LEspérance",{"tldr":255,"method":256,"finding":257,"direction":90,"opportunity":258},"提出可解释性容量上界，评估低标签下概念秩崩溃审计的可靠性。","将分类器建模为概念秩算子，推导容量上界并做2000格功效模拟。","审计可靠性随概念秩谱与标签预算下降；5个百分点效应需52个聚类达80%功效。","可将容量上界用于小农户杀菌剂选择性决策的可解释模型审计与标签预算设计。","2026-10-22T11:21:10.425290Z",{"id":261,"title":262,"url":263,"summary":264,"summary_zh":265,"content":9,"source_name":202,"source_url":263,"published_at":203,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":204,"score_detail":266,"sources":269,"tags":271,"primary_topic":275,"secondary_topics":281,"classification":283,"search_phrases":306,"slug":309,"view_count":83,"doi":310,"paper":311,"created_at":323},5591,"Hierarchical Conformal Risk Control for Artificial Intelligence Agriculture Irrigation Scheduling Under Unmodeled Infiltration: A Computer Safety-Guarantee Evaluation","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.5281\u002Fzenodo.23543665","Irrigation scheduling algorithms that rely on soil-moisture forecasts are vulnerable to unmodeled infiltration, the process by which water bypasses the root zone through preferential pathways that resistance-based soil models cannot represent. The framework is evaluated through a replication-based design study that characterises the operating characteristics of the before-after-control-impact estimator used to audit scheduler performance, under a declared variance structure with between-cluster standard deviation 6.0, residual standard deviation 4.5 and intraclass correlation 0.64. Power was estimated across 2000 design cells spanning cluster counts of 8, 16, 24 and 32 and effect sizes of 3, 5 and 8 percentage points. The analysis indicates that 54 clusters are required to detect a 5-percentage-point effect at 80% power, and that the minimum detectable effect declines steeply as cluster count rises from 8 to 32. The contribution is a formal safety guarantee for irrigation decision support that remains valid when the infiltration model is wrong, together with an audit design that makes the guarantee empirically checkable.","依赖土壤湿度预报的灌溉调度算法容易受到未建模入渗的影响，即水分通过优先路径绕过根区的过程，而基于阻力的土壤模型无法表征这一过程。该框架通过一项基于重复的设计研究进行评估，该研究刻画了用于审计调度器性能的前后对照影响估计量的运行特性，其所依据的声明方差结构为：组间标准差6.0、残差标准差4.5、组内相关系数0.64。功效估计覆盖2000个设计单元，涵盖聚类数8、16、24和32以及效应量3、5和8个百分点。分析表明，在80%功效下检测5个百分点效应需要54个聚类，且最小可检测效应随聚类数从8增至32而急剧下降。本文的贡献在于为灌溉决策支持提供了一种正式的安全保证，该保证在入渗模型错误时仍然有效，同时提出了一种使该保证可经实证检验的审计设计。",{"impact":108,"substance":18,"depth":17,"authority":207,"freshness":267,"relevant":22,"comment":268},9,"该研究提出在入渗模型失配条件下仍有效的灌溉决策安全保证框架，并给出可审计的试验设计，方法新颖、结论可靠，但属细分方法学研究，产业影响有限，适合作为专业精选而非头条。",[270],{"name":202,"url":263},[27,113,272,273,274],"灌溉决策","安全保证","试验设计",{"code":276,"slug":277,"name":278,"path":279,"parent_code":280},"H3","irrigation","水资源与灌溉","\u002Ftopic\u002Fenvironment\u002Firrigation","H",[282],{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},{"status":40,"locked":14,"version":41,"method":42,"evidence":284},{"candidates":285,"agricultural_evidence":47},[286,291,295,302],{"code":276,"score":20,"supported":47,"title":287,"abstract":288,"tags":290},[277],[289,277],"灌溉",[272],{"code":33,"score":207,"supported":47,"title":292,"abstract":293,"tags":294},[133],[50],[113],{"code":296,"score":94,"supported":47,"title":297,"abstract":298,"tags":301},"H2",[],[299,300],"土壤","soil",[],{"code":59,"score":22,"supported":14,"title":303,"abstract":304,"tags":305},[],[],[27],[307,308],"灌溉调度 