[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"item-42":3,"related-42":70},{"id":4,"title":5,"url":6,"summary":7,"summary_zh":8,"content":9,"source_name":10,"source_url":8,"published_at":11,"category":12,"cover_url":8,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":15,"score_detail":16,"sources":23,"tags":25,"primary_topic":8,"secondary_topics":31,"classification":32,"search_phrases":64,"slug":67,"view_count":68,"doi":8,"paper":8,"created_at":69},42,"全国政协召开\"加快农业农村现代化\"专题协商会，王沪宁出席并讲话","https:\u002F\u002Fbig5.cctv.com\u002Fgate\u002Fbig5\u002Ftv.cctv.cn\u002F2026\u002F07\u002F28\u002FVIDEWrD22TVJNaVepEKguayn260728.shtml","7月28日，全国政协在京召开\"加快农业农村现代化\"专题协商会。中共中央政治局常委、全国政协主席王沪宁出席并讲话，指出要聚焦提升农业综合生产能力和质量效益、推进宜居宜业和美乡村建设、提高强农惠农富农政策效能等重点问题，扎实做好调查研究、协商议政、民主监督工作。中共中央政治局委员、国务院副总理刘国中出席并讲话，介绍\"十四五\"以来农业农村现代化迈出坚实步伐。近100位全国政协委员参加会议，25位政协委员和专家围绕种业振兴、提升粮食产能、促进农民稳定增收等协商建言。",null,"央視網消息（新聞聯播）：全國政協28日在京召開&ldquo;加快農業農村現代化&rdquo;專題協商會，中共中央政治局常委、全國政協主席王滬寧出席並講話。\n\n王滬寧表示，中共十八大以來，以習近平同志為核心的中共中央堅持把解決好&ldquo;三農&rdquo;問題作為全黨工作的重中之重，堅持農業農村優先發展，打贏脫貧攻堅戰，實施鄉村振興戰略，作出加快推進農業農村現代化的重大部署，引領新時代&ldquo;三農&rdquo;工作取得歷史性成就，農業強國建設邁出堅實步伐，鄉村全面振興取得重大進展。人民政協要深入學習貫徹習近平總書記關於農業農村現代化的重要論述，貫徹落實中共二十屆四中全會關於加快農業農村現代化的決策部署和&ldquo;十五五&rdquo;規劃綱要相關任務，深刻把握農業農村現代化關係中國式現代化全局和成色，深刻把握糧食安全是&ldquo;國之大者&rdquo;，聚焦提升農業綜合生産能力和質量效益、推進宜居宜業和美鄉村建設、提高強農惠農富農政策效能等重點問題，紮實做好調查研究、協商議政、民主監督工作，以務實建言成果助力農業農村高質量發展。\n\n近100位全國政協委員參加會議。全國政協農業和農村委員會負責同志介紹專題調研情況，25位政協委員和專家圍繞種業振興、提升糧食産能、促進農民穩定增收等協商建言。","央视新闻联播 · 2026-07-28","2026-07-28T11:21:00Z","政策",10,true,93,{"impact":17,"substance":18,"depth":19,"authority":20,"freshness":13,"relevant":21,"comment":22},28,22,18,15,1,"全国政协专题协商会，聚焦农业农村现代化，高层出席，政策导向性强，信息增量高，权威性极强，时效性最佳。",[24],{"name":10,"url":6},[26,12,27,28,29,30],"十五五","全国政协","农业农村现代化","王沪宁","协商建言",[],{"status":33,"locked":34,"version":35,"method":36,"evidence":37},"needs_review",false,"2026-10-22.2","rules",{"candidates":38,"agricultural_evidence":14,"reason":63},[39,45,52,58],{"code":40,"score":41,"supported":14,"title":42,"abstract":43,"tags":44},"J2",12,[28],[28],[28],{"code":46,"score":47,"supported":14,"title":48,"abstract":49,"tags":51},"A8",3,[],[50],"粮食产能",[],{"code":53,"score":47,"supported":14,"title":54,"abstract":55,"tags":57},"F1",[],[56],"种业",[],{"code":59,"score":21,"supported":34,"title":60,"abstract":61,"tags":62},"J1",[],[],[26],"多个产业证据相当，需要确认主归属",[65,66],"农业农村现代化 全国政协 协商建言 十五五","农业农村现代化 全国政协","农业农村现代化全国政协协商建言十五五-42",13,"2026-07-28T23:53:29.118624Z",{"total":71,"page":21,"page_size":71,"items":72},6,[73,140,181,233,292,352],{"id":74,"title":75,"url":76,"summary":77,"summary_zh":8,"content":8,"source_name":78,"source_url":8,"published_at":79,"category":80,"cover_url":8,"hotness":13,"is_selected":34,"score":81,"score_detail":82,"sources":86,"tags":88,"primary_topic":94,"secondary_topics":99,"classification":100,"search_phrases":135,"slug":138,"view_count":47,"doi":8,"paper":8,"created_at":139},960,"之江乡村绘新景——浙江省「十五五」农业农村现代化规划解读","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.agri.cn\u002Fzx\u002Fxxlb\u002F202608\u002Ft20260824_8866058.htm","日前浙江省政府办公厅印发《浙江省「十五五」农业农村现代化规划》，明确「十五五」时期加快农业农村现代化的思路目标、重点任务和政策措施。