[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"item-3656":3,"related-3656":75},{"id":4,"title":5,"url":6,"summary":7,"summary_zh":8,"content":8,"source_name":9,"source_url":6,"published_at":10,"category":11,"cover_url":8,"hotness":12,"is_selected":13,"score":14,"score_detail":15,"sources":22,"tags":24,"primary_topic":8,"secondary_topics":30,"classification":31,"search_phrases":54,"slug":57,"view_count":58,"doi":59,"paper":60,"created_at":74},3656,"Linking dairy intensification pathways to farm sustainability: A systems-based assessment in an urban African context","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1016\u002Fj.agsy.2026.104955","Linking dairy intensification pathways to farm sustainability: A systems-based assessment in an urban African context。Agricultural Systems",null,"Agricultural Systems","2026-09-28T00:00:00Z","论文",10,false,65,{"impact":16,"substance":17,"depth":18,"authority":19,"freshness":12,"relevant":20,"comment":21},8,18,16,13,1,"核心期刊论文，方法系统性强，但研究对象为非洲城市奶业，与国内三农信息化关联有限，公共价值一般。",[23],{"name":9,"url":6},[25,26,27,28,29],"奶业","非洲农业","可持续农业","智慧牧场","农业系统",[],{"status":32,"locked":13,"version":33,"method":34,"evidence":35},"unclassified","2026-10-22.2","rules",{"candidates":36,"agricultural_evidence":52,"reason":53},[37,42,47],{"code":38,"score":20,"supported":13,"title":39,"abstract":40,"tags":41},"C2",[],[],[25],{"code":43,"score":20,"supported":13,"title":44,"abstract":45,"tags":46},"H8",[],[],[27],{"code":48,"score":20,"supported":13,"title":49,"abstract":50,"tags":51},"J3",[],[],[26],true,"缺少足够的主题证据",[55,56],"可持续农业 农业系统 智慧牧场 非洲农业","可持续农业 农业系统","可持续农业农业系统智慧牧场非洲农业-3656",2,"10.1016\u002Fj.agsy.2026.104955",{"doi":59,"openalex_id":61,"authors":62,"venue":9,"cited_by_count":72,"oa_url":6,"card":8,"direction":8,"ingested_from":73},"W7214565215",[63,65,67,70],{"name":64,"orcid":8},"Jane Kahwai",{"name":66,"orcid":8},"John Mburu",{"name":68,"orcid":69},"Sandra Transchel","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-8240-4839",{"name":71,"orcid":8},"X.N. Iraki",0,"openalex","2026-09-28T23:30:04.356233Z",{"total":76,"page":20,"page_size":76,"items":77},6,[78,167,223,279,350,423],{"id":79,"title":80,"url":81,"summary":82,"summary_zh":8,"content":8,"source_name":9,"source_url":81,"published_at":83,"category":11,"cover_url":8,"hotness":12,"is_selected":13,"score":84,"score_detail":85,"sources":90,"tags":92,"primary_topic":95,"secondary_topics":101,"classification":102,"search_phrases":121,"slug":124,"view_count":72,"doi":125,"paper":126,"created_at":166},5137,"Integrated nutrient management enhances multifunctional sustainability of fodder sorghum systems: An index-based multivariate assessment","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1016\u002Fj.agsy.2026.105019","Integrated nutrient management enhances multifunctional sustainability of fodder sorghum systems: An index-based multivariate assessment。Agricultural Systems","2026-10-16T00:00:00Z",69,{"impact":86,"substance":17,"depth":18,"authority":87,"freshness":88,"relevant":20,"comment":89},12,14,9,"核心期刊论文，方法有一定新意，但属细分领域研究，产业影响有限，时效性强，可作备选而非必选。",[91],{"name":9,"url":81},[27,93,29,94],"养分管理","饲草高粱",{"code":96,"slug":97,"name":98,"path":99,"parent_code":100},"A5","tubers-grains","薯类与杂粮","\u002Ftopic\u002Ffield-crops\u002Ftubers-grains","A",[],{"status":103,"locked":13,"version":33,"method":34,"evidence":104},"classified",{"candidates":105,"agricultural_evidence":52},[106,112,117],{"code":96,"score":107,"supported":52,"title":108,"abstract":110,"tags":111},11,[109],"sorghum",[109],[],{"code":113,"score":20,"supported":13,"title":114,"abstract":115,"tags":116},"F3",[],[],[93],{"code":43,"score":20,"supported":13,"title":118,"abstract":119,"tags":120},[],[],[27],[122,123],"饲草高粱 