安全保证","农业人工智能 安全保证 智慧农业 灌溉决策","灌溉调度安全保证-5591","10.5281\u002Fzenodo.23543665",{"doi":310,"openalex_id":312,"authors":313,"venue":202,"cited_by_count":83,"oa_url":263,"card":318,"direction":90,"ingested_from":91},"W7223131205",[314,316],{"name":315,"orcid":9},"Nassima Benkhelifa",{"name":317,"orcid":9},"Yacine Aït Ahmed",{"tldr":319,"method":320,"finding":321,"direction":90,"opportunity":322},"提出分层保形风险控制，为未建模入渗下的灌溉调度提供安全保证。","分层保形风险控制与基于重复设计的BACI审计，2000个设计单元功效分析。","检测5个百分点效应需54个集群，最小可检测效应随集群数增加陡降。","可将保形风险控制扩展到其他未建模扰动下的农业决策安全保证与审计设计。","2026-10-22T11:21:10.283561Z",{"id":325,"title":326,"url":327,"summary":328,"summary_zh":329,"content":9,"source_name":202,"source_url":327,"published_at":203,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":330,"score_detail":331,"sources":333,"tags":335,"primary_topic":338,"secondary_topics":339,"classification":341,"search_phrases":356,"slug":359,"view_count":83,"doi":360,"paper":361,"created_at":375},5590,"Evaluation of Concept-Probe Temporal-Stability Audits for Computer Vision Agriculture Disease Classifiers Under Seasonal Phenology Drift: An Interpretability Decay Bound for Smallholder Fungicide Timing","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.5281\u002Fzenodo.23545234","Concept-probe audits are increasingly used to certify that a crop-disease classifier's internal representations track the pathological concepts a smallholder would act on, but a probe certified at one point in the season may silently decouple from those concepts as phenology shifts the visual statistics of the field. the present analysis treats that decoupling as a formal object. It defines a temporal-stability audit as a sequence of concept-probe accuracies measured across defined phenological windows, and it derives an interpretability decay bound: the rate at which probe accuracy can fall before the fungicide-timing decision it is meant to support becomes unreliable. The bound is expressed as a function of the probe's initial margin, the drift in concept prevalence between windows, and the classifier's sensitivity to the drifted features, and it yields a certified audit interval rather than a single-point certificate. The paper then characterises the operating characteristics of the audit design under a declared variance structure, using a replication-based evaluation of the before-after-control-impact estimator with between-cluster SD = 6.0, residual SD = 4.5 and intraclass correlation = 0.64. Power was estimated across 2000 design cells over cluster counts of 8, 16, 24 and 32 and effect sizes of 3, 5 and 8 percentage points; 54 clusters were required for 5 percentage points at 80% power. The contribution is a decision-theoretic account of when a concept-probe certificate expires, and a design rule for scheduling re-audits across the season.","概念探针审计（concept-probe audit）日益被用于验证作物病害分类器的内部表征是否追踪小农户会据以采取行动的病理学概念，但在生长季某一时点获得认证的探针，可能随着物候变化改变田间的视觉统计特征而悄然与这些概念脱钩。本分析将这种脱钩视为一个形式化对象。它将时间稳定性审计（temporal-stability audit）定义为在既定物候窗口内测量的一系列概念探针准确率，并推导出一个可解释性衰减界限（interpretability decay bound）：即探针准确率在其所支持的杀菌剂施用时机决策变得不可靠之前所能下降的速率。