[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"item-3058":3,"related-3058":120},{"id":4,"title":5,"url":6,"summary":7,"summary_zh":8,"content":9,"source_name":10,"source_url":6,"published_at":11,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":15,"score_detail":16,"sources":24,"tags":26,"primary_topic":32,"secondary_topics":38,"classification":44,"search_phrases":98,"slug":101,"view_count":82,"doi":102,"paper":103,"created_at":119},3058,"Climate Change and Crop Production Vulnerability in Somalia: A VECM Analysis for Sustainable Agriculture","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.22004\u002Fag.econ.412749","Somali crop production is vulnerable to climate change, as agriculture is heavily reliant on rainfall. Increased temperatures, sporadic rainfall, and higher levels of CO2 emissions threaten food security as well as the livelihoods in rural areas. While global studies discuss these issues, there is a lack of empirical research on Somalia. This research attempts to study the gap created by the absence of research regarding the vulnerability of crop production to climate change and its sustainable agriculture aspects. The study uses a vector error correction model (VECM) to evaluate how climate factors, including temperature, rainfall, CO2 emissions, land designated for agriculture, and labour, affect crop production in the short and long term. The study found that CO₂, temperature, and rainfall lead to boosted crop production in the short term because of the traditional adaptation strategies employed by farmers. In the long term, a 1% increase in CO2 emissions leads to a 57% reduction in crop production, and a similar rise in temperature causes production levels to fall over 100%. Rainfall, agricultural land, and labour continue to positively influence production levels in both periods. These results strongly indicate the necessity of climate-resilient strategies, better irrigation systems, and new forms of farming. The promotion of climate-smart agriculture will help mitigate the negative effects of climate change on the agricultural sector of Somalia while simultaneously catering to the issue of food security.","索马里作物生产易受气候变化影响，因为农业高度依赖降雨。气温升高、降雨不稳定以及二氧化碳排放量增加，威胁着粮食安全以及农村地区的生计。尽管全球研究讨论了这些问题，但缺乏关于索马里的实证研究。本研究试图填补因缺乏关于作物生产对气候变化的脆弱性及其可持续农业方面的研究而造成的空白。该研究采用向量误差修正模型（VECM），评估气候因素（包括气温、降雨、二氧化碳排放、农业用地和劳动力）在短期和长期内如何影响作物生产。研究发现，由于农民采用传统适应策略，二氧化碳、气温和降雨在短期内会促进作物生产。从长期来看，二氧化碳排放量增加1%会导致作物生产减少57%，气温类似上升会导致生产水平下降超过100%。降雨、农业用地和劳动力在两个时期都持续对生产水平产生积极影响。这些结果强烈表明，有必要采取气候韧性策略、改善灌溉系统并采用新型耕作方式。推广气候智能型农业将有助于减轻气候变化对索马里农业部门的负面影响，同时兼顾粮食安全问题。",null,"AgEcon Search (University of Minnesota, USA)","2026-09-20T00:00:00Z","论文",10,false,71,{"impact":17,"substance":18,"depth":19,"authority":20,"freshness":21,"relevant":22,"comment":23},12,21,17,13,8,1,"以VECM量化索马里气候因子对作物生产的短长期影响，结论具政策参考价值，但属区域国别研究，公共影响有限。",[25],{"name":10,"url":6},[27,28,29,30,31],"农业遥感","粮食安全","气候智慧农业","灌溉系统","索马里农业",{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},"H7","climate","气候适应与防灾减灾","\u002Ftopic\u002Fenvironment\u002Fclimate","H",[39],{"code":40,"slug":41,"name":42,"path":43,"parent_code":37},"H8","sustainable-agriculture","可持续与保护性农业","\u002Ftopic\u002Fenvironment\u002Fsustainable-agriculture",{"status":45,"locked":14,"version":46,"method":47,"evidence":48},"classified","2026-10-22.2","rules",{"candidates":49,"agricultural_evidence":52},[50,58,65,72,80,87,93],{"code":33,"score":51,"supported":52,"title":53,"abstract":55,"tags":57},15,true,[54],"climate change",[56,54],"气候变化",[29],{"code":40,"score":59,"supported":52,"title":60,"abstract":62,"tags":64},14,[61],"sustainable agriculture",[63,61],"可持续农业",[],{"code":66,"score":67,"supported":52,"title":68,"abstract":69,"tags":71},"A8",7,[],[28,70],"food security",[28],{"code":73,"score":74,"supported":52,"title":75,"abstract":76,"tags":79},"H3",6,[],[77,78],"灌溉","irrigation",[],{"code":81,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":83,"abstract":84,"tags":86},"H4",3,[],[85],"碳排放",[],{"code":88,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":89,"abstract":90,"tags":92},"I1",[],[91],"smart agriculture",[],{"code":94,"score":22,"supported":14,"title":95,"abstract":96,"tags":97},"I3",[],[],[27],[99,100],"索马里 作物生产 气候变化","VECM 气候智慧农业","索马里作物生产气候变化-3058","10.22004\u002Fag.econ.412749",{"doi":102,"openalex_id":104,"authors":105,"venue":10,"cited_by_count":110,"oa_url":6,"card":111,"direction":117,"ingested_from":118},"W7213772032",[106,108],{"name":107,"orcid":9},"Mohamed Nur Abdulkadir",{"name":109,"orcid":9},"Yassin Sheikh Ali Ali",0,{"tldr":112,"method":113,"finding":114,"direction":115,"opportunity":116},"用VECM分析索马里气候变化对作物生产的短期与长期影响。","VECM模型，变量含温度、降雨、CO2、农地、劳动力。","短期CO2、温度、降雨促产，长期CO2增1%减产57%，温度增1%减产超100%。","农业绿色发展与碳","可结合气候智慧型农业与灌溉技术，研究小农户适应策略的长期有效性。","智慧农业 \u002F 农业物联网","openalex","2026-09-21T23:30:09.204353Z",{"total":74,"page":22,"page_size":74,"items":121},[122,220,282,372,437,537],{"id":123,"title":124,"url":125,"summary":126,"summary_zh":127,"content":9,"source_name":128,"source_url":125,"published_at":129,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":130,"score_detail":131,"sources":135,"tags":137,"primary_topic":142,"secondary_topics":147,"classification":150,"search_phrases":203,"slug":206,"view_count":207,"doi":208,"paper":209,"created_at":219},3156,"Climate