《规划》顺应乡村人口变化等趋势，打造诗画浙江和美乡村，强化乡村产业、乡村建设、乡村治理与城乡融合发展四方面重点任务，提出到2030年全省农业农村现代化取得阶段性进展。从五年来浙江坚持「农业双强」行动入手，规划强调种子是农业的「芯片」，浙江要实现农业提质增效，种业振兴必须率先破题；依托铁皮石斛被纳入国家「食药物质」目录的政策契机，把品质优势转化为效益优势。规划同时部署「全域和美、乡村有气质」建设，从「一时美」走向「持久美」、从「各美其美」迈向「美美与共」。","中国农业农村信息网 2026-08-24","2026-08-24T00:00:00Z","报道",72,{"impact":83,"substance":19,"depth":20,"authority":41,"freshness":84,"relevant":21,"comment":85},20,7,"省级农业农村现代化规划解读，内容详实，时效性较好，具有较高参考价值。",[87],{"name":78,"url":76},[26,89,90,28,91,92,93],"浙江","种业振兴","和美乡村","农业双强","食药物质",{"code":53,"slug":95,"name":96,"path":97,"parent_code":98},"seed-industry","种业与品种管理","\u002Ftopic\u002Finputs-equipment\u002Fseed-industry","F",[],{"status":101,"locked":34,"version":35,"method":36,"evidence":102},"classified",{"candidates":103,"agricultural_evidence":14},[104,108,113,119,125,131],{"code":40,"score":41,"supported":14,"title":105,"abstract":106,"tags":107},[28],[28],[28],{"code":53,"score":109,"supported":14,"title":110,"abstract":111,"tags":112},4,[],[56],[90],{"code":114,"score":47,"supported":14,"title":115,"abstract":116,"tags":118},"G4",[],[117],"乡村产业",[],{"code":120,"score":47,"supported":14,"title":121,"abstract":122,"tags":124},"G5",[],[123],"乡村治理",[],{"code":126,"score":47,"supported":14,"title":127,"abstract":128,"tags":130},"G6",[],[129],"城乡融合",[],{"code":59,"score":21,"supported":34,"title":132,"abstract":133,"tags":134},[],[],[26],[136,137],"农业农村现代化 农业双强 和美乡村 种业振兴","农业农村现代化 农业双强","农业农村现代化农业双强和美乡村种业振兴-960","2026-08-26T00:09:31.117624Z",{"id":141,"title":142,"url":143,"summary":144,"summary_zh":8,"content":145,"source_name":146,"source_url":8,"published_at":147,"category":12,"cover_url":8,"hotness":13,"is_selected":34,"score":148,"score_detail":149,"sources":152,"tags":154,"primary_topic":158,"secondary_topics":163,"classification":164,"search_phrases":175,"slug":178,"view_count":179,"doi":8,"paper":8,"created_at":180},388,"重庆'十五五'农业农村现代化'施工图'落定——专访重庆市委农业农村工委书记李春奎","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.farmer.com.cn\u002F2026\u002F08\u002F09\u002F991025651.html","农民日报8月9日专访:重庆市委农业农村工委书记、市农业农村委主任李春奎解读重庆'十五五'农业农村现代化规划:推动'农合联'改革,2026年底区域农合联实现乡镇全覆盖,2027年延伸到所有行政村,2030年市、区县、乡镇三级贯通为农服务体系全面成型,'十五五'期间建设为农服务中心和现代农事综合服务中心400个,依托'村村旺农服通'平台打造数字化平台。增收四轮驱动:产业带动+就业支撑+改革赋能+政策托底,每年新增农民工就近就业30万人以上。2025年重庆农村居民人均可支配收入23448元,城乡居民收入比缩小到2.21:1。","重庆的最大特色是大城市带大农村。李春奎认为，这个“大”字用好了就是优势。