该界限表示为探针初始裕度、窗口间概念流行率漂移以及分类器对漂移特征敏感度的函数，并给出一个经认证的审计区间而非单点认证。随后，本文在声明的方差结构下刻画该审计设计的运行特征，采用基于重复的前后对照影响估计量评估，其中组间标准差 = 6.0、残差标准差 = 4.5、组内相关系数 = 0.64。功效在 2000 个设计单元上估计，聚类数取 8、16、24 和 32，效应量取 3、5 和 8 个百分点；在 80% 功效下达到 5 个百分点需要 54 个聚类。本文的贡献在于从决策论角度阐明概念探针认证何时失效，并给出在整个生长季内安排重新审计的设计规则。",70,{"impact":108,"substance":18,"depth":17,"authority":207,"freshness":13,"relevant":22,"comment":332},"该论文提出概念探针审计的时序稳定性框架与可解释性衰减界，方法新颖、统计设计扎实，但属小众方法论研究，产业影响有限，适合作为专业精选而非头条。",[334],{"name":202,"url":327},[27,113,212,336,337],"作物病害识别","模型审计",{"code":216,"slug":217,"name":218,"path":219,"parent_code":220},[340],{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},{"status":40,"locked":14,"version":41,"method":42,"evidence":342},{"candidates":343,"agricultural_evidence":47},[344,348,352],{"code":216,"score":20,"supported":47,"title":345,"abstract":346,"tags":347},[228],[212,228],[212],{"code":33,"score":13,"supported":47,"title":349,"abstract":350,"tags":351},[233],[],[336,113],{"code":59,"score":22,"supported":14,"title":353,"abstract":354,"tags":355},[],[],[27],[357,358],"概念探针 时序稳定性 作物病害分类器","杀菌剂 施药时机 可解释性衰减","概念探针时序稳定性作物病害分类器-5590","10.5281\u002Fzenodo.23545234",{"doi":360,"openalex_id":362,"authors":363,"venue":202,"cited_by_count":83,"oa_url":327,"card":370,"direction":90,"ingested_from":91},"W7223088030",[364,366,368],{"name":365,"orcid":9},"Abdi-Basid Idriss Farah",{"name":367,"orcid":9},"Amina Abdillahi Guedi",{"name":369,"orcid":9},"Moussa Omar Youssouf",{"tldr":371,"method":372,"finding":373,"direction":90,"opportunity":374},"提出概念探针时间稳定性审计与可解释性衰减界，判断何时需重新审计。","定义跨物候窗口探针精度序列，推导衰减界，用BACI复制评估统计功效。","5个百分点效应需54个聚类达80%功效，审计证书会随物候漂移过期。","可将衰减界与再审计调度规则嵌入小农户杀菌剂时机决策支持系统，并验证跨作物泛化。","2026-10-22T11:21:08.978348Z",{"id":377,"title":378,"url":379,"summary":380,"summary_zh":381,"content":9,"source_name":202,"source_url":379,"published_at":203,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":382,"score_detail":383,"sources":386,"tags":388,"primary_topic":391,"secondary_topics":392,"classification":393,"search_phrases":412,"slug":415,"view_count":83,"doi":416,"paper":417,"created_at":427},5589,"Conformal-Risk Evaluation for Artificial Intelligence Agriculture Spray-Nozzle Fault Detection Under Label-Delay Feedback: A Computer Coverage Audit","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.5281\u002Fzenodo.23544107","Spray-nozzle fault detection in precision agriculture is a classification problem in which the label that confirms a fault arrives after the spray pass, so the detector must act on unlabelled evidence and its error rate must be certified before the label exists. Conformal prediction offers distribution-free coverage guarantees, but the guarantee is stated for exchangeable calibration and test data, an assumption that label-delayed feedback violates because the calibration set is always older than the deployment set. the present analysis formalises label-delay feedback as a distribution shift in the conformity score and derives a coverage bound for split-conformal fault detectors under that shift. The bound separates the nominal miscoverage rate into an exchangeable component and a delay-induced component that scales with the total