Adaptation and Sustainable Agriculture in Africa: Strategies for Food Security","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.56201\u002Fijgem.vol.11.no2.2025.pg8.32","This study investigates the role of Climate-Smart Agriculture (CSA) and agroecology in enhancing agricultural resilience and food security in the face of climate change in Africa. Through a comprehensive review of existing literature, case studies, and policy frameworks, the research explores how these adaptive strategies are being implemented across the continent and assesses their effectiveness. The findings reveal that while CSA techniques—such as droughtresistant crop varieties, water-efficient irrigation, and soil management practices—offer tangible benefits to agricultural productivity and resilience, their widespread adoption remains constrained by limited access to finance, inadequate infrastructure, and insufficient extension services. Similarly, agroecological approaches, including crop diversification, agroforestry, and organic farming, have proven successful in fostering sustainable agricultural practices and enhancing biodiversity, yet face significant challenges from prevailing agricultural policies and institutional frameworks that favor large-scale industrial agriculture. The study recommends scaling up the adoption of CSA and agroecology by improving access to financing, technology, and farmer training programs. It also advocates for policy reforms that support agroecological practices and climate adaptation, as well as increased investment in research and development. Additionally, fostering multi-stakeholder collaborations, including public-private partnerships, is critical to overcoming institutional barriers and ensuring the effective implementation of climate adaptation strategies. The conclusion underscores the need for integrated policy frameworks that combine the strengths of CSA and agroecology to build a resilient, sustainable, and food-secure agricultural sector in Africa. By addressing both environmental and socioeconomic challenges, these strategies can significantly contribute to combating the impacts of climate change on African agriculture, ensuring long-term food security and sustainable development.","本研究探讨了气候智能型农业（Climate-Smart Agriculture, CSA）和农业生态学在增强非洲农业应对气候变化韧性和粮食安全方面的作用。通过系统梳理现有文献、案例研究和政策框架，本研究考察了这些适应性策略在非洲大陆的实施情况并评估其有效性。研究发现，尽管气候智能型农业技术——如抗旱作物品种、节水灌溉和土壤管理措施——对提高农业生产力和韧性具有切实效益，但其广泛采用仍受限于融资渠道有限、基础设施不足和推广服务欠缺。同样，农业生态学方法，包括作物多样化、农林业和有机农业，已被证明在促进可持续农业实践和增强生物多样性方面卓有成效，但仍面临来自有利于大规模工业化农业的现行农业政策和制度框架的重大挑战。本研究建议通过改善融资渠道、技术获取和农民培训项目来扩大气候智能型农业和农业生态学的采用。研究还倡导支持农业生态实践和气候适应的政策改革，以及增加研发投入。此外，促进多方利益相关者合作，包括公私合作伙伴关系，对于克服制度障碍和确保气候适应策略的有效实施至关重要。结论强调，需要建立综合性政策框架，将气候智能型农业和农业生态学的优势相结合，以在非洲构建具有韧性、可持续且粮食安全的农业部门。通过同时应对环境和社会经济挑战，这些策略能够为抵御气候变化对非洲农业的影响、确保长期粮食安全和可持续发展作出重大贡献。","IIARD INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHY AND ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT","2026-09-21T00:00:00Z",76,{"impact":132,"substance":133,"depth":19,"authority":20,"freshness":21,"relevant":22,"comment":134},18,20,"系统综述非洲气候智慧型农业与生态农业的适应策略及政策障碍，结论可靠但属文献综述，非突破性成果。",[136],{"name":128,"url":125},[28,138,139,140,141],"非洲农业","气候智慧型农业","农业适应","生态农业",{"code":66,"slug":143,"name":144,"path":145,"parent_code":146},"yield-food-security","单产提升与粮食安全","\u002Ftopic\u002Ffield-crops\u002Fyield-food-security","A",[148,149],{"code":40,"slug":41,"name":42,"path":43,"parent_code":37},{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},{"status":45,"locked":14,"version":46,"method":47,"evidence":151},{"candidates":152,"agricultural_evidence":52},[153,157,161,166,176,183,187,193,197],{"code":66,"score":51,"supported":52,"title":154,"abstract":155,"tags":156},[70],[28,70],[28],{"code":40,"score":17,"supported":52,"title":158,"abstract":159,"tags":160},[61],[63],[141],{"code":33,"score":13,"supported":52,"title":162,"abstract":163,"tags":165},[],[56,164,54],"气候适应",[139],{"code":167,"score":168,"supported":52,"title":169,"abstract":170,"tags":175},"H6",9,[],[171,172,173,174],"生物多样性","农业生态","biodiversity","agroecology",[],{"code":177,"score":74,"supported":52,"title":178,"abstract":179,"tags":182},"H2",[],[180,181],"土壤","soil",[],{"code":73,"score":74,"supported":52,"title":184,"abstract":185,"tags":186},[],[77,78],[],{"code":188,"score":189,"supported":52,"title":190,"abstract":191,"tags":192},"J3",4,[],[138],[138],{"code":88,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":194,"abstract":195,"tags":196},[],[91],[],{"code":198,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":199,"abstract":200,"tags":202},"J1",[],[201],"农业政策",[],[204,205],"气候智慧型农业 非洲","生态农业 粮食安全","气候智慧型农业非洲-3156",5,"10.56201\u002Fijgem.vol.11.no2.2025.pg8.32",{"doi":208,"openalex_id":210,"authors":211,"venue":128,"cited_by_count":22,"oa_url":9,"card":214,"direction":117,"ingested_from":118},"W7213982962",[212],{"name":213,"orcid":9},"Ayobami Samuel Owoyemi",{"tldr":215,"method":216,"finding":217,"direction":115,"opportunity":218},"综述气候智慧型农业与生态农业在非洲提升农业韧性与粮食安全的成效及障碍。","文献综述、案例研究与政策框架分析。","两类策略有效但受资金、基建、推广服务及政策偏向制约。","可量化评估CSA与生态农业在非洲不同区域的适配性与政策协同效果。","2026-09-22T23:30:10.505058Z",{"id":221,"title":222,"url":223,"summary":224,"summary_zh":9,"content":9,"source_name":225,"source_url":9,"published_at":11,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":226,"score_detail":227,"sources":229,"tags":231,"primary_topic":237,"secondary_topics":238,"classification":240,"search_phrases":268,"slug":271,"view_count":82,"doi":9,"paper":272,"created_at":281},3243,"Integrating Climate Resilience and Digital Traceability in Regenerative Agri-Food Systems: A Scenario-Based Framework for Verifiable Sustainability Claims（再生农业食品系统整合气候韧性与数字溯源：可验证可持续性声明的情景框架）","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.mdpi.com\u002F2077-0472\u002F16\u002F18\u002F2024","MDPI Agriculture 16(18) 2024 发表研究：面对再生农业食品系统的可持续性声明常缺乏可验证、系统性证据的问题，构建整合情景分析、SWOT评估和案例研究的三方法框架。