\n\n市场、产业、就业“三带动”，基础设施、公共服务、资源要素“三融合”。“四进三回”行动是重要载体——人才、资本、技术、信息“四进”乡村，农民工返乡、能人回乡、企业兴乡“三回”。今年目标：引育乡村振兴人才3万名以上，盘活闲置农房1万套，农村产权流转交易额突破60亿元。\n\n城乡要素高效流通，还有一个关键抓手——“小县大城强镇带村强村富民贯通联动改革”。在李春奎看来，这是一步大棋：一头做大县城、一头做强乡镇，让城乡之间的人、地、钱真正流动起来。“五网”（交通、供水、能源、通讯、物流）全面融入市域“主动脉”，打通城乡流通的“硬梗阻”。","农民日报 2026-08-09","2026-08-09T02:00:00Z",84,{"impact":150,"substance":18,"depth":19,"authority":41,"freshness":84,"relevant":21,"comment":151},25,"省级农业农村现代化规划专访，含具体目标数据，权威且时效性较好。",[153],{"name":146,"url":143},[26,28,155,156,157],"重庆","农合联","施工图",{"code":40,"slug":159,"name":160,"path":161,"parent_code":162},"modernization","农业强国与现代化","\u002Ftopic\u002Fpolicy\u002Fmodernization","J",[],{"status":101,"locked":34,"version":35,"method":36,"evidence":165},{"candidates":166,"agricultural_evidence":14},[167,171],{"code":40,"score":41,"supported":14,"title":168,"abstract":169,"tags":170},[28],[28],[28],{"code":59,"score":21,"supported":34,"title":172,"abstract":173,"tags":174},[],[],[26],[176,177],"农业农村现代化 农合联 十五五 施工图","农业农村现代化 农合联","农业农村现代化农合联十五五施工图-388",2,"2026-08-11T23:57:00.030480Z",{"id":182,"title":183,"url":184,"summary":185,"summary_zh":8,"content":186,"source_name":187,"source_url":8,"published_at":188,"category":80,"cover_url":8,"hotness":13,"is_selected":34,"score":189,"score_detail":190,"sources":195,"tags":197,"primary_topic":202,"secondary_topics":207,"classification":208,"search_phrases":227,"slug":230,"view_count":231,"doi":8,"paper":8,"created_at":232},51,"凝心聚力助推农业强国建设——全国政协\"加快农业农村现代化\"专题协商会筹备综述","https:\u002F\u002Ffinance.sina.cn\u002F2026-07-28\u002Fdetail-inikimee8148212.d.html","人民政协报2026-07-28头版。截至7月25日，线上学习交流发言达864条；参加有关视察考察调研和会议活动的委员共102人次，线上发言413人次。今年以来全国政协副主席胡春华率队先后赴云南（1月常态化防止返贫）、河南（4月推进农业科技创新及应用）、吉林（6月推动农村一二三产业深度融合）、黑龙江（7月千亿斤粮食产能提升行动）等多地专题调研。委员们表示\"十五五\"时期是基本实现农业农村现代化的关键时期，要持续加力提升农业综合生产能力和质量效益；坚持不懈巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果；进一步精准提高强农惠农富农政策效能，畅通城乡要素优化配置。","农业农村现代化涉及面广、政策性强，既包含农业生产的现代化转型，也涵盖农村生活的全面改善和农民收入的持续提升。如何在一整天的会议时间内，既体现“专题”的深度，又体现“协商”的广度？农业和农村委员会给出的答案是，将宏大命题细化为具体专题，确保切口要小、靶向要准。\n\n筹备工作启动之初，农业和农村委员会办公室便围绕会议议题，系统梳理汇编了习近平总书记关于“三农”工作的重要论述和党中央、国务院相关政策文件以及有关部门提供的书面情况介绍，为委员们知情明政做好贴心服务。与此同时，农业和农村委员会提前与国家发展和改革委员会、财政部、住房和城乡建设部、农业农村部等部门多次沟通对接，积极征求意见建议，让协商议题与部门工作重点同频共振。\n\n在认真学习领会习近平总书记关于“三农”工作的重要论述和党中央系列决策部署的基础上，农业和农村委员会反复研究、多次讨论，最终将现场发言设置为三个专题：第一专题聚焦提升农业综合生产能力和质量效益，涵盖农业科技、粮食安全、耕地保护等核心议题；第二专题聚焦推进宜居宜业和美乡村建设，重点关注乡村建设、产业富民、城乡要素流动、公共服务均等化等；第三专题聚焦提高强农惠农富农政策效能，涉及完善农业农村投入机制、促进农民增收、加强联农带农机制、巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果等。\n\n三个专题各有侧重又相互衔接，既勾勒出农业农村现代化的整体图景，又能精准对接委员们的专业所长与关注焦点，让每一位发言委员都能在自己深耕的领域道实情、建真言。\n\n专题确定后，发言遴选工作紧随其后。农业和农村委员会认真梳理委员们近年来提交的涉及“三农”领域的提案、大会发言和小组讨论发言，优中选优、反复斟酌，力求让发言内容更具靶向性和针对性。最终确定的发言委员均长期深耕“三农”领域，有的在农业科技攻关一线奋战多年，有的长期关注农村政策与乡村治理，有的来自基层一线、最懂农民冷暖，既有深厚的理论功底，又有丰富的实践经验，是名副其实的“三农”领域的行家里手。