variation distance between the calibration and deployment score distributions. A replication-based evaluation of the ['Intercept', 'exposure', 'group', 'severity'] estimator was conducted: 600 data sets of N = 500 were drawn from a declared data-generating process (intercept 12.0, exposure 0.42, group -3.1, severity 1.35, error SD 4.2), and the study characterises the behaviour of the ordinary least squares estimator under the stated process. The estimator recovered the declared coefficients with estimated bias 0.01122 for the intercept and -0.0002 for exposure, root mean squared error 0.9217 and 0.01614 respectively, and empirical coverage of the nominal 95% intervals of 1.0 for both parameters across 600 replications. The coverage audit shows that the delay-induced term, not the exchangeable term, dominates the risk of a conformal spray-nozzle detector, and that the audit procedure can certify a detector before field labels return.","在精准农业中，喷雾喷嘴故障检测是一个分类问题，其中确认故障的标签在喷雾作业结束后才到达，因此检测器必须基于未标记的证据采取行动，并且其错误率必须在标签存在之前得到认证。保形预测（conformal prediction）提供了无分布覆盖保证，但该保证是针对可交换的校准数据和测试数据而言的，而标签延迟反馈违反了这一假设，因为校准集总是比部署集更旧。本分析将标签延迟反馈形式化为一致性分数中的分布偏移，并推导了在该偏移下分裂保形故障检测器的覆盖界。该界将名义错误覆盖 rate 分解为可交换分量和延迟诱导分量，后者随校准与部署分数分布之间的全变差距离而缩放。对 ['Intercept', 'exposure', 'group', 'severity'] 估计器进行了基于重复的评估：从声明的数据生成过程（截距 12.0，暴露 0.42，分组 -3.1，严重程度 1.35，误差标准差 4.2）中抽取了 600 个 N = 500 的数据集，研究刻画了普通最小二乘估计器在所述过程下的行为。该估计器恢复了声明的系数，截距的估计偏差为 0.01122，暴露为 -0.0002，均方根误差分别为 0.9217 和 0.01614，两个参数在 600 次重复中名义 95% 区间的经验覆盖率为 1.0。覆盖审计表明，延迟诱导项而非可交换项主导了保形喷雾喷嘴检测器的风险，并且该审计程序可以在田间标签返回之前对检测器进行认证。",62,{"impact":108,"substance":17,"depth":384,"authority":267,"freshness":13,"relevant":22,"comment":385},17,"论文提出标签延迟下共形预测覆盖界，方法有新意但属预印本、应用面窄，可作为专业补充而非每日精选头条。",[387],{"name":202,"url":379},[27,113,389,390],"精准施药","病虫害监测",{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},[],{"status":40,"locked":14,"version":41,"method":42,"evidence":394},{"candidates":395,"agricultural_evidence":47},[396,400,407],{"code":33,"score":267,"supported":47,"title":397,"abstract":398,"tags":399},[133],[],[113],{"code":59,"score":401,"supported":47,"title":402,"abstract":403,"tags":406},7,[],[404,405],"精准农业","precision agriculture",[27],{"code":408,"score":22,"supported":14,"title":409,"abstract":410,"tags":411},"F4",[],[],[389],[413,414],"农业人工智能 病虫害监测 智慧农业 精准施药","农业人工智能 病虫害监测","农业人工智能病虫害监测智慧农业精准施药-5589","10.5281\u002Fzenodo.23544107",{"doi":416,"openalex_id":418,"authors":419,"venue":202,"cited_by_count":83,"oa_url":379,"card":422,"direction":90,"ingested_from":91},"W7223116087",[420],{"name":421,"orcid":9},"Achieng' Atim Okello",{"tldr":423,"method":424,"finding":425,"direction":90,"opportunity":426},"将标签延迟反馈建模为共形分数分布偏移，推导覆盖率界并审计喷雾喷嘴故障检测器。","分裂共形预测、总变差距离、600次重复模拟（N=500）评估OLS估计。","延迟诱导项而非可交换项主导检测器风险，审计可在田间标签返回前认证检测器。","可将该覆盖率审计框架扩展到其他标签延迟的农业传感器故障检测，并研究延迟分布估计误差对认证的影响。","2026-10-22T11:21:02.845718Z",{"id":429,"title":430,"url":431,"summary":432,"summary_zh":433,"content":9,"source_name":202,"source_url":431,"published_at":203,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":434,"score_detail":435,"sources":437,"tags":439,"primary_topic":442,"secondary_topics":443,"classification":444,"search_phrases":469,"slug":472,"view_count":83,"doi":473,"paper":474,"created_at":485},5588,"Certified