三种前瞻性情景——乐观、常规、悲观——基于现有气候韧性和政策文献构建；SWOT分析综合区块链、物联网和AI赋能的溯源机制影响因素；案例研究以先前记录的再生农业食品计划为基础，分析气候韧性叙事、数字验证工具和消费者信任线索的交互作用。结果表明，再生声明常与可验证数据流脱节，数字溯源采用面临结构性、成本相关障碍，消费者信任更依赖于情感和本土化线索而非正式认证；该框架为政策制定者、认证机构和农产品生产者将气候韧性战略与数字可验证可持续性声明相结合提供可复制、低资源方法。（罗马尼亚布加勒斯特国家科学技术大学Politehnica）","MDPI Agriculture",70,{"impact":17,"substance":133,"depth":19,"authority":20,"freshness":21,"relevant":22,"comment":228},"论文提出情景分析、SWOT与案例研究三方法框架，指出再生农业可持续性声明与可验证数据流脱节，对农业数字化溯源有参考价值，但属学术探讨、产业落地影响有限。",[230],{"name":225,"url":223},[232,233,234,235,236],"农业人工智能","区块链","气候韧性","数字溯源","再生农业",{"code":40,"slug":41,"name":42,"path":43,"parent_code":37},[239],{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},{"status":45,"locked":14,"version":46,"method":47,"evidence":241},{"candidates":242,"agricultural_evidence":52},[243,247,252,258,263],{"code":40,"score":17,"supported":52,"title":244,"abstract":245,"tags":246},[236],[236],[236],{"code":33,"score":168,"supported":52,"title":248,"abstract":250,"tags":251},[249],"climate resilience",[],[234],{"code":253,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":254,"abstract":255,"tags":257},"I5",[],[256],"物联网",[],{"code":259,"score":22,"supported":14,"title":260,"abstract":261,"tags":262},"E4",[],[],[235],{"code":264,"score":22,"supported":14,"title":265,"abstract":266,"tags":267},"I2",[],[],[232],[269,270],"布加勒斯特 Politehnica 再生农业","MDPI Agriculture 数字溯源","布加勒斯特Politehnica再生农业-3243",{"doi":9,"openalex_id":9,"authors":273,"venue":9,"cited_by_count":110,"oa_url":9,"card":274,"direction":278,"ingested_from":280},[],{"tldr":275,"method":276,"finding":277,"direction":278,"opportunity":279},"构建情景分析、SWOT与案例研究框架，整合再生农业的气候韧性与数字溯源以验证可持续性声明。","情景分析、SWOT评估与案例研究三方法框架，结合区块链、物联网和AI溯源文献。","再生声明常与可验证数据脱节，数字溯源有成本障碍，消费者信任更依赖情感与本土线索。","数字乡村与农业信息化","可探索低成本数字溯源与本土化信任线索结合的可验证声明机制，尤其在小农户场景。","agent","2026-09-23T00:04:32.924354Z",{"id":283,"title":284,"url":285,"summary":286,"summary_zh":287,"content":9,"source_name":288,"source_url":285,"published_at":289,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":290,"score_detail":291,"sources":293,"tags":295,"primary_topic":299,"secondary_topics":300,"classification":308,"search_phrases":350,"slug":353,"view_count":110,"doi":354,"paper":355,"created_at":371},5478,"Characterisation of Food Security Situation for Smallholder Farmers in Zvimba","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.71458\u002Frx0qpm30","This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the food security situation among smallholder farmers (SHFs) in Zvimba District, Zimbabwe. Smallholder agriculture is the bedrock of Zimbabwe's food system, yet it remains highly vulnerable to a complex array of shocks and stressors. Using a mixed-methods approach, this research investigates the prevalence, drivers and lived experiences of food insecurity within this community. A structured survey was administered to 412 randomly selected smallholder households across the district's wards. The quantitative data were supplemented by 12 Focus Group Discussions (FGDs) and 24 Key Informant Interviews (KIIs) with farmers, community leaders and agricultural extension officers to capture qualitative nuances. The study is grounded in the Food Security Theory (FST), which conceptualises food security through its four pillars: food availability, food access, food utilisation and food stability. Findings reveal a precarious food security situation. Quantitatively, 78.4% of households were found to be food insecure, with an average Hunger Months Index of 4.7 months per year. The study identifies a significant disconnect between maize production, the national staple and household consumption, with over 65% of households failing to produce enough maize to meet their annual requirements. Qualitative data illuminated the multi-faceted drivers of this insecurity. Key points to note include climate change whereby erratic rainfall and prolonged mid-season dry spells were consistently reported as the primary production challenges, limited access to farming inputs whereby high costs and unreliable supplies of certified seeds, fertilizers and agro[1]chemicals constrain productivity. Morelso, socio-economic factors such as poverty, lack of viable alternative livelihoods and limited access to formal credit perpetuate a cycle of vulnerability. In addition, institutional weaknesses, for example, challenges with agricultural extension services and market inefficiencies, exacerbate the situation. The study concludes that food insecurity in Zvimba is not merely a problem of food production, but is deeply rooted in structural issues affecting food access, food utilisation, as well as food stability. Recommendations are proposed for a multi-sectoral approach, including promoting Climate-Smart Agriculture (CSA) and drought-resistant crops, strengthening input support systems and rural finance, diversifying livelihood strategies and enhancing the capacity of extension services. This research contributes to a deeper understanding of the localised dynamics of food security and provides evidence-based guidance for policymakers, development practitioners and the farmers of Zvimba themselves.","本研究对津巴布韦兹维姆巴区小农户（smallholder farmers, SHFs）的粮食安全状况进行了全面分析。