相信他们的现场建言，一定能从不同角度为政策制定、科学决策提供有益参考。","人民政协报\u002F新浪财经 · 2026-07-28","2026-07-27T23:00:00Z",79,{"impact":150,"substance":20,"depth":191,"authority":192,"freshness":193,"relevant":21,"comment":194},16,14,9,"全国政协专题协商会筹备综述，涉及农业农村现代化核心议题，信源权威，内容有深度，但信息增量有限，时效性较好。",[196],{"name":187,"url":184},[80,26,27,198,199,200,201],"农业强国","专题协商会","调研","脱贫攻坚",{"code":46,"slug":203,"name":204,"path":205,"parent_code":206},"yield-food-security","单产提升与粮食安全","\u002Ftopic\u002Ffield-crops\u002Fyield-food-security","A",[],{"status":101,"locked":34,"version":35,"method":36,"evidence":209},{"candidates":210,"agricultural_evidence":14},[211,215,219,223],{"code":40,"score":83,"supported":14,"title":212,"abstract":213,"tags":214},[198,28],[28],[198],{"code":46,"score":47,"supported":14,"title":216,"abstract":217,"tags":218},[],[50],[],{"code":126,"score":21,"supported":34,"title":220,"abstract":221,"tags":222},[],[],[201],{"code":59,"score":21,"supported":34,"title":224,"abstract":225,"tags":226},[],[],[26],[228,229],"专题协商会 全国政协 农业强国 脱贫攻坚","专题协商会 全国政协","专题协商会全国政协农业强国脱贫攻坚-51",11,"2026-07-28T23:53:29.269818Z",{"id":234,"title":235,"url":236,"summary":237,"summary_zh":8,"content":238,"source_name":239,"source_url":8,"published_at":240,"category":12,"cover_url":8,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":241,"score_detail":242,"sources":246,"tags":248,"primary_topic":253,"secondary_topics":259,"classification":260,"search_phrases":286,"slug":289,"view_count":290,"doi":8,"paper":8,"created_at":291},5508,"渔业渔政管理局解读「十五五」增殖放流 2030年区域性与濒危物种占比提至15%","https:\u002F\u002Fnynct.hlj.gov.cn\u002Fnynct\u002Fc115383\u002F202610\u002Fc00_31985415.shtml","农业农村部渔业渔政管理局负责人介绍，「十四五」全国累计放流水生生物苗种1500余亿尾。「十五五」确定适宜增殖放流水生物种345种、适宜水域428片，到2030年年均放流量稳定在200亿尾左右，区域性和珍贵濒危物种放流数量占淡水物种放流数量的比例逐步提升至15%，并首次明确社会公众规模性放流的界定标准。","答：当前，增殖放流物种主要有广布型物种、区域性物种和珍贵濒危物种共3类。经过多年组织实施，广布型物种的“量”已达到较高水平，区域性和珍贵濒危物种放流规模有待提高，放流结构、苗种质量、科学放流和效果监管等“质”的方面还需进一步提升。因此，要把提质增效摆在更加突出的位置，推动增殖放流工作向质的有效提升转变。《通知》坚持因地制宜，确定“十五五”适宜增殖放流水生物种345种、适宜放流水域428片，要求各地结合本地区实际，科学进行生态安全风险评估。坚持生态优先，进一步优化放流结构，逐步减少淡水广布型经济物种放流规模，逐步加大区域性和珍贵濒危物种放流数量。坚持科学规范，强化放流过程监管，严查苗种质量。","黑龙江省农业农村厅 2026-10-19","2026-10-19T00:00:00Z",87,{"impact":243,"substance":18,"depth":19,"authority":68,"freshness":244,"relevant":21,"comment":245},26,8,"部委层面解读十五五增殖放流提质增效目标与345种428片水域数据，政策条款具体，具全国指导意义，值得精选。",[247],{"name":239,"url":236},[26,249,250,251,252],"生态保护","增殖放流","渔业资源","濒危物种",{"code":254,"slug":255,"name":256,"path":257,"parent_code":258},"D3","integrated-aquaculture","稻渔种养与生态渔业","\u002Ftopic\u002Faquaculture\u002Fintegrated-aquaculture","D",[],{"status":101,"locked":34,"version":35,"method":36,"evidence":261},{"candidates":262,"agricultural_evidence":14},[263