养分管理","Agricultural Systems 高粱","饲草高粱养分管理-5137","10.1016\u002Fj.agsy.2026.105019",{"doi":125,"openalex_id":127,"authors":128,"venue":9,"cited_by_count":72,"oa_url":8,"card":8,"direction":8,"ingested_from":73},"W7222541610",[129,132,135,137,139,141,144,146,148,151,154,156,158,161,164],{"name":130,"orcid":131},"Mohd. Arif","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-0406-7037",{"name":133,"orcid":134},"Ramasamy Pourouchottamane","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-3462-5108",{"name":136,"orcid":8},"Ravindra Kumar",{"name":138,"orcid":8},"Arvind Kumar",{"name":140,"orcid":8},"M.A. Ansari",{"name":142,"orcid":143},"Mohammad Hasanain","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0009-5738-2568",{"name":145,"orcid":8},"Raghavendra Singh",{"name":147,"orcid":8},"Rakesh Kumar",{"name":149,"orcid":150},"AL Meena","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-3020-5141",{"name":152,"orcid":153},"Ved Prakash","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-1576-9424",{"name":155,"orcid":8},"B. Rai",{"name":157,"orcid":8},"M.K. Singh",{"name":159,"orcid":160},"A. K. Dixit","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0005-5633-8101",{"name":162,"orcid":163},"Chetna Gangwar","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-0826-0811",{"name":165,"orcid":8},"K. Gururaj","2026-10-17T23:30:04.483230Z",{"id":168,"title":169,"url":170,"summary":171,"summary_zh":8,"content":8,"source_name":9,"source_url":170,"published_at":172,"category":11,"cover_url":8,"hotness":12,"is_selected":13,"score":173,"score_detail":174,"sources":176,"tags":178,"primary_topic":182,"secondary_topics":187,"classification":188,"search_phrases":202,"slug":205,"view_count":72,"doi":206,"paper":207,"created_at":222},5542,"Beyond profitability: heterogeneous associations between ESG-related mechanisms and farm economic sustainability-evidence from Spanish sheep and goat farming","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1016\u002Fj.agsy.2026.105022","Beyond profitability: heterogeneous associations between ESG-related mechanisms and farm economic sustainability-evidence from Spanish sheep and goat farming。Agricultural Systems","2026-10-21T00:00:00Z",66,{"impact":16,"substance":17,"depth":18,"authority":87,"freshness":12,"relevant":20,"comment":175},"西班牙羊山羊养殖ESG与经济可持续性实证研究，方法有一定新意但属区域性细分议题，公共影响有限，不宜进入每日精选。",[177],{"name":9,"url":170},[27,179,180,181],"畜牧养殖","ESG","农场经济",{"code":38,"slug":183,"name":184,"path":185,"parent_code":186},"ruminants","草食牲畜","\u002Ftopic\u002Flivestock\u002Fruminants","C",[],{"status":103,"locked":13,"version":33,"method":34,"evidence":189},{"candidates":190,"agricultural_evidence":52},[191,198],{"code":38,"score":192,"supported":52,"title":193,"abstract":196,"tags":197},22,[194,195],"sheep","goat",[194,195],[],{"code":43,"score":20,"supported":13,"title":199,"abstract":200,"tags":201},[],[],[27],[203,204],"西班牙 养殖 ESG","可持续农业 农场经济 畜牧养殖 ESG","西班牙养殖ESG-5542","10.1016\u002Fj.agsy.2026.105022",{"doi":206,"openalex_id":208,"authors":209,"venue":9,"cited_by_count":72,"oa_url":170,"card":8,"direction":8,"ingested_from":73},"W7223120996",[210,213,216,219],{"name":211,"orcid":212},"Maria Llanos Soria-Oliver","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0005-2631-1135",{"name":214,"orcid":215},"Carolina Pontones Rosa","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0001-6989-7969",{"name":217,"orcid":218},"Inmaculada Alonso Carrillo","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-0813-9934",{"name":220,"orcid":221},"Rosario Pérez