Temporal Fusion of Artificial Intelligence Climate Analytics for Crop Failure Early Warning Under Sparse Agricultural Sensors: Error Bounds and Famine Relief Targeting","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.5281\u002Fzenodo.23545489","Sparse agricultural sensor networks across sub-Saharan Africa leave crop-failure early-warning systems with too little ground observation to support reliable famine relief targeting. The framework treats sensor sparsity as a missing-data problem with a known observation operator and propagates climate-analytics uncertainty through a temporal Kalman-Buys filter whose gain is constrained by a certified risk envelope. Using NASA POWER monthly reanalysis for Accra, Ghana (2000-2023, 312 observations), the analysis establishes a mean temperature of 26.521 C and a warming trend of 0.1622 C per decade, which calibrates the climate-analytics prior. The derived bounds show that relief-targeting error scales with the square root of sensor density and with the Lipschitz constant of the crop-response function, yielding an explicit sensor-placement rule for a target misclassification rate. The contribution is a certified, assumption-explicit bridge between climate analytics and famine relief targeting that states the conditions under which early warning is trustworthy.","撒哈拉以南非洲稀疏的农业传感器网络使得作物歉收预警系统缺乏足够的地面观测数据，难以支撑可靠的饥荒救援目标定位。该框架将传感器稀疏性视为具有已知观测算子的缺失数据问题，并通过时间Kalman-Buys滤波器传播气候分析不确定性，该滤波器的增益受经认证的风险包络约束。利用NASA POWER对加纳阿克拉的月度再分析数据（2000—2023年，312个观测值），分析确定了平均气温为26.521°C、每十年0.1622°C的增暖趋势，据此校准了气候分析先验。推导出的界限表明，救援目标定位误差随传感器密度的平方根以及作物响应函数的Lipschitz常数缩放，从而为目标误分类率给出了明确的传感器布设规则。该研究的贡献在于构建了一个经认证的、假设明确的气候分析与饥荒救援目标定位之间的桥梁，阐明了早期预警可信赖的条件。",74,{"impact":207,"substance":18,"depth":17,"authority":207,"freshness":13,"relevant":22,"comment":436},"该研究提出一种带误差界认证的时序融合方法，用于稀疏传感器条件下的作物歉收预警与饥荒救援瞄准，方法新颖、结论明确，但案例局限于加纳阿克拉，产业影响有限，适合作为技术前沿条目收录。",[438],{"name":202,"url":431},[27,113,143,440,441],"遥感","气候分析",{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},[],{"status":40,"locked":14,"version":41,"method":42,"evidence":445},{"candidates":446,"agricultural_evidence":47},[447,451,457,461,465],{"code":33,"score":267,"supported":47,"title":448,"abstract":449,"tags":450},[133],[],[113],{"code":452,"score":21,"supported":47,"title":453,"abstract":454,"tags":456},"I5",[],[455],"农业传感",[],{"code":140,"score":22,"supported":14,"title":458,"abstract":459,"tags":460},[],[],[143],{"code":59,"score":22,"supported":14,"title":462,"abstract":463,"tags":464},[],[],[27],{"code":151,"score":22,"supported":14,"title":466,"abstract":467,"tags":468},[],[],[440],[470,471],"NASA POWER 加纳 气候分析","作物歉收 早期预警 传感器","NASAPOWER加纳气候分析-5588","10.5281\u002Fzenodo.23545489",{"doi":473,"openalex_id":475,"authors":476,"venue":202,"cited_by_count":83,"oa_url":431,"card":479,"direction":90,"ingested_from":91},"W7223111766",[477],{"name":478,"orcid":9},"Fatima-Zahra El Khattabi",{"tldr":480,"method":481,"finding":482,"direction":483,"opportunity":484},"提出带误差界的时间融合框架，在稀疏传感器下用气候分析预警作物歉收。","卡尔曼-布西滤波+NASA POWER再分析数据，风险包络约束增益。","救济瞄准误差随传感器密度平方根和作物响应Lipschitz常数缩放，给出布点规则。","农业遥感与作物表型","可将该认证误差界框架扩展到多作物多区域，结合卫星遥感弥补地面传感器稀疏。","2026-10-22T11:21:02.682497Z"]