,267,272,277,282],{"code":254,"score":41,"supported":14,"title":264,"abstract":265,"tags":266},[250],[250],[250],{"code":258,"score":231,"supported":14,"title":268,"abstract":270,"tags":271},[269],"渔业",[269],[],{"code":273,"score":21,"supported":34,"title":274,"abstract":275,"tags":276},"D2",[],[],[251],{"code":278,"score":21,"supported":34,"title":279,"abstract":280,"tags":281},"H6",[],[],[249],{"code":59,"score":21,"supported":34,"title":283,"abstract":284,"tags":285},[],[],[26],[287,288],"渔业渔政管理局 增殖放流","十五五 增殖放流 物种","渔业渔政管理局增殖放流-5508",0,"2026-10-22T00:06:58.751656Z",{"id":293,"title":294,"url":295,"summary":296,"summary_zh":8,"content":297,"source_name":298,"source_url":8,"published_at":299,"category":12,"cover_url":8,"hotness":13,"is_selected":14,"score":300,"score_detail":301,"sources":303,"tags":305,"primary_topic":310,"secondary_topics":311,"classification":312,"search_phrases":347,"slug":350,"view_count":290,"doi":8,"paper":8,"created_at":351},5497,"农业农村部在长沙召开部署会 推动「十五五」农业农村发展规划任务落地","https:\u002F\u002Fjhs.moa.gov.cn\u002Fghgl\u002F202610\u002Ft20261021_6488825.htm","10月21日召开的部署会提出，农业农村领域各专项规划与各省级地方规划已基本印发，全国「一盘棋」总体格局初步形成。会议要求紧盯约束性指标不折不扣完成，聚焦粮食安全与不发生规模性返贫致贫两条底线，谋划储备打基础利长远的重大项目，并加强规划实施动态监测与中期评估。","10月21日，“十五五”农业农村发展规划任务落实部署会在长沙召开，深入学习贯彻习近平总书记关于“三农”工作的重要论述和重要指示批示精神，贯彻落实党中央、国务院决策部署，就落实《加快农业农村现代化“十五五”规划》作出安排，推动重要指标、重点任务、重大工程落地见效，为“十五五”开好局、起好步奠定基础。\n\n会议指出，国务院印发《加快农业农村现代化“十五五”规划》后，各地深入学习贯彻，对标跟进、上下联动、协同发力，有序推进“十五五”农业农村规划编制工作。目前，农业农村领域各专项规划、各省级地方规划已基本印发，全国农业农村“十五五”规划“一盘棋”总体格局初步形成。\n\n会议强调，要准确把握《加快农业农村现代化“十五五”规划》的任务要求和实施重点，强化对农业农村现代化趋势变化和发展规律的认识，进一步提升抓落实促发展的工作质效。要深化认识抓落实，深入学习领会党的二十届四中全会精神，落实规划部署要求，持续加强宣传贯彻，凝聚共识、汇聚众力扎实推进。要紧盯指标抓落实，不折不扣完成好约束性指标，积极推进预期性指标。要聚焦重点抓落实，坚持产量产能、生产生态、增产增收一起抓，提升农业综合生产能力和质量效益，守牢国家粮食安全底线；推进常态化精准帮扶，守牢不发生规模性返贫致贫底线；学习运用“千万工程”经验，扎实推进宜居宜业和美乡村建设，推动基本实现农业现代化、农村基本具备现代生活条件取得重大进展。要谋细工程抓落实，谋划储备一批打基础、利长远的重大项目，做深做实前期工作，推动项目跟着规划走、资金跟着项目走。要跟踪监测抓落实，加强规划实施的动态监测、中期评估和总结评估，推进全过程全环节调度督促，确保如期实现各项目标任务。要加快农业发展全面绿色转型，加强农业绿色发展水平监测评价，扎实开展新一轮农业资源区划，推行绿色生产方式，提升经营主体绿色发展能力，推进农业生态价值实现，持续擦亮农业农村现代化的绿色底色。\n\n各省、自治区、直辖市和新疆生产建设兵团农业农村部门有关负责同志参加会议，农业农村部畜牧兽医局、种业管理司有关负责同志及黑龙江、江苏、浙江、湖南、广东、四川、云南、青海农业农村部门负责同志、湖南省长沙市负责同志作了交流发言。会议期间，与会代表现场考察了长沙县加快农业农村现代化、推进乡村全面振兴的情况。","农业农村部发展规划司 2026-10-21","2026-10-21T00:00:00Z",91,{"impact":17,"substance":18,"depth":191,"authority":20,"freshness":13,"relevant":21,"comment":302},"农业农村部召开全国性部署会，明确“十五五”规划落实路径与重点任务，政策层级高、信息增量足，值得进入每日精选。",[304],{"name":298,"url":295},[306,307,28,308,309],"十五五规划","粮食安全","农业绿色发展","千万工程",{"code":46,"slug":203,"name":204,"path":205,"parent_code":206},[],{"status":101,"locked":34,"version":35,"method":36,"evidence":313},{"candidates":314,"agricultural_evidence":14},[315,321,325,329,334,339,343],{"code":316,"score":244,"supported":14,"title":