小农农业是津巴布韦粮食体系的基石，但仍极易受到一系列复杂冲击和压力的影响。本研究采用混合方法，考察了该社区粮食不安全的普遍程度、驱动因素及生活体验。研究对该区各选区随机抽取的412户小农户进行了结构化问卷调查。定量数据辅以12次焦点小组讨论（FGDs）和24次关键知情人访谈（KIIs），访谈对象包括农民、社区领袖和农业推广人员，以捕捉定性层面的细微差异。本研究以粮食安全理论（Food Security Theory, FST）为基础，该理论通过四大支柱界定粮食安全：粮食可供性、粮食获取、粮食利用和粮食稳定性。研究结果揭示了严峻的粮食安全形势。定量数据显示，78.4%的家庭存在粮食不安全，年均饥饿月份指数为4.7个月。研究发现，玉米产量——该国主粮——与家庭消费之间存在显著脱节，超过65%的家庭生产的玉米不足以满足其年度需求。定性数据揭示了这一不安全状况的多重驱动因素。值得注意的要点包括：气候变化，即降雨不稳定和持续的中期干旱被一致报告为主要生产挑战；农业投入品获取受限，即认证种子、化肥和农用化学品成本高昂且供应不可靠，制约了生产力。此外，贫困、缺乏可行的替代生计以及正规信贷获取受限等社会经济因素使脆弱性循环持续存在。此外，制度薄弱环节，例如农业推广服务面临的挑战和市场效率低下，加剧了这一状况。研究得出结论，兹维姆巴的粮食不安全不仅仅是粮食生产问题，而是深深植根于影响粮食获取、粮食利用以及粮食稳定性的结构性问题。研究提出了采取多部门方法的建议，包括推广气候智能型农业（Climate-Smart Agriculture, CSA）和抗旱作物、加强投入品支持体系和农村金融、多样化生计策略以及增强","Ngenani The Zimbabwe Ezekiel Guti Journal of Community Engagement and Societal Transformations","2026-10-20T00:00:00Z",55,{"impact":21,"substance":132,"depth":51,"authority":74,"freshness":21,"relevant":22,"comment":292},"基于412户调查与混合方法的扎实实证研究，但属津巴布韦地方性案例，公共影响与信源权威度有限，可作参考而非每日精选。",[294],{"name":288,"url":285},[28,296,29,297,298],"小农户","农业推广","津巴布韦",{"code":66,"slug":143,"name":144,"path":145,"parent_code":146},[301,307],{"code":302,"slug":303,"name":304,"path":305,"parent_code":306},"G2","farm-services","社会化服务与规模经营","\u002Ftopic\u002Frural-services\u002Ffarm-services","G",{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},{"status":45,"locked":14,"version":46,"method":47,"evidence":309},{"candidates":310,"agricultural_evidence":52},[311,315,320,326,332,339,346],{"code":66,"score":51,"supported":52,"title":312,"abstract":313,"tags":314},[70],[28,70],[28],{"code":302,"score":51,"supported":52,"title":316,"abstract":318,"tags":319},[317],"smallholder",[296,317],[296],{"code":33,"score":13,"supported":52,"title":321,"abstract":322,"tags":325},[],[56,323,54,324],"干旱","drought",[29],{"code":327,"score":67,"supported":52,"title":328,"abstract":329,"tags":331},"G1",[],[297,330],"agricultural extension",[297],{"code":333,"score":74,"supported":52,"title":334,"abstract":335,"tags":338},"A3",[],[336,337],"玉米","maize",[],{"code":340,"score":74,"supported":52,"title":341,"abstract":342,"tags":345},"G3",[],[343,344],"农村金融","rural finance",[],{"code":88,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":347,"abstract":348,"tags":349},[],[91],[],[351,352],"Zvimba 小农户 粮食安全","津巴布韦 小农 玉米","Zvimba小农户粮食安全-5478","10.71458\u002Frx0qpm30",{"doi":354,"openalex_id":356,"authors":357,"venue":288,"cited_by_count":110,"oa_url":9,"card":366,"direction":117,"ingested_from":118},"W7223029383",[358,361,364],{"name":359,"orcid":360},"Casper Myambo","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0007-8625-7526",{"name":362,"orcid":363},"Chipo Plaxedes Mubaya","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-4123-0238",{"name":365,"orcid":9},"Patience Mutopo",{"tldr":367,"method":368,"finding":369,"direction":278,"opportunity":370},"调查津巴布韦Zvimba小农户粮食安全状况，分析其普遍性、成因与实际体验。","混合方法：412户问卷、12场焦点小组、24个关键人物访谈，基于粮食安全四支柱理","78.4%家庭粮食不安全，年均饥饿月4.7个月，主因是气候、投入、社会经济与制度等结构性问题。","可探索用移动端问卷与遥感产量监测构建小农户粮食安全动态预警与精准干预系统。","2026-10-21T23:30:08.937079Z",{"id":373,"title":374,"url":375,"summary":376,"summary_zh":377,"content":9,"source_name":288,"source_url":375,"published_at":289,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":378,"score_detail":379,"sources":381,"tags":383,"primary_topic":384,"secondary_topics":385,"classification":387,"search_phrases":417,"slug":420,"view_count":110,"doi":421,"paper":422,"created_at":436},5475,"Adoption of Climate-Smart Conservation Agriculture in Improving Food Security in Zimbabwe: The Case of Marondera District, Zimbabwe","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.71458\u002Fwby9rf15","Climate change is negatively impacting the global community and local communities in the Southern African Development Community (SADC) region. Extreme weather events are occurring more frequently, posing a threat to human lives and well-being. Climate change-induced disasters have exacerbated the risks of hunger and under nutrition through reduced yields of agricultural crops. The detrimental effects of climate change are particularly seen in Zimbabwe. It is best to use climate-smart agriculture (CSA) in the smallholder agricultural sector, which produces the majority of the nation's food. Therefore, it is important to learn lessons from past events and manage risks effectively as part of an integrated set of interventions directed at mitigating the harmful impacts of disasters and risks. The research explores community adaptation and coping strategies in addressing the effects of climate change on food security using Marondera District as a case study. The research was conducted using the qualitative research methodology. Data were collected from a population of 50 people that included smallscale farmers, Agritex