Morote","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0001-5502-3646","2026-10-22T11:20:12.622588Z",{"id":224,"title":225,"url":226,"summary":227,"summary_zh":8,"content":8,"source_name":9,"source_url":226,"published_at":228,"category":11,"cover_url":8,"hotness":12,"is_selected":52,"score":229,"score_detail":230,"sources":232,"tags":234,"primary_topic":239,"secondary_topics":245,"classification":246,"search_phrases":258,"slug":261,"view_count":72,"doi":262,"paper":263,"created_at":278},5540,"A national study of the effectiveness and co-benefits from actions to mitigate water quality impairment and greenhouse gas emissions from dairy farms in New Zealand","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1016\u002Fj.agsy.2026.105026","A national study of the effectiveness and co-benefits from actions to mitigate water quality impairment and greenhouse gas emissions from dairy farms in New Zealand。Agricultural Systems","2026-10-22T00:00:00Z",86,{"impact":192,"substance":192,"depth":17,"authority":87,"freshness":12,"relevant":20,"comment":231},"新西兰全国性奶牛场水环境与温室气体协同减排研究，数据规模大、结论有政策参考价值，但属境外研究，对国内读者直接相关性有限。",[233],{"name":9,"url":226},[25,235,236,237,238],"新西兰","温室气体减排","水质保护","农业环境政策",{"code":240,"slug":241,"name":242,"path":243,"parent_code":244},"B7","protected-horticulture","设施园艺与植物工厂","\u002Ftopic\u002Fhorticulture\u002Fprotected-horticulture","B",[],{"status":103,"locked":13,"version":33,"method":34,"evidence":247},{"candidates":248,"agricultural_evidence":52},[249,254],{"code":240,"score":107,"supported":52,"title":250,"abstract":252,"tags":253},[251],"greenhouse",[251],[],{"code":38,"score":20,"supported":13,"title":255,"abstract":256,"tags":257},[],[],[25],[259,260],"新西兰 奶牛场 温室气体 减排","农业环境政策 温室气体减排 水质保护 新西兰","新西兰奶牛场温室气体减排-5540","10.1016\u002Fj.agsy.2026.105026",{"doi":262,"openalex_id":264,"authors":265,"venue":9,"cited_by_count":72,"oa_url":226,"card":8,"direction":8,"ingested_from":73},"W7223139855",[266,269,272,274,276],{"name":267,"orcid":268},"Richard William McDowell","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-3911-4825",{"name":270,"orcid":271},"Katrina Ann Macintosh","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-7232-400X",{"name":273,"orcid":8},"A. Wright-Stow",{"name":275,"orcid":8},"P. Astruc",{"name":277,"orcid":8},"C.X.O. Thiange","2026-10-22T11:20:11.497856Z",{"id":280,"title":281,"url":282,"summary":283,"summary_zh":284,"content":8,"source_name":285,"source_url":282,"published_at":286,"category":11,"cover_url":8,"hotness":12,"is_selected":13,"score":287,"score_detail":288,"sources":291,"tags":293,"primary_topic":8,"secondary_topics":298,"classification":299,"search_phrases":324,"slug":327,"view_count":72,"doi":328,"paper":329,"created_at":349},5470,"A Social Benchmarking Method for surveying rural landholders","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1746415","Understanding rural landholders—their motivations, management practices and responses to change—is critical for effective agricultural policy and extension. However, effective and representative surveying or social benchmarking of these landholders is often underutilised or inconsistently applied to inform regional strategies. This paper addresses two key questions: what are the essential elements of effective social benchmarking of rural landholders, and how can such benchmarking contribute to improved policy implementation? Drawing on three decades of rural social benchmarking in Australia, and focusing on six large regional surveys conducted between 2019 and 2023, we present a method and associated theoretical framework. The Social Benchmarking Framework builds on key social theories to draw