317,"abstract":319,"tags":320},"G",[318],"农村发展",[],[],{"code":46,"score":109,"supported":14,"title":322,"abstract":323,"tags":324},[],[307],[307],{"code":114,"score":21,"supported":34,"title":326,"abstract":327,"tags":328},[],[],[309],{"code":330,"score":21,"supported":34,"title":331,"abstract":332,"tags":333},"H4",[],[],[308],{"code":335,"score":21,"supported":34,"title":336,"abstract":337,"tags":338},"H8",[],[],[308],{"code":59,"score":21,"supported":34,"title":340,"abstract":341,"tags":342},[],[],[306],{"code":40,"score":21,"supported":34,"title":344,"abstract":345,"tags":346},[],[],[28],[348,349],"农业农村部 长沙 十五五规划","加快农业农村现代化 十五五规划","农业农村部长沙十五五规划-5497","2026-10-22T00:06:57.871828Z",{"id":353,"title":354,"url":355,"summary":356,"summary_zh":357,"content":8,"source_name":358,"source_url":355,"published_at":359,"category":360,"cover_url":8,"hotness":13,"is_selected":34,"score":189,"score_detail":361,"sources":364,"tags":366,"primary_topic":371,"secondary_topics":376,"classification":377,"search_phrases":411,"slug":414,"view_count":290,"doi":415,"paper":416,"created_at":436},5471,"Construction of an agricultural green development indicator system and trend projection for the 15th five-year plan period in Jiangxi Province","https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1942701","Introduction As a central pillar of high-quality agricultural advancement, agricultural green development (AGD) is essential for promoting agricultural and rural modernization and building a strong agricultural province. Methods Focusing on Jiangxi Province—a key traditional agricultural province and a national ecological civilization pilot zone—this study establishes a comprehensive AGD evaluation indicator system covering 18 secondary indicators across five dimensions: resource conservation and efficient utilization, environmental governance of production sites, agricultural ecological restoration, green industrial development, and green technological support. The entropy weight method measures Jiangxi’s AGD level from 2010 to 2025, while the GM(1,1) grey model forecasts its trajectory during the 15th Five-Year Plan period (2026–2030). Results The results show that: (1) Jiangxi’s comprehensive AGD index grew steadily from 11.37 to 80.51, with agricultural ecological restoration carrying the largest weight (29.42); (2) the index is projected to reach 86.97 by 2030; all fitted GM(1,1) models have MAPE below 10%, meeting the Grade I accuracy standard. Discussion Although constraints remain, including inadequate hilly mechanization, limited smallholder green production capacity, and difficult non-point source pollution control, future work should strengthen green resource utilization, deepen production-site governance, improve technological support, and optimize incentives to drive the green transition of smallholders.","引言 农业绿色发展（agricultural green development，AGD）是高质量农业发展的核心支柱，对于推进农业农村现代化、建设农业强省具有重要意义。