officers, extension officers, non-governmental organisation (NGO) representatives, village herdsman and the chief. Documentary research was analysed thematically. The research concludes that climate change has had a negative impact on food security. It affected all the four dimensions of food security, that is; food availability, food accessibility, food utilisation and food systems stability. In response, various projects aimed at ensuring community resilience to cope in the face of climatological hazards have been implemented by NGOs, government institutions and other actors, with community members being key stakeholder. The research recommends continued mobilisation of social protection interventions, building of resilient agricultural systems to make them more resilient to climate change and improving the management of the environment to ensure effectiveness in efforts to mitigate the impact of climate change on food security.","气候变化正在对全球社会以及南部非洲发展共同体（SADC）区域的当地社区产生负面影响。极端天气事件发生频率增加，对人类生命和福祉构成威胁。气候变化引发的灾害通过降低农作物产量，加剧了饥饿和营养不足的风险。气候变化的不利影响在津巴布韦尤为显著。在小农农业部门——该部门生产了全国大部分粮食——最好采用气候智能型农业（CSA）。因此，重要的是从过去的事件中吸取教训，并作为旨在减轻灾害和风险有害影响的一套综合干预措施的一部分，有效管理风险。本研究以马龙德拉区为案例，探讨社区在应对气候变化对粮食安全影响方面的适应和应对策略。研究采用定性研究方法开展。数据从50人的群体中收集，包括小规模农户、Agritex官员、推广官员、非政府组织（NGO）代表、村级牧民和酋长。文献研究进行了主题分析。研究得出结论，气候变化对粮食安全产生了负面影响。它影响了粮食安全的所有四个维度，即粮食可供性、粮食可及性、粮食利用和粮食系统稳定性。作为回应，非政府组织、政府机构和其他行为体实施了旨在确保社区抵御气候灾害能力的各类项目，社区成员是关键利益相关者。研究建议继续动员社会保护干预措施，建设有韧性的农业系统以使其更能抵御气候变化，并改善环境管理，以确保减轻气候变化对粮食安全影响的努力取得实效。",54,{"impact":21,"substance":132,"depth":59,"authority":74,"freshness":21,"relevant":22,"comment":380},"以津巴布韦Marondera区为案例的定性研究，探讨气候智慧型保护性农业对粮食安全四维度的影响，属区域案例研究，国际借鉴价值有限，不建议进入每日精选。",[382],{"name":288,"url":375},[28,296,29,298],{"code":66,"slug":143,"name":144,"path":145,"parent_code":146},[386],{"code":40,"slug":41,"name":42,"path":43,"parent_code":37},{"status":45,"locked":14,"version":46,"method":47,"evidence":388},{"candidates":389,"agricultural_evidence":52},[390,394,399,403,407,411],{"code":66,"score":51,"supported":52,"title":391,"abstract":392,"tags":393},[70],[28,70],[28],{"code":40,"score":21,"supported":52,"title":395,"abstract":397,"tags":398},[396],"conservation agriculture",[],[],{"code":33,"score":67,"supported":52,"title":400,"abstract":401,"tags":402},[],[56,54],[29],{"code":302,"score":189,"supported":52,"title":404,"abstract":405,"tags":406},[],[317],[296],{"code":88,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":408,"abstract":409,"tags":410},[],[91],[],{"code":412,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":413,"abstract":414,"tags":416},"I7",[],[415],"研究方法",[],[418,419],"Marondera 气候智慧农业","津巴布韦 小农户 粮食安全","Marondera气候智慧农业-5475","10.71458\u002Fwby9rf15",{"doi":421,"openalex_id":423,"authors":424,"venue":288,"cited_by_count":110,"oa_url":9,"card":431,"direction":117,"ingested_from":118},"W7223010488",[425,428],{"name":426,"orcid":427},"Irony Mazuruse","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0007-5600-7825",{"name":429,"orcid":430},"Judith Chokumanyara","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0000-7386-9960",{"tldr":432,"method":433,"finding":434,"direction":115,"opportunity":435},"研究津巴布韦Marondera地区小农户采用气候智能型保护性农业对粮食安全的影响。","定性研究，访谈50名小农户、推广员、NGO代表等，并进行主题分析。","气候变化损害粮食安全四个维度，多方项目提升了社区抗灾韧性。","可量化气候智能型保护性农业对粮食安全四维度的贡献，并评估数字推广工具在其中的作用。","2026-10-21T23:30:08.757283Z",{"id":438,"title":439,"url":440,"summary":441,"summary_zh":442,"content":9,"source_name":443,"source_url":440,"published_at":444,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":445,"score_detail":446,"sources":449,"tags":451,"primary_topic":454,"secondary_topics":455,"classification":458,"search_phrases":519,"slug":522,"view_count":110,"doi":523,"paper":524,"created_at":536},5185,"When the rains are too much: El Niño, Smallholder Farmers and Food Security in Western Kenya","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.18697\u002Fajfand.155.ed182","When the rains are too much: El Niño, Smallholder Farmers and Food Security in Western Kenya For generations, farmers in Western Kenya have watched the skies carefully. The arrival, duration, and distribution of rainfall have traditionally provided important signals about when to prepare land, plant, weed, and harvest. But these signals are becoming increasingly difficult to read. Climate change is altering rainfall patterns, while increasingly frequent extreme weather events are making farming more uncertain. The current outlook for the October–December 2026 season brings this challenge sharply into focus. The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) forecasts a wetter-than-normal season across much of the Greater Horn of Africa. The Lake Victoria Basin, which includes large parts of Western Kenya, is among the areas with a high likelihood of receiving more than 400 mm of seasonal rainfall. ICPAC reports that El Niño has developed and is expected to strengthen, while a positive Indian Ocean Dipole is also expected—climate conditions that are commonly associated with enhanced rainfall in the region, and is likely to run into February of 2027. But what does this mean for the smallholder farmer? The first point is that more rainfall does not necessarily mean more food. For a farmer whose livelihood depends almost entirely on rain-fed agriculture, abundant rainfall can