together factors driving landholder decision-making, using a well-structured, collaborative Social Benchmarking Method to generate robust, comparable, and policy-relevant data over time. We demonstrate how nuanced analyses of these data can reveal drivers of practice change, inform adaptive management, and strengthen the evidence base for agricultural extension and policy. Ultimately, we show how rigorous social benchmarking can bridge the gap between local realities and policy goals, supporting more targeted, effective and equitable approaches to sustainable\u002Fregenerative agriculture and land management, at local and national scales.","理解农村土地持有者——他们的动机、管理实践以及对变化的反应——对于有效的农业政策和推广至关重要。然而，对这些土地持有者进行有效且具有代表性的调查或社会基准评估，往往未被充分利用，或应用不一致，难以用于指导区域战略。本文探讨两个关键问题：对农村土地持有者进行有效社会基准评估的核心要素是什么，以及这种基准评估如何促进政策实施的改善？基于澳大利亚三十年的农村社会基准评估经验，并聚焦于2019年至2023年间开展的六项大型区域性调查，我们提出了一种方法及其相关理论框架。社会基准评估框架（Social Benchmarking Framework）以关键社会理论为基础，将驱动土地持有者决策的各类因素整合起来，运用结构良好、协作式的社会基准评估方法（Social Benchmarking Method），随时间推移生成稳健、可比且与政策相关的数据。我们展示了如何对这些数据进行细致分析，以揭示实践变化的驱动因素、为适应性管理提供依据，并强化农业推广与政策的证据基础。最终，我们表明，严谨的社会基准评估能够弥合地方现实与政策目标之间的差距，在地方和国家尺度上支持更具针对性、更有效且更公平的可持续\u002F再生农业与土地管理方法。","Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems","2026-10-20T00:00:00Z",72,{"impact":86,"substance":289,"depth":17,"authority":19,"freshness":88,"relevant":20,"comment":290},20,"基于澳大利亚三十年实践提出可复用的农村土地持有者社会基准调查方法框架，方法新颖、数据规模可观，对农业推广与政策评估有参考价值，但属方法论论文、地域性较强，未达每日精选门槛。",[292],{"name":285,"url":282},[27,294,295,296,297],"农业推广","社会基准调查","农户决策","农村政策",[],{"status":300,"locked":13,"version":33,"method":34,"evidence":301},"needs_review",{"candidates":302,"agricultural_evidence":52,"reason":323},[303,310,316],{"code":304,"score":305,"supported":52,"title":306,"abstract":307,"tags":309},"G1",7,[],[294,308],"agricultural extension",[294],{"code":43,"score":305,"supported":52,"title":311,"abstract":312,"tags":315},[],[313,314],"再生农业","regenerative agriculture",[27],{"code":317,"score":76,"supported":52,"title":318,"abstract":319,"tags":322},"J1",[],[320,321],"农业政策","agricultural policy",[],"多个产业证据相当，需要确认主归属",[325,326],"澳大利亚 农村土地持有者 社会基准调查","Social Benchmarking 农业政策","澳大利亚农村土地持有者社会基准调查-5470","10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1746415",{"doi":328,"openalex_id":330,"authors":331,"venue":285,"cited_by_count":72,"oa_url":282,"card":343,"direction":347,"ingested_from":73},"W7223045147",[332,335,338,340],{"name":333,"orcid":334},"Hanabeth Luke","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0001-8082-7988",{"name":336,"orcid":337},"Catherine Allan","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-2098-4759",{"name":339,"orcid":8},"Mathew Alexanderson",{"name":341,"orcid":342},"Simon P. McDonald","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0009-0005-8104-3225",{"tldr":344,"method":345,"finding":346,"direction":347,"opportunity":348},"提出农村土地持有者社会基准调查方法框架，支撑农业政策制定。","基于澳大利亚30年经验与2019-2023年六项区域调查，构建社会基准框架。","系统化社会基准可揭示农户实践变化动因，弥合地方现实与政策目标差距。","数字乡村与农业信息化","可将该社会基准方法与数字乡村数据平台结合，探索农户行为数据驱动的精准政策评估。","2026-10-21T23:30:07.267469Z",{"id":351,"title":352,"url":353,"summary":354,"summary_zh":355,"content":8,"source_name":285,"source_url":353,"published_at":286,"category":11,"cover_url":8,"hotness":12,"is_selected":13,"score":356,"score_detail":357,"sources":360,"tags":362,"primary_topic":367,"secondary_topics":372,"classification":373,"search_phrases":393,"slug":396,"view_count":72,"doi":397,"paper":398,"created_at":422},5468,"Farm-level technical efficiency in temperate horticulture: evidence from apple, pear, and cherry growers","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1928386","Improving resource-use efficiency is fundamental