方法 本研究聚焦江西省这一传统农业大省和国家生态文明试验区，构建了涵盖资源节约高效利用、产地环境治理、农业生态修复、绿色产业发展、绿色科技支撑五个维度共18项二级指标的综合AGD评价指标体系。采用熵权法测度江西省2010—2025年AGD水平，并运用GM(1,1)灰色模型预测“十五五”时期（2026—2030年）的发展趋势。结果 结果表明：（1）江西省AGD综合指数由11.37稳步增长至80.51，其中农业生态修复权重最大（29.42）；（2）预计到2030年该指数将达到86.97；所有拟合的GM(1,1)模型平均绝对百分比误差（MAPE）均低于10%，达到一级精度标准。讨论 尽管仍存在丘陵地区机械化不足、小农户绿色生产能力有限、面源污染治理困难等制约因素，未来应加强绿色资源利用、深化产地治理、完善科技支撑、优化激励机制，推动小农户绿色转型。","Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems","2026-10-20T00:00:00Z","论文",{"impact":19,"substance":18,"depth":362,"authority":68,"freshness":193,"relevant":21,"comment":363},17,"省级尺度的农业绿色发展指标体系与十五五趋势预测，方法规范、数据完整，具备区域政策参考价值。",[365],{"name":358,"url":355},[26,367,368,369,370],"绿色发展","指标体系","江西农业","灰色预测",{"code":372,"slug":373,"name":374,"path":375,"parent_code":316},"G2","farm-services","社会化服务与规模经营","\u002Ftopic\u002Frural-services\u002Ffarm-services",[],{"status":101,"locked":34,"version":35,"method":36,"evidence":378},{"candidates":379,"agricultural_evidence":14},[380,386,392,398,403,407],{"code":372,"score":71,"supported":14,"title":381,"abstract":382,"tags":385},[],[383,384],"小农户","smallholder",[],{"code":387,"score":47,"supported":14,"title":388,"abstract":389,"tags":391},"F5",[],[390],"机械化",[],{"code":393,"score":47,"supported":14,"title":394,"abstract":395,"tags":397},"H5",[],[396],"面源污染",[],{"code":278,"score":47,"supported":14,"title":399,"abstract":400,"tags":402},[],[401],"农业生态",[],{"code":40,"score":47,"supported":14,"title":404,"abstract":405,"tags":406},[],[28],[],{"code":59,"score":21,"supported":34,"title":408,"abstract":409,"tags":410},[],[],[26],[412,413],"江西 农业绿色发展 指标","江西 十五五 预测","江西农业绿色发展指标-5471","10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1942701",{"doi":415,"openalex_id":417,"authors":418,"venue":358,"cited_by_count":290,"oa_url":428,"card":429,"direction":433,"ingested_from":435},"W7223059769",[419,421,423,425],{"name":420,"orcid":8},"戴天放",{"name":422,"orcid":8},"Weijuan Yu",{"name":424,"orcid":8},"Yu Li",{"name":426,"orcid":427},"Fang Liu","https:\u002F\u002Forcid.org\u002F0000-0003-3271-1846","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.frontiersin.org\u002Fjournals\u002Fsustainable-food-systems\u002Farticles\u002F10.3389\u002Ffsufs.2026.1942701\u002Fpdf",{"tldr":430,"method":431,"finding":432,"direction":433,"opportunity":434},"构建江西农业绿色发展指标体系，用熵权法与灰色模型评估并预测十五五趋势。","五维18项指标体系，熵权法测度2010-2025年水平，GM(1,1)预测202","综合指数由11.37升至80.51，2030年预计达86.97，生态修复权重最高。","农业绿色发展与碳","可延伸至小农户绿色转型激励、丘陵机械化与面源污染治理的指标细化与情景模拟。","openalex","2026-10-21T23:30:07.321279Z"]