be a blessing. It can replenish streams and water sources, improve soil moisture, restore pasture and create favourable conditions for crop production. If well distributed, the rains could contribute to improved harvests and household food supplies. The problem arises when rainfall is too intense, too concentrated or poorly distributed. A farmer may receive a great deal of rain in a few days and then experience a dry spell. Another farmer a few kilometres away may receive considerably less. Heavy downpours can cause flooding, waterlogging and soil erosion. Seeds may be washed away soon after planting. Young crops can be submerged or damaged. Valuable topsoil and nutrients can be carried away, reducing the productivity of land in subsequent seasons. This is particularly important in Western Kenya, where many households depend on small parcels of land for both food and income. A failed or damaged crop is not simply an agricultural loss. It can mean less food in the household, less money for school fees and health care, and fewer resources to purchase nutritious foods. The food-security paradox We must, therefore, look beyond agricultural production to food and nutrition security. A household may produce enough maize yet still have a poor diet if vegetables, legumes, fruits, milk, eggs or other foods are unavailable or unaffordable. Climate shocks can reduce this diversity. When crops are damaged, families may depend more heavily on whatever staple food remains available. This is why climate resilience must also be nutrition-sensitive. Western Kenya has a rich agricultural tradition and considerable potential for diversified food production. Farmers grow cereals, legumes, vegetables and root crops and keep livestock and poultry. Such diversity is not merely an agricultural advantage; it is a nutritional resource. It can provide different foods, spread risk and generate income at different times of the year. Climate adaptation should, therefore, not encourage farmers simply to produce more of one crop. It should help them build diverse and resilient farming systems. Women carry a large part of the burden The impact of erratic and excessive rainfall also has a gender dimension. Women in smallholder households are often deeply involved in food production, processing, preparation and household nutrition. When harvests fail, or food prices rise, women frequently have to find ways of stretching limited household resources to feed the family. When roads become impassable or markets are disrupted, women may have greater difficulty accessing food and agricultural inputs. When water sources are contaminated or damaged, household responsibilities can become even more demanding. Climate adaptation must therefore deliberately include women—not simply as beneficiaries, but as decision-makers, innovators, farmers and leaders. Young people must also be part of the solution There is another group that deserves greater attention: young people. Western Kenya cannot build climate-resilient agriculture while treating agriculture as an occupation of the past. Young people need to see opportunities in modern farming, agro-processing, food safety, climate information services, irrigation, digital agriculture and agricultural entrepreneurship. The increasing unpredictability of climate may actually provide an opportunity to make agriculture more innovative. Young people can help introduce new technologies, improve access to climate information, develop value-added products and create businesses around food production and processing. From forecasting to action The availability of a climate forecast is useful only if it reaches the people who need it in time. Farmers need information that answers practical questions: When should I plant? Which crops or varieties are appropriate? How can I protect my soil? What should I do if rainfall becomes excessive? How can I protect harvested food? Where can I obtain reliable seed and other inputs? Seasonal forecasts should, therefore, be translated into local, practical agricultural advice. ICPAC itself emphasizes that seasonal forecasts should be used together with weekly and monthly forecasts and national meteorological information. This requires stronger links between meteorological services, agricultural extension officers, researchers, county governments, farmer organizations and communities. We should also strengthen simple but important measures: water harvesting, drainage, terracing and soil conservation; planting crops and varieties suited to local conditions; maintaining vegetation cover; diversifying crops and livestock; improving storage facilities; and protecting food from moisture and contamination. Prepare before the rain comes The greatest lesson from the current El Niño outlook is perhaps that preparedness must begin before the first heavy rains arrive. Governments and development partners should not wait for floods, damaged roads, destroyed crops or food shortages before responding. Early warning should lead to early action. Farmers should be supported to prepare their farms, protect livestock, secure seed and inputs, strengthen food storage and identify alternative routes to markets. This is particularly important because the same season can produce both opportunities and losses. ICPAC