to enhancing agricultural productivity and promoting sustainable horticultural development, particularly in regions where opportunities for expanding cultivated land and increasing input use are limited. This study evaluates the technical efficiency of apple, pear, and cherry growers in the Kashmir Valley and examines the socioeconomic, institutional, and regional factors associated with farm-level technical efficiency. Primary data were collected from 418 horticultural households during 2023 using a multi-stage sampling approach. Technical efficiency was first estimated separately for apple, pear, and cherry growers using an input-oriented Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) framework under both Constant Returns to Scale (CRS) and Variable Returns to Scale (VRS) assumptions. Scale efficiency was subsequently estimated, while a pooled DEA model was employed to generate farm-level technical efficiency scores for the second-stage analysis. The determinants of technical efficiency were examined using Tobit regression, supported by a fractional logit model as a robustness check, and regional disparities were assessed using Kruskal–Wallis and Mann–Whitney non-parametric tests. The results indicate that apple growers achieved the highest overall technical efficiency, followed by pear and cherry growers. The VRS estimates reveal substantially higher levels of pure technical efficiency, whereas the scale efficiency analysis suggests that a considerable proportion of technical inefficiency arises from farms operating below their optimal production scale. The second-stage analysis identifies family size, education, irrigation facilities, access to credit, and cold storage infrastructure as significant positive factors associated with farm-level technical efficiency, while significant regional disparities are observed across the Kashmir Valley. The robustness analysis confirms the consistency of the estimated relationships. These findings highlight that improving horticultural performance requires not only efficient farm-level resource management but also stronger institutional support, investments in irrigation and post-harvest infrastructure, improved access to rural credit, and region-specific development strategies. The study contributes to the literature by integrating crop-specific and pooled efficiency analyses with socioeconomic and regional assessments, providing policy-relevant evidence for promoting resource-efficient and sustainable horticultural production.","提高资源利用效率是提升农业生产力、促进园艺产业可持续发展的基础，在耕地扩张和投入增加机会有限的地区尤为如此。本研究评估了克什米尔谷地苹果、梨和樱桃种植者的技术效率，并考察了与农场层面技术效率相关的社会经济、制度和区域因素。研究采用多阶段抽样方法，于2023年从418个园艺农户收集了一手数据。首先，在规模报酬不变（CRS）和规模报酬可变（VRS）两种假设下，运用投入导向的数据包络分析（DEA）框架分别估算苹果、梨和樱桃种植者的技术效率。随后估算规模效率，并采用混合DEA模型生成农场层面技术效率得分用于第二阶段分析。技术效率的决定因素通过Tobit回归进行检验，并以分数logit模型作为稳健性检验加以支持，区域差异则采用Kruskal–Wallis和Mann–Whitney非参数检验进行评估。结果表明，苹果种植者总体技术效率最高，梨和樱桃种植者次之。VRS估计显示纯技术效率水平显著更高，而规模效率分析表明，相当比例的技术无效率源于农场经营规模低于最优生产规模。第二阶段分析识别出家庭规模、教育、灌溉设施、信贷获取和冷库基础设施是与农场层面技术效率显著正相关的因素，同时在克什米尔谷地观察到显著的区域差异。稳健性分析证实了所估计关系的一致性。这些发现表明，提升园艺产业绩效不仅需要有效的农场层面资源管理，还需要更强的制度支持、对灌溉和采后基础设施的投资、改善农村信贷获取以及因地制宜的发展策略。