notes that enhanced rainfall can support agricultural production and replenish water resources, but can simultaneously increase the risk of flooding, flash floods and landslides in vulnerable areas. A changing climate requires a different agricultural mindset Perhaps the most important change we need is in the way we think about farming. For too long, agricultural planning has often assumed that rainfall will behave according to a familiar calendar. That assumption is becoming increasingly unsafe. Farmers now have to manage not only too little rain, but also too much rain, rain at the wrong time and rain in the wrong place. The challenge is, therefore, not simply to produce more food. It is to build food systems that can continue providing adequate, diverse, safe and nutritious food under increasingly uncertain climatic conditions. Western Kenya's smallholder farmers should not be left alone to carry this burden. They need science that responds to their realities, extension services that reach them, climate information they can understand and use, financial services that help them manage risk, markets that function during difficult seasons, and policies that recognize the central role of smallholder agriculture in national food and nutrition security, and partners who are willing to appreciate and make use of indigenous knowledge. El Niño should, therefore, be viewed neither simply as a disaster nor automatically as a blessing. It is a climate event whose consequences will depend greatly on our preparedness. The question before us is not merely, “Will the rains come?” They probably will. The more important question is: Will our farmers, food systems and institutions be ready when they do? That is where climate resilience—and ultimately food and nutrition security—will be tested. Prof. Ruth Khasaya Oniang'o Founder and Editor-in-Chief, AJFAND ORCiD: https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0005-8344-9093","当雨水过多时：厄尔尼诺现象、小农户与肯尼亚西部的粮食安全\n\n世代以来，肯尼亚西部的农民一直密切关注着天空。降雨的到来、持续时间和分布，传统上为何时整地、播种、除草和收获提供了重要信号。但这些信号正变得越来越难以解读。气候变化正在改变降雨模式，而日益频繁的极端天气事件使农业变得更加不确定。当前对2026年10月至12月季节的展望使这一挑战凸显出来。政府间发展组织气候预测与应用中心（ICPAC）预测，大非洲之角大部分地区将迎来高于正常水平的湿润季节。维多利亚湖流域——包括肯尼亚西部的大部分地区——属于极有可能获得超过400毫米季节性降雨的区域之一。ICPAC报告称，厄尔尼诺现象已经形成并预计将增强，同时预计还将出现正印度洋偶极子——这些气候条件通常与该地区降雨增强相关，并可能持续到2027年2月。但这对小农户意味着什么？首先，更多降雨并不必然意味着更多粮食。对于生计几乎完全依赖雨养农业的农民来说，充沛的降雨可能是福。它可以补充溪流和水源、改善土壤湿度、恢复牧场，并为作物生产创造有利条件。如果分布良好，降雨可能有助于改善收成和家庭粮食供应。问题出现在降雨过于猛烈、过于集中或分布不均的时候。一个农民可能在几天内获得大量降雨，随后又经历一段干旱期。几公里外的另一个农民可能获得的降雨少得多。暴雨可能引发洪水、渍涝和土壤侵蚀。种子可能在播种后不久被冲走。幼苗可能被淹没或受损。宝贵的表土和养分可能被带走，降低土地在后续季节的生产力。这在肯尼亚西部尤为重要，因为许多家庭依赖小块土地获取食物和收入。作物歉收或受损不仅仅是农业损失。它可能意味着家庭食物减少、用于学费和医疗的钱减少，以及购买营养食品的资源减少。粮食安全……","African Journal of Food Agriculture Nutrition and Development","2026-10-16T00:00:00Z",75,{"impact":132,"substance":133,"depth":447,"authority":20,"freshness":21,"relevant":22,"comment":448},16,"核心期刊评论文章，结合El Niño预测讨论小农户气候适应与粮食营养安全，有实质分析与行动建议，但属区域案例、非信息化技术突破。",[450],{"name":443,"url":440},[452,28,296,29,453],"肯尼亚","气候预警",{"code":66,"slug":143,"name":144,"path":145,"parent_code":146},[456,457],{"code":302,"slug":303,"name":304,"path":305,"parent_code":306},{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},{"status":45,"locked":14,"version":46,"method":47,"evidence":459},{"candidates":460,"agricultural_evidence":52},[461,465,469,474,478,482,488,494,500,505,511,515],{"code":66,"score":51,"supported":52,"title":462,"abstract":463,"tags":464},[70],[28,70],[28],{"code":302,"score":51,"supported":52,"title":466,"abstract":467,"tags":468},[317],[296,317],[296],{"code":33,"score":13,"supported":52,"title":470,"abstract":471,"tags":473},[],[56,323,54,249,472],"waterlogging",[29],{"code":177,"score":74,"supported":52,"title":475,"abstract":476,"tags":477},[],[180,181],[],{"code":333,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":479,"abstract":480,"tags":481},[],[337],[],{"code":483,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":484,"abstract":485,"tags":487},"B4",[],[486],"月季",[],{"code":489,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":490,"abstract":491,"tags":493},"C",[],[492],"livestock",[],{"code":495,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":496,"abstract":497,"tags":499},"C3",[],[498],"poultry",[],{"code":259,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":501,"abstract":502,"tags":504},[],[503],"food safety",[],{"code":506,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":507,"abstract":508,"tags":510},"F4",[],[509],"除草",[],{"code":327,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":512,"abstract":513,"tags":514},[],[330],[],{"code":73,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":516,"abstract":517,"tags":518},[],[78],[],[520,521],"El Niño 小农户 粮食安全","ICPAC 季节预报 肯尼亚","ElNiño小农户粮食安全-5185","10.18697\u002Fajfand.155.ed182",{"doi":523,"openalex_id":525,"authors":526,"venue":443,"cited_by_count":110,"oa_url":530,"card":531,"direction":278,"ingested_from":118},"W7222630373",[527],{"name":528,"orcid":529},"Ruth Khasaya Oniang'o","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0005-8344-9093","https:\u002F\u002Fajfand.net\u002FVolume26\u002FNo8\u002FEditorialVol26No8.pdf",{"tldr":532,"method":533,"finding":534,"direction":115,"opportunity":535},"分析厄尔尼诺导致肯尼亚西部降雨过量对小农粮食安全的影响","基于ICPAC季节气候预测与厄尔尼诺、印度洋偶极子分析","降雨过多且分布不均会引发洪涝、土壤侵蚀，反而威胁小农粮食安全","可结合遥感与农户调查，量化极端降雨时空分布对小农产量与粮食安全的非线性影响","2026-10-17T23:30:36.130973Z",{"id":538,"title":539,"url":540,"summary":541,"summary_zh":542,"content":9,"source_name":543,"source_url":540,"published_at":544,"category":12,"cover_url":9,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":130,"score_detail":545,"sources":547,"tags":549,"primary_topic":552,"secondary_topics":553,"classification":554,"search_phrases":592,"slug":595,"view_count":596,"doi":597,"paper":598,"created_at":615},2769,"Climate change impacts and resilience pathways in somalia through a systematic review","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1007\u002Fs42452-026-09538-5","Somalia is among the most climate-vulnerable countries worldwide, characterized by predominantly arid and semi-arid regions increasingly affected by recurrent droughts, irregular precipitation, rising temperatures, land degradation, and water scarcity, all of which compromise livelihoods, food security, and socio-economic stability. This study addresses the limited synthesis of recent, spatially explicit evidence on climate change impacts in Somalia by bringing together current literature and institutional reports to analyze the effects of climate change and identify adaptation and resilience strategies The review is entirely desk-based and utilizes 30 secondary data articles from reputable sources such as FAO-SWALIM, the World Bank, ICPAC, FSNAU, USAID, and peer-reviewed research articles from Scopus and web of science published from 2008 to 2025. The results showed that over 60% of Somalia’s territory is categorized as arid or hyper-arid, with the southern parts seeing the most acute soil erosion and environmental deterioration. Significant drought occurrences, especially in 2010–2011 and 2016–2017, were greatly impacted by extensive climatic factors including ENSO and the Indian Ocean Dipole. Climate variability has resulted in reduced crop yields, pasture degradation, livestock mortality, persistent water shortages, and extensive food insecurity, while inadequate governance, restricted climate financing, and deficient early-warning and monitoring systems hinder effective adaptation. The review emphasizes that climate change presents a systemic threat to Somalia’s environmental and livelihood systems, highlighting the necessity for integrated, spatially informed strategies that incorporate GIS-based environmental monitoring, sustainable land and water management, climate-smart agriculture, strengthened institutions, and enhanced access to climate finance to support long-term resilience and sustainable development.","索马里是全球最易受气候变化影响的国家之一，其国土以干旱和半干旱地区为主，日益受到反复出现的干旱、降水不规律、气温上升、土地退化及水资源短缺的影响，这些问题共同威胁着生计、粮食安全和社会经济稳定。本研究针对索马里气候变化影响近期空间明确证据综合不足的问题，汇集当前文献和机构报告，分析气候变化的影响并识别适应与韧性策略。本综述完全基于案头研究，使用了来自FAO-SWALIM、世界银行、ICPAC、FSNAU、USAID等知名来源的30篇二手数据文献，以及2008年至2025年间发表于Scopus和Web of Science的同行评审研究论文。结果表明，索马里超过60%的领土被归类为干旱或极度干旱，南部地区土壤侵蚀和环境退化最为严重。重大干旱事件，尤其是2010—2011年和2016—2017年的干旱，受到包括厄尔尼诺-南方涛动（ENSO）和印度洋偶极子（IOD）在内的广泛气候因素的显著影响。气候变率导致作物减产、牧场退化、牲畜死亡、持续的水资源短缺和大范围的粮食不安全，而治理不足、气候融资受限以及预警和监测系统薄弱则阻碍了有效适应。本综述强调，气候变化对索马里的环境和生计系统构成系统性威胁，凸显了采取综合性、空间信息化策略的必要性，这些策略应包括基于GIS的环境监测、可持续土地和水资源管理、气候智慧型农业、强化制度以及增强气候融资渠道，以支持长期韧性和可持续发展。","Discover Applied Sciences","2026-09-16T00:00:00Z",{"impact":132,"substance":133,"depth":19,"authority":20,"freshness":21,"relevant":22,"comment":546},"系统综述整合2008-2025年30篇文献，揭示索马里干旱与粮食安全影响并提出GIS监测与气候智慧农业等韧性路径，对干旱区农业信息化有参考价值。",[548],{"name":543,"url":540},[28,56,29,550,551],"遥感监测","干旱监测",{"code":33,"slug":34,"name":35,"path":36,"parent_code":37},[],{"status":45,"locked":14,"version":46,"method":47,"evidence":555},{"candidates":556,"agricultural_evidence":52},[557,561,565,569,573,578,582,588],{"code":33,"score":133,"supported":52,"title":558,"abstract":559,"tags":560},[54],[56,323,54,324],[551,56,29],{"code":66,"score":67,"supported":52,"title":562,"abstract":563,"tags":564},[],[28,70],[28],{"code":177,"score":74,"supported":52,"title":566,"abstract":567,"tags":568},[],[180,181],[],{"code":489,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":570,"abstract":571,"tags":572},[],[492],[],{"code":73,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":574,"abstract":575,"tags":577},[],[576],"水资源",[],{"code":88,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":579,"abstract":580,"tags":581},[],[91],[],{"code":583,"score":82,"supported":52,"title":584,"abstract":585,"tags":587},"I4",[],[586],"GIS",[],{"code":94,"score":22,"supported":14,"title":589,"abstract":590,"tags":591},[],[],[550],[593,594],"气候智慧农业 干旱监测 气候变化 粮食安全","气候智慧农业 干旱监测","气候智慧农业干旱监测气候变化粮食安全-2769",2,"10.1007\u002Fs42452-026-09538-5",{"doi":597,"openalex_id":599,"authors":600,"venue":543,"cited_by_count":110,"oa_url":540,"card":610,"direction":117,"ingested_from":118},"W7213257664",[601,603,605,608],{"name":602,"orcid":9},"Abdiaziz Hassan Nur",{"name":604,"orcid":9},"Mohamed Osman Abdulkadir",{"name":606,"orcid":607},"Omar Ali","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0001-3009-1850",{"name":609,"orcid":9},"Ahmed Sodal Asir",{"tldr":611,"method":612,"finding":613,"direction":115,"opportunity":614},"系统综述索马里气候变化影响与韧性路径，基于30篇文献与机构报告。","文献综述，采用FAO-SWALIM、世行等2008-2025年30篇二手数据。","超60%国土干旱，干旱致减产、缺水与粮食不安全，治理与预警不足阻碍适应。","可结合GIS与遥感构建索马里干旱预警和气候智慧型农业适应决策模型。","2026-09-17T23:30:10.557669Z"]