本研究通过将作物特定效率分析与混合效率分析同社会经济和区域评估相结合，为促进资源利用效率提升提供了具有政策相关性的证据。",73,{"impact":86,"substance":358,"depth":17,"authority":19,"freshness":88,"relevant":20,"comment":359},21,"基于418户果农一手数据，用DEA与Tobit回归分析技术效率，方法规范、结论有政策参考价值，但属区域性研究，影响范围有限。",[361],{"name":285,"url":353},[27,363,364,365,366],"园艺产业","苹果种植","技术效率","数据包络分析",{"code":368,"slug":369,"name":370,"path":371,"parent_code":244},"B2","fruit","果树","\u002Ftopic\u002Fhorticulture\u002Ffruit",[],{"status":103,"locked":13,"version":33,"method":34,"evidence":374},{"candidates":375,"agricultural_evidence":52},[376,382,389],{"code":368,"score":87,"supported":52,"title":377,"abstract":379,"tags":381},[378],"apple",[380,378],"苹果",[],{"code":383,"score":76,"supported":52,"title":384,"abstract":385,"tags":388},"H3",[],[386,387],"灌溉","irrigation",[],{"code":43,"score":20,"supported":13,"title":390,"abstract":391,"tags":392},[],[],[27],[394,395],"数据包络分析 可持续农业 园艺产业 技术效率","数据包络分析 可持续农业","数据包络分析可持续农业园艺产业技术效率-5468","10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1928386",{"doi":397,"openalex_id":399,"authors":400,"venue":285,"cited_by_count":72,"oa_url":353,"card":417,"direction":347,"ingested_from":73},"W7223025732",[401,403,406,409,412,415],{"name":402,"orcid":8},"Seerat Sajjad",{"name":404,"orcid":405},"Khursheed Hussain Dar","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-3925-0758",{"name":407,"orcid":408},"Anam Ul Haq Ganie","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-4404-5011",{"name":410,"orcid":411},"Ghadda Mohamed Awad Yousif","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-4183-2957",{"name":413,"orcid":414},"Mohd Salim","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-0162-8433",{"name":416,"orcid":8},"Mahdy S. Othman",{"tldr":418,"method":419,"finding":420,"direction":347,"opportunity":421},"评估克什米尔谷地苹果、梨、樱桃种植户的技术效率及其影响因素。","418户调查数据，DEA测效率，Tobit回归与分数logit分析影响因素。","苹果效率最高，规模效率不足是主因；灌溉、信贷、冷库等显著提升效率。","可结合遥感与物联网数据构建果园投入产出实时效率监测，弥补自报数据局限。","2026-10-21T23:30:07.145395Z",{"id":424,"title":425,"url":426,"summary":427,"summary_zh":428,"content":8,"source_name":285,"source_url":426,"published_at":429,"category":11,"cover_url":8,"hotness":12,"is_selected":13,"score":430,"score_detail":431,"sources":433,"tags":435,"primary_topic":439,"secondary_topics":444,"classification":445,"search_phrases":464,"slug":467,"view_count":72,"doi":468,"paper":469,"created_at":487},5371,"Achieving sustainable nutrient self-sufficiency in Sweden: a long-term scenario assessment","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1952306","Introduction Ensuring long-term food security while operating within planetary boundaries requires nutrient management strategies that reduce import dependency without shifting environmental burdens. This study develops and evaluates four contrasting normative scenarios for nutrient management in Sweden in 2045: industrial-scale domestic fertilizer production, industrial-scale nutrient recovery, decentralized “fork-to-backyard” nutrient cycling, and response diversity. Methods The scenarios were assessed using the Sustainability Assessment Framework for Scenarios (SAFS). The framework defines relevant contextual factors and applies a structured qualitative assessment across technological, environmental, and social\u002Fgovernance dimensions. Resource use and circularity were assessed within the environmental dimension, while self-sufficiency was treated as a shared scenario objective. An interrelation analysis and an ordinal scoring scale were used to identify and compare risks, opportunities, trade-offs, and uncertainties without ranking the scenarios. Results The assessment revealed persistent trade-offs that are relevant not only to Sweden but also to other high-input, import-dependent agri-food systems seeking greater nutrient self-sufficiency. Decentralized recycling showed the greatest potential to improve climate and eutrophication outcomes and strengthen democratic participation but involved high implementation and operational complexity, as well as demanding quality assurance requirements. Industrial recovery improved eutrophication performance and circularity while maintaining standardized fertilizer products, but depended on energy and process trade-offs and required substantial investments. Industrial production provided predictable products and perceived safety benefits but risked higher resource intensity and did not inherently reduce pressure on biogeochemical planetary boundaries. Response diversity increased resilience and reduced dependence on single supply pathways but could require greater resource use and coordination. Discussion The combined scenario and SAFS approach clarified key risks, opportunities, and uncertainties, including the influence of electricity mix, achievable nutrient-loss reductions, and contaminant control. The results demonstrate that no single pathway resolves all sustainability challenges and highlight the importance of considering technological, environmental, and governance dimensions simultaneously when designing nutrient self-sufficiency strategies. The approach can support decision-making in Sweden and other regions facing similar sustainability, governance, and supply-security challenges.","引言 在地球边界内确保长期粮食安全，需要既能减少进口依赖又不转移环境负担的养分管理策略。本研究针对瑞典2045年的养分管理，开发并评估了四种相互对照的规范性情景：工业化国内肥料生产、工业化养分回收、去中心化“从餐桌到后院”的养分循环，以及响应多样性。方法 采用情景可持续性评估框架（Sustainability Assessment Framework for Scenarios, SAFS）对这些情景进行评估。该框架界定了相关情境因素，并在技术、环境和社会\u002F治理维度上应用结构化的定性评估。资源利用和循环性在环境维度内评估，而自给自足则被视为各情景的共同目标。采用相互关系分析和序数评分量表来识别和比较风险、机遇、权衡与不确定性，而不对情景进行排序。结果 评估揭示了持续存在的权衡，这些权衡不仅与瑞典相关，也与其他寻求更高养分自给率的高投入、依赖进口的农食系统相关。去中心化回收在改善气候和富营养化结果以及加强民主参与方面显示出最大潜力，但实施和运营复杂性高，且质量保证要求苛刻。工业化回收改善了富营养化表现和循环性，同时维持了标准化肥料产品，但依赖能源和工艺权衡，并需要大量投资。工业化生产提供了可预测的产品和感知到的安全效益，但存在资源强度较高的风险，且并未从根本上减轻对生物地球化学地球边界的压力。响应多样性增强了韧性并减少了对单一供应路径的依赖，但可能需要更多的资源利用和协调。讨论 情景与SAFS相结合的方法阐明了关键风险、机遇和不确定性，包括电力结构的影响、可实现的养分损失削减以及污染物控制。结果表明，没有任何单一途径能够解决所有可持续性挑战，并凸显了在设计养分管理策略时同时考虑技术、环境和治理维度的重要性。","2026-10-19T00:00:00Z",79,{"impact":17,"substance":192,"depth":17,"authority":19,"freshness":16,"relevant":20,"comment":432},"该研究以瑞典为对象，系统比较四种养分自给路径的权衡，方法规范、结论对高投入进口依赖型农业体系有借鉴价值，但属境外情景研究，国内落地影响有限。",[434],{"name":285,"url":426},[436,27,437,93,438],"粮食安全","循环农业","瑞典",{"code":113,"slug":440,"name":441,"path":442,"parent_code":443},"fertilizers","肥料与水肥一体化","\u002Ftopic\u002Finputs-equipment\u002Ffertilizers","F",[],{"status":103,"locked":13,"version":33,"method":34,"evidence":446},{"candidates":447,"agricultural_evidence":52},[448,454,460],{"code":113,"score":12,"supported":52,"title":449,"abstract":450,"tags":453},[],[451,93,452],"肥料","fertilizer",[93],{"code":455,"score":305,"supported":52,"title":456,"abstract":457,"tags":459},"A8",[],[436,458],"food security",[436],{"code":43,"score":58,"supported":13,"title":461,"abstract":462,"tags":463},[],[],[27,437],[465,466],"瑞典 养分自给 情景评估","Frontiers 可持续食物系统 养分循环","瑞典养分自给情景评估-5371","10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1952306",{"doi":468,"openalex_id":470,"authors":471,"venue":285,"cited_by_count":72,"oa_url":480,"card":481,"direction":485,"ingested_from":73},"W7222945601",[472,474,477],{"name":473,"orcid":8},"Priscila de Morais Lima",{"name":475,"orcid":476},"Verena Germann","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0002-3867-0953",{"name":478,"orcid":479},"Jennifer Rae McConville","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-0373-685X","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.frontiersin.org\u002Fjournals\u002Fsustainable-food-systems\u002Farticles\u002F10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1952306\u002Fpdf",{"tldr":482,"method":483,"finding":484,"direction":485,"opportunity":486},"评估瑞典2045年四种养分管理情景，比较其可持续性与自给自足潜力。","用SAFS框架对四种规范情景做技术、环境、社会维度的定性评估与互关系分析。","无单一方案能解决所有挑战，分散循环在气候与富营养化上最优但实施复杂。","农业绿色发展与碳","可将情景评估框架与养分循环模型耦合，量化电力结构、损失削减与污染物控制的不确定性